UFC on FOX 26 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

In the UK, we have a saying:

“Never work with People or Animals.”

Inconsistent performances over the last few weeks from Hisaki Kato, Barb Honchak, and Jason Knight have prevented us from building on the solid profit that we earned in November. Losing bets like these are a reminder of why it’s so tough working in an industry where you have to rely on other people to show up and perform. It’s a stressful position to be in when the consistency of others determines your success as an individual. People are, by nature, unreliable. And we have learned this the hard way this month.

Kato, Honchak, and Knight were all solid bets based on prefight information, but no one could have predicted that each of them would have ended up underperforming to such a drastic degree.

It was tough to watch Barb Honchak abandon her strong wrestling that had helped her achieve so much success throughout her career. Instead, she decided to kickbox with Lauren Murphy and didn’t shoot for a single takedown in the entire 15-minute matchup. This resulted in the fight being much closer than it needed to be and she lost a razor close split decision. Then last weekend I was blown away by what we saw from Jason Knight. In the past, he has looked strong, aggressive and confident, but against Gabriel Benitez, at UFC Fight Night 123 he looked weak, lost and insecure. This was especially difficult to watch since Benitez was easily taken down and controlled on the ground in his last fight against Enrique Barzola, a grappler who is nowhere near the level of Jason Knight. Out of all the losses we have suffered this month, Hisaki Kato was the most difficult to digest as he chose to abandon his aggressive, pressure-based style of fighting in favor of walking around the Bellator cage doing absolutely nothing.

In situations like this, it is important to remember that fighters are human; they are not robots. I am also human, and we all have bad days and make mistakes.

We have killed it in Live Betting this year, but I am sure that there have been times where you have been frustrated with me for making bad decisions. I promise you that I have never intentionally made a bad betting decision, but tiredness, stress, pressure, and fatigue has an impact on my performance just like it affects fighter performances. For this reason, I try not to be too judgemental or get too frustrated when fighters do not show up and perform to their full potential. Afterall, we are all human, and we can’t always be at our best.

Our solid betting results over the last 4 years are a reminder to all of us that our results will go up and down, but if we keep making good decisions, we will consistently make money over time.

I am optimistic that we can get things back on track and end December with a profit because the next two UFC events look incredible for betting. I see multiple solid opportunities for making money on UFC on FOX 26 and I also see solid opportunities on UFC 219, which takes place in a couple of weeks.

I am also confident that we will break our target of earning 100 units of profit this year in Live Betting. Right now we are incredibly close to reaching this target having already earned almost 95 units of profit this year. I am extremely confident that we will break through the +100 unit profit target over the next couple of weeks.

Click here to checkout our Betting Tips for UFC on FOX 26…

UFC Fight Night 123 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 123 is a card packed full of fighters young in their UFC careers or fighters making their UFC debuts. We often see fight cards with this structure taking place in Europe and Asia, but we rarely see them in the United States.

This type of event will be a challenge for bookies and myself because we will both have to spend a lot of time familiarizing ourselves with the athletes competing at UFC Fight Night 123. I promise you that I will work extremely hard to hunt for gold and identify solid prefight betting opportunities.

I will also be working extremely hard to learn as much as I can about each of these fighters so that we can use this knowledge to make money in Live Betting.

Please leave a comment at the bottom of this post to let me know how you feel about my betting tips for UFC Fight Night 123.

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The Ultimate Fighter Finale 26 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

The Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale is an excellent event for Live Betting. I am very excited for this one. This feels like Christmas Eve when I was a kid…

When you have an event full of squash matches and Heavyweight fights, they tend to be bad for Live Betting because we don’t see many momentum swings and we often see quick finishes in these types of matchups. This means that we don’t get many opportunities to live bet because dominant performances mean bad odds and fast finishes often mean that we don’t get an opportunity to place bets.

The Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale is the complete opposite of this type of event. It is perfect for Live Betting because it features 8 female fights. Women’s MMA fights tend to go the distance much more frequently then Men’s fights, which means we are going to get a lot of opportunities to anticipate momentum swings and live bet this card.

The Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale is also an excellent event for Live Betting because it features 2 fights in the men’s Bantamweight division. Both these fights should be very competitive, which means we have at least 10 golden opportunities to make money on this card.

I urge you to join us for our Live Betting Tips this weekend. Over the last few years, we’ve made massive profits on the weekend’s where there is more than 1 UFC event. If you haven’t signed up for an Elite Membership yet, do it in time for tonight. You won’t regret it.

Be sure to join us in our Live Betting Tips feed at the start of the Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale, to take advantage of our highly profitable Live Betting Tips.

Bellator 189 Betting Picks, Tips and Predictions

While the whole world turns their attention to the big fights taking place at UFC 218, I have been digging for Gold on Bellator 189, the Ultimate Fighter 26 Finale and the Prelim matchups taking place this weekend. My reasons for doing this is simple…

There are 28 fights taking place this weekend that we can place bets on. It takes me on average 30 – 40 hours to fully research 1 UFC card. For this reason, it is impossible for the bookies to accurately cap this many fights in such a short space of time. There simply are not enough people in the world with a deep enough knowledge of how to cap MMA to be able to set accurate odds on all of these fights. This means that there will almost definitely be additional value in some of the odds this weekend. We just have to find the spots with the best opportunities.

