It’s not very often that you will hear me take positives from having a losing night of betting, but I was pleased to only walk away from UFC 242 with a 2 unit loss. There were so many fighters I was contemplating a bet on including Zak Cummings, Teemu Packalen and I was trying to find someone to parlay with Mairbek Taisumov. All 3 of these fighters ended up losing and had I not kept it tight; the end result could have been a total disaster. UFC 242 felt like one of those nights where no matter who I bet, I would have made a loss, so to walk away with just a small loss does feel good. We definitely dodged some bullets.
We now turn our attention to UFC on ESPN+ 16 to try and get September back on track. We also have KSW 50 on the same day as UFC on ESPN+ 16 which gives us another opportunity to make money. I’ll be sure to let you know if I find any bets for KSW.
August turned out to be a great month for us as we banked 8 units of profit in pre-fight betting and around 5 units of profit in Live Betting. This was one of those rare months where we performed better in pre-fight betting than we did in Live Betting.
If you are one of my Elite Members, you’ll know that we are currently in a period of terrible luck. The good news is that even with every close decision going against us, we are still managing to grind out small profits. This is an incredibly strong sign because when the luck does start to change, we will once again begin to bank Monster monthly profits. We can’t continue to be on the wrong side of so many close decisions, especially when we’ve almost always got our money on the fighter who should be winning the fight if the judges did their jobs correctly.
We now look ahead to September, which could be a tricky month for pre-fight betting and a potentially great month for Live Betting. I’ve scanned through all the fights taking place on the events this month, and at first glance, it looks like many of these upcoming UFC cards are packed full of debutants and low-level fighters. These kinds of cards are always tricky for Pre-fight betting because low-level fighters tend to be more inconsistent. This means we need to be smart, stay disciplined, and not feel pressured into putting our money into weak positions just because we feel the need to place some bets. We’ve done fantastic so far this year, and these upcoming UFC events that are stacked full of low-level talent are where people tend to implode and place bad bets. We need to keep it tight, bet smart, and continue only to put our money in strong positions.
Events full of debutants and low-level fighters tend to be bad for pre-fight betting, but they can potentially be a goldmine for Live Betting because betting sites are unfamiliar with the fighters competing on these kinds of cards and the casual betting public don’t take the time to learn about the fighters. This means that we have a huge edge Live Betting on fights that feature fighters who are either making their debuts or are new to the UFC.
As I look ahead to the next 4 weeks of fights, I am taking a cautious, Sniper approach to pre-fight betting and an extremely optimistic approach to Live Betting. Hopefully, this will enable us to end September with another profit. We are now 7-1 on profitable months in 2019. The only month where we made a loss was June.
Thank you for all your support so far this year, it means more to me than you could ever know. I promise you that I am working extremely hard behind the scenes to give us the best chance of ending 2019 with a big profit!
Usually, at this stage in one of these articles, I would talk about how we did on the last event. But since I am posting this before UFC 241 takes place, I just hope that Sandhagen and Diaz came through for us. Hopefully, we crushed it in Live Betting too.
In a few hours, I’ll be catching a flight and taking a 2-week vacation with very limited access to the internet so I won’t be online much in the run-up to this event. This means that you may not get responses to your emails and messages on the website over the next couple of weeks. It also means that if there is a problem with the website it may take longer than usual to fix.
I want to assure you that I’ll be thoroughly researching this card and providing you with Betting Tips as usual. I’ll also be back from my vacation in time to offer my usual Live Betting service and fight commentary.
August has been a great month for us so far. We’re 3-0 on prefight bets, and we’re also consistently grinding out small profits in Live Betting.
Now we turn our attention to UFC 241, an event that potentially looks very good for both prefight and Live Betting.
We kicked off August by banking a solid profit on both Prefight and Live Betting last weekend at UFC on ESPN 5. Now we have to try and keep it going by following it up with another win this weekend on UFC on ESPN+ 14.
July turned out to be a decent month for prefight betting after we banked an overall profit of just under 5 units.
After buying some new equipment last week, I am now able to research UFC fights much faster. This means that I’m well ahead of schedule on my research for this weekend’s fights at UFC on ESPN 5. As a result, I decided to spend my Tuesday researching as many of the Contender series fights as possible and after just 30 minutes I found a great value underdog bet.