UFC FIGHT NIGHT 103 BETTING: RODRIGUