Betting Tips, Picks & Predictions For UFC 175

UFC 175 is the UFC’s biggest event of the year and it’s also the biggest weekend of MMA betting since we set this website up. This weekend we will have betting tips, picks and predictions for UFC 175, The Ultimate Fighter 19 Finale and also WSOF 11. We kick things off with 9 betting tips for UFC 175, which is the most betting tips we’ve ever had for a single event. We’re very confident that these betting tips will earn us a healthy profit, so we hope you come along for the ride!

Don’t forget to checkout our betting tips, picks and predictions for the Ultimate Fighter 19 Finale, which also takes place this weekend.

Now lets take a lot at our betting tips for this event…

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BRUNO SANTOS vs CHRIS CAMOZZI

Chris Camozzi is a big favourite in this fight because he’s faster and more well rounded than Bruno Santos.

Bruno Santos’ main strength is his Jiu Jitsu, but his overall game is impeded by awkward striking and his inability to take his opponents down. Santos will most probably try and tie up Camozzi to get this fight to the ground, but that strategy will be largely ineffective, because Camozzi is good in the clinch and has decent take down defence.

Bruno Santos isn’t the type of grappler who looks to smother his opponents and I’m not too worried if he does manage to take Camozzi down. This is because Camozzi is very active off his back and good at scrambling back to his feet.

Bruno Santos is a passive fighter, who doesn’t throw a high volume of strikes and isn’t the best at maintaining top control. He also lacks finishing power, as his last 11 fights have all gone to a decision.

Camozzi is a scrappy fighter, with great cardio and he should have no problem out working Santos on his way to victory. I also recommend placing a bet on this fight to go over 2.5 rounds, because Bruno Santos’ last 11 fights have gone to a decision and 3 out of Camozzi’s last 4 fights have also gone to a decision.

OUR FIRST BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on Chris Camozzi to win at odds of 1.40 | -250 | 2/5
OUR SECOND BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on this fight to go over 2.5 rounds at odds of 1.44 | -227 | 11/25
THE BEST ODDS ON CHRIS CAMOZZI TO WIN CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”78″]

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ILDEMAR ALCANTARA vs KENNY ROBERTSON

Kenny Robertson will want to turn this into a grappling match and that will suit Alcantara, who also likes to grapple.

Most of Robertson’s finishes come via submission and Alcantara is far too skilled on the ground to get submitted by Robertson.

Alcantara’s last 3 fights have all gone to a decision and I don’t see Robertson being able to finish the Brazilian. As a result, I recommend betting on this fight to go over 2.5 rounds.

OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on this fight to last longer than 2.5 rounds at odds of 1.75 | -133 | 3/4
THE BEST ODDS ON THIS FIGHT TO GO OVER 2.5 ROUNDS CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”38″]

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ALEX CACERES vs URIJAH FABER

The odds on Alex Caceres to win are ridiculous. Whether or not you think he will actually beat Urijah Faber is irrelevant. At odds as high as 11.42 | +1042.00 | 521/50, you should bet on Caceres anyway. You have to remember that there are only 2 likely outcomes in an MMA fight, either Fighter A will win or Fighter B will win. In a sport where anything can happen, it’s really important that you place a small value bet when there are odds available that are as good as this and when the underdog has several ways in which they can win the fight.

Urijah Faber should have no problem cruising to victory on Saturday night, but I can also see a number of ways in which Alex Caceres could cause an upset…

First of all, I want to talk about the importance of age in combat sports…

Fighters start to rapidly decline when they hit the age of 32, because their body cannot train at the same level as younger fighters. This is the reason why we sometimes see older fighters turn up and look terrible within the space of just a couple of fights.

Age also determines the amount of damage that a fighter can sustain. The more wars that a fighter has been involved in, the less head trauma their brain can take. Urijah Faber’s fight against Alex Caceres will be the 38th fight of his career and the Californian Kid has taken a ton of damage since he made his professional debut 11 years ago. There’s going to come a point in time when Faber’s body won’t be able to take damage like it used to and there’s nothing that he can do about it…

I’m not saying that Faber is on the decline, because he looked great in the run up to the Barao fight. What I am saying, is that he is currently defying the career life cycle of a 36 year old MMA fighter, who has 37 professional fights under his belt.

