UFC 223 Betting: Ferguson vs Nurmagumedov
I believe Khabib is the best lightweight ever. I can't see a way for Ferguson's victory - Nurma got iron jaw, great cardio and unbelievable strenght. Looking how easily sick Kevin Lee mounted Ferguson, I don't believe El Cucuy can do any harm vs Nurmagomedov.
Hi Puczi I always respect your opinion, I lean Kabib to, he is often talked about been the best grappler in the ufc, i agree with that with his takedowns and control, but not really guard passing and submissions, Kevin lee is not as good but has the submission based style, I see Khabib grinding from the guard and half guard but I dont see him taking the back or mounting Ferguson.
I do worry Kabib getting tired he definatley slows down in rd 3, I am thinking of a small prop on ferguson rd 4 and 5, but ultimatley I do agree Khabib will win but Tony is tough and does have good cardio.
what do you think about Ragin Al and Felder I though Al was a great bet and I am suprised his odds are improving, he is a little under sized and hasnt been very active but I always thought he was good.
If you can get Ferguson rd 4 & rd 5 props @15-20 odds, then surely they are valuable. But I just think that both of them break opponents with pressure, so I won't be surprised if Tony gets tired as well.
I think Iaquinta is be better fighter, but I'd never bet him in this fight, unless he's underdog.
Iaquinta only spent 98 seconds inside the cage within last 3 years - against Diego Sanchez. We have no idea about his shape, no idea if USADA affected him. He might suffer ring rust as well.
I see it as flipping a coin, and even though I dont mind flipping at @2.50, I'm not into doing it at @1.85.
Ferguson seems much more chilled during this fight week than he usually does.
I feel like he is at his best when he's super relaxed. This could be great for him.
I can't remember the last time I was this excited for a fight!