John Lineker fights at an extremely high pace, landing an average of 6.50 strikes per minute. This is more than double the amount of strikes that Bagautinov lands. Many people will give Bagautinov the advantage in the grappling, but Lineker is a very well rounded fighter with excellent take down defence.
Lineker has only lost once in his last 18 fights and has won his last 3 fights by knock out. This is an impressive achievement for anyone, let alone a Flyweight! Bagautinov is on a 10 fight winning streak, but only two of those wins have come inside the UFC, with most of his victories coming on the regional MMA circuit in Russia.
John Lineker has had his issues with cutting weight and has failed to make weight in his last two fights. This normally has an adverse effect on a fighter’s performance, but it doesn’t seem to have had an impact on Lineker.
The hype surrounding Russian fighters appears to have influenced the betting lines for this fight as Ali Bagautinov has been installed as the favourite, even though the stats for this match up tell a different story. Bagautinov won’t be able to beat Lineker in the striking exchanges and he’ll have a hard time keeping this fight on the ground, so it’s really difficult to see how the Russian wins.
I expect Lineker to outstrike Bagautinov and avoid the takedowns, to win this fight comfortably. The best odds on a Lineker win can be found at [adrotate group=”19″], so be sure to place your bets with them for the extra value in the odds.
OUR BET: 10.00 UNITS ON JOHN LINEKER TO WIN AT 2.25 | +125 | 5/4[divider]
BEST ODDS AVAILABLE FOR THIS UFC FIGHT…
The best odds for this fight can be found at [adrotate group=”19″].
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MORE UFC BETTING TIPS FOR UFC 169…
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