UFC Fight Night 136 is an event packed full of heavy favorites. I can’t remember the last time I saw this many huge favorites on a UFC card. Initially, I was hopeful that I’d be able to uncover some undervalued gems and take a gamble on some big underdogs, but after completing my research on the majority of fights, there are no underdogs that I think have a legit shot of winning. We might see a couple of upsets, but predicting where the upsets will come is a complete crapshoot.
After months of sporadic UFC events with several long breaks, we now begin the action-packed Autumn / Winter UFC schedule. Between now and the end of the year we have 14 UFC events. That’s 14 potential paydays and 14 opportunities to make money.
Over the last 5 years, we have performed really well over the Autumn / Winter period. Let’s hope we can keep that trend going!
Our Football Betting Challenge got off to a solid start in our first month as we grew our starting bankroll of $4000 by 10% after finishing August with a total profit of $417. I’m happy with this return, but can’t help but feel that we suffered a lot of bad luck in Live Betting. Throughout the month we put our money in some extremely strong positions and barely hit any winners. I am hoping that we’ll have a lot more success during September.
It is always going to be difficult to make money at the beginning of a season because we are mostly working from last seasons data. As the season progresses, I expect it to get easier to make money.
Being able to grind out a profit during the most challenging stage of the season is a very good sign of how the rest of the season may play out. Based on the first month of our Challenge, I am feeling very confident that we are going to be able to make very good profits betting on Football.
August is always a quiet month for MMA because July has so many UFC events that we usually get a break before the UFC regroups for the packed Autumn / Winter schedule. August is the calm before the storm; and then from early September until the end of January, we have a UFC event almost every weekend.
With only two UFC events in the whole of August you might be itching to place some bets on UFC Fight Night 135, but I don’t think it’s a good idea. I’ve spent a lot of time researching this event over the last couple of weeks and after agonising over a few fights I have decided it is best to pass on prefight bets.
efore starting this Football Betting Challenge, I had no idea how we were going to do. I made it clear in the Chat Room and also on Twitter that we would probably end up losing everything. Since then I’ve made around £4000 profit betting on the World Cup, and we’ve also made a profit on the first two weeks of the new domestic season. It’s still early days, but I am becoming increasingly confident that Football Betting is very easy to profit from compared to MMA.
Football Betting is notoriously difficult at the start of a new season because we don’t know how new players are going to gel and we don’t know what improvements teams have made in the offseason. It’s going to be at least four or five games before we start to get a read on how these Premier League teams matchup against each other. The good news is that it should get easier and easier to make money each week.
Despite the challenges that come with betting early season games, we still managed to go 3-2 on pregame bets for a total profit of $330. Unfortunately, we took some losses in Live Betting which left us with an overall profit of just $90 for Gameweek 1.
Over the last 4 years, we have made hundreds of thousands of dollars Live Betting on the UFC. This money has enabled me to become a Professional Gambler, and I know that many of you reading this now earn more money from Gambling than you earn from your day job. I know of at least 3 people in our community who have been able to quit their jobs and Gamble full-time.
For the longest time now, everything has been sweet in our community, but nothing ever lasts forever, and now we face a genuine threat to our future. BT Sport recently lost the broadcasting rights to the UFC in the UK to a new company called Eleven Sports. This puts our future ability to earn money Live Betting on the UFC in jeopardy.
This week I’ve been busy researching PFL 5 and Dana White’s Contender Series, but now that those events are done, I turn my attention to UFC 227. Over the next couple of days, I will be working really hard to try and uncover some decent bets so that we can continue our winning run. We have now made a profit on the last 4 consecutive events from our prefight bets, and I am determined to make it 5 in a row.
After a rocky start to July, some big underdog bets have helped us to get back on track, and we’re now slightly in profit for the month. UFC on FOX 30 is the last major MMA event in July, and it looks excellent for betting. This gives us a solid opportunity to finish the month strong and set ourselves up for a big end to the year.
UFC on FOX 30 is one of those events where I see a lot of potential betting opportunities. For this reason research for this card is going to take much longer than usual. I always like to be sure before I pull the trigger on a fighter. This means I will often go back and watch fights two or three times before making a decision. For this reason, I would prefer to prioritize research this week over writing breakdowns. As ever, once my research is complete I will go back and add breakdowns for each of the bets. This is one of those weeks where I need to try and get through the fights as fast as possible before the odds decline, but I also need to take my time so that I don’t make any mistakes.
Please don’t hesitate to speak to me in the Chat Room if you’d like to talk about any of these bets in more detail.