Alex Caceres is 9 years younger than the 36 year old Faber and the younger fighter wins around 70% of the time when there is a 9 year age gap in a fight…

Alex Caceres’ fighting style also poses a few problems for Faber, because Caceres has a 4 inch reach advantage, he fights in the Southpaw stance and he’s also really hard to hold down. Caceres also fights at a high pace and he’s really unpredictable.

Faber is an excellent wrestler but Caceres has good scrambles and he’s difficult to take down. If Caceres can keep this fight standing, it could get very interesting…

You also can’t over look the fact that Caceres is technically on a 5 fight winning streak. Winning streaks are a great asset for any fighter, because it gives them confidence and they can often get into the habit of winning. This makes him a dangerous opponent, because he has nothing to lose and he can go out and fight with freedom and confidence.

I feel a small bet on Alex Caceres to win is essential at these odds. He’s young, confident and hungry. He’s also unpredictable and talented. He was getting beaten up by Sergio Pettis in his last fight and he still found a way to win, that’s a sign of a great fighter…

OUR BETTING TIP: 5.00 Units on Alex Caceres to win at odds of 11.42 | +1042.00 | 521/50
THE BEST ODDS ON ALEX CACERES TO WIN CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”74″]

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THIAGO SANTOS vs URIAH HALL

I’m genuinely worried for the safety of Thiago Santos. This is a really bad match up for him and he could get hurt pretty bad.

Thiago Santos’ last five fights have all finished in the first round and that’s because he fights very aggressively and goes right after his opponents. This reckless style is perfect for Uriah Hall, who has excellent footwork and devastating counter punching.

Thiago Santos is also a little chinny and he’s been knocked down multiple times throughout his career. He’s also been knocked out by guys with far less power than Uriah Hall and he’s probably going to get put to sleep as soon as Uriah lands a clean strike.

Uriah Hall finally seems to have sorted out the issues that caused him to fight tentatively against Kelvin Gastelum and John Howard. It really felt like Uriah got his killer instinct back in his last fight against Chris Leben and he finally showed us all the reasons why there was so much hype surrounding him on the Ultimate Fighter. Uriah Hall also made Chris Leben quit on his stool at the end of the first round and that’s something that no one else has ever come close to achieving.

Uriah Hall is a much better fighter than Thiago Santos and I can’t help but feel that the UFC matchmakers only made this fight, so that they could get a highlight reel knock out for their biggest event of the year.

I don’t see any way that Thiago Santos can win this fight. Even a tentative, demotivated Uriah Hall should be too quick and too powerful for the Brazilian.

It’s also worth placing a bet on this fight to end under 2.5 rounds, because Uriah Hall is a devastating knock out puncher and Thiago Santos’ last 5 fights have all ended inside the first round.

OUR FIRST BETTING TIP: 20.00 Units on Uriah Hall to win at odds of 1.25 | -400 | 1/4
OUR SECOND BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on this fight to finish under 2.5 rounds at odds of 1.91 | -109 | 91/100
THE BEST ODDS ON URIAH HALL TO WIN CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”81″]

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MATT MITRIONE vs STEFAN STRUVE

Stefan Struve is the favourite in this fight, but there are serious holes in his game that could cost him against a guy like Matt Mitrione…

You cannot deny that Struve is tough, but he suffered a badly broken jaw in his last fight against Mark Hunt and a broken jaw is one of the most serious injuries that you can sustain in combat sports. Fighters rarely look the same again…

Struve has also just recovered from a life threatening heart condition that almost ended his career. At this point we have no idea how big of an impact these injuries will have on Struve’s cardio, or his ability to absorb damage.

Earlier in this betting tip, I mentioned that Struve has several weaknesses that Mitrione can exploit.

The first of these weaknesses is his willingness to stand and strike with his opponents, despite the fact that he has poor striking defence and gets hit a lot.

There have been certain fights where Struve is clearly getting outstruck and he could easily have taken opponents down, but instead he chose to stand and bang. This shows poor fight IQ and a stubbornness that could cost him.

Stefan Struve is also a very slow starter and this is a big problem against a guy like Matt Mitrione, who is very aggressive and tries to finish his opponents from the first second of a fight.

Struve is also used to having a reach advantage over his opponents, but this won’t be the case against Mitrione, who has an almost identical reach. This is a huge factor to consider when picking a winner in this fight, because Struve has struggled to block strikes against opponents that he has had a considerable reach over.