With so many MMA events taking place every week, we now frequently see betting websites set opening odds that have a good amount of value in them. Unfortunately, they safeguard themselves from making big losses by setting very low betting limits on their opening odds. This prevents high stakes bettors from being able to bet significant amounts of money on the opening odds, and it also enables the betting websites to get their lines corrected for a low price by the casual betting public.

This system works great when there is only one UFC event per week, but with 2 UFC events and 1 Bellator event in the same week there are bound to be fights which slip through the net. There will be matchups where the bookies haven’t got the time to accurately cap a fight and where the casual betting public does not have enough knowledge of the fighters to correct the odds.

Eventually, the betting limits on all fights have to open up, and this is when we start to see excellent opportunities to make money. In this perfect storm, we can identify situations where we find tremendous value in the odds, with large enough betting limits for us all to make money off them.

This used to happen all the time in MMA, it’s how I managed to make so much money over the years, but as the sport has grown and as betting websites have become sharper it has become increasingly difficult to identify these golden opportunities. Thankfully for us, I have identified one of these golden opportunities to make money on Bellator 189.

I don’t care whether or not this bet wins or loses. I promise you, irrespective of the outcome. This is an AMAZING bet.

Good luck, I have a very strong feeling that this is going to be a huge weekend for us…

UFC 218 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

UFC 218 is a high profile fight card, and we often see fighters more frequently underperform on these kinds of events. I am unsure as to why this happens, but the trend is definitely real. To combat this variable, we need to keep things tight and be sure that we are putting our money into strong positions.

This weekend is a huge opportunity for us to make money, but we must keep things tight and stay disciplined in order to come out with a profit.

Over the last few years, we have performed extremely well in Live Betting on weekends where we have had multiple UFC events. I urge you to join us for our Live Betting Tips this weekend. If the past is anything to go by, we should make a huge profit.

Be sure to join us in our Live Betting Tips feed at the start of UFC 218, to take advantage of our highly profitable Live Betting Tips.

UFC Fight Night 122 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 122 is packed full of unknown fighters which means that we may get some excellent opportunities to make money because the bookies will Wikicap these fights and the Casual betting public won’t know enough about these fighters to correct the lines.

We tend to perform very well on these small UFC Fight Night cards, so I am confident that our in-depth research will enable us to bank a solid profit.

UFC Fight Night 120 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

First of all, I would like to apologize for my Betting Tips for UFC Fight Night 120 being posted much later than usual. I’ve been working hard all week researching these fights, but until now I haven’t found anyone worth betting on.

UFC Fight Night 120 features a lot of overpriced heavy favorites, inconsistent fighters, and veterans on the tail end of their careers. These kinds of events tend to be very good for Live Betting because we are bound to see some upsets, and momentum swings. Our prefight research and in-depth knowledge of the sport will enable us to anticipate these momentum swings and lock in our Live Bets before the bookies get a chance to adjust their odds.

I hope that you will join us for our Live Betting Tips this weekend. I am anticipating a big win.

UFC Fight Night 119 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 119 is one of those cards that is great for betting, but it also requires us to take some calculated gambles because there aren’t any “safe bets” on this event. I see a ton of value throughout the whole card, but to take advantage of this, we are going to have to roll the dice a little more than we usually do.

Remember that there is no way to be sure about what will happen in an MMA fight because every living organism on earth has a survival instinct hard-wired into our DNA. We will fight to the death to preserve our survival. When you throw two animals into a cage with this deep-rooted survival instinct, anything can, and it usually does happen. That’s why we love MMA…

We might crash and burn on this event. It’s possible. But it’s equally plausible that we could make a huge profit. The most likely outcome is that we will end up somewhere in the middle.

I feel great about my bets for this event. In fact, each of them is an excellent bet based on my research, but I am also not naive enough to ignore the fact that all these bets could lose.

Whether you tail my bets on this event or not will depend on your risk tolerance and pain threshold. If you are in this for the long haul and you are prepared to stick with me through the good times and the bad, through the upswings and the downswings, then I strongly urge you to tail these bets. These are the events where we make our big gains. Unfortunately, they can also be the events where we make our big losses.

If you see betting as a way to make a quick buck, then you should probably pass on these bets. If you feel a need to make money regularly and get frustrated by losses, then you should also pass on these bets. But if you see betting more as a long-term investment and you understand the importance of taking calculated gambles for long-term success then this is the time where you should pull the trigger.

A critical part of successful investing is knowing when to take calculated risks and having the mental strength not to let losses affect you when the calculated risks don’t work out in your favor.

We will put our money in some very strong positions at UFC Fight Night 119, but that doesn’t automatically mean we’ll make a profit. When you learn to understand this powerful concept, you will take a huge step towards becoming a profitable long-term bettor and investor.

I hope you decide to come with me on this journey. Good luck.