Stefan Struve has never been particularly good at using his range, but the common laws of physics would suggest that he’s going to get hit a lot, against a guy with a similar reach.

It’s quite worrying how open Stefan Struve fights and how often he gets hit. He’s only 26 years old, but he’s already sustained a massive amount of damage in his young career.

Matt Mitrione has an awkward fighting style and heavy hands. Struve’s reluctance to take opponents down and his poor striking defence make this a very good stylistic match up for Mitrione. Mitrione to win is a good value bet at odds of 2.62 | +162 | 81/50.

OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on Matt Mitrione to win at odds of 2.62 | +162 | 81/50
THE BEST ODDS ON MATT MITRIONE TO WIN CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”17″]

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ALEXIS DAVIS vs RONDA ROUSEY

Alexis Davis is tough as nails, difficult to finish and reasonably good at everything. I don’t believe that she is good enough to beat Ronda Rousey, but I do believe that she is good enough to give Ronda Rousey the toughest test of her career.

I feel the odds of 3.60 | +260 | 13/5 on this fight to go over 2.5 rounds is a good bet, because Alexis Davis is a black belt in Jiu Jitsu, with decent grappling and good striking.

Alexis Davis doesn’t know the meaning of the word quit and she will continue to fight until the very end.

The odds on this fight going over 2.5 rounds are very generous considering the toughness of Ronda’s opponent and I feel that Alexis Davis is being underestimated due to her introverted nature.

OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on this fight to go over 2.5 rounds at odds of 3.60 | +260 | 13/5
THE BEST ODDS ON THIS FIGHT TO GO OVER 2.5 ROUNDS CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”68″]

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CHRIS WEIDMAN vs LYOTO MACHIDA

I was shocked when I first saw the odds for this fight, because there’s no way that Lyoto Machida should be a 3.00 | +200 | 2/1 underdog against Chris Weidman.

Many people see take downs as a key to victory for Weidman, but Machida has some of the best take down defence in UFC history, having defended 80% of all take down attempts. Machida managed to maintain this statistic in the Light Heavyweight division, which is one of the most competitive divisions in the UFC…

Lyoto Machida has also managed to maintain this take down defence statistic whilst consistently fighting the best fighters in the world. His stats are about as good as it gets when it comes to take down defence. If Randy Couture, Rashad Evans, Ryan Bader, Jon Jones, Dan Henderson, Tito Ortiz [in his prime] and Phil Davis couldn’t keep Machida down, I seriously doubt whether Chris Weidman will be able to.

Some people seem to think that Chris Weidman can knock Lyoto Machida out, but this sounds crazy to me because striking is an area where Lyoto Machida has a clear advantage.

Striking is where I believe Weidman will struggle the most, because he is yet to fight a Southpaw striker, let alone a switch stance fighter like Lyoto Machida. Machida isn’t the kind of guy that you can emulate in training and I doubt there are many athletes that would be ready to solve Lyoto’s puzzle after just 11 professional fights.

In order to beat Lyoto Machida, you need to use a lot of lateral movement and cut off angles. Chris Weidman hasn’t shown us anything to suggest he has that kind of footwork and it’s going to be really difficult for him to close the distance without getting lit up by the Brazilian.

You also have to take into consideration the fact that Chris Weidman hasn’t even come close to competing for 5 full rounds in the UFC. At this point we have no idea how good Weidman’s cardio is over 5 rounds. We do however know that Machida has excellent cardio and he looks just as fresh in the 5th round as he does in the 1st.

This should be a great fight, but I strongly believe that Lyoto Machida will win. The Brazilian has only lost 4 times in his 25 fight career and he’s never had an easy opponent or tune up fight. He is an extremely intelligent fighter and he rarely makes mistakes. He will know exactly what to expect at UFC 175 and there’s nothing that Weidman can do to surprise him.

I am delighted with the excellent value odds on Machida and I suggest you place your bets on him fast before the odds drop any lower. 75% of the money being bet on this fight, is currently being bet on Machida to win, so get in on the action, before it’s too late!

OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on Lyoto Machida to win at odds of 3.00 | +200 | 2/1
THE BEST ODDS ON LYOTO MACHIDA TO WIN CAN BE FOUND AT: [adrotate group=”74″]

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I'm a Professional Gambler from the UK. I specialize in betting on MMA. I've got 1 kid, a Shih Tzu and I've been making money from gambling for around 8 years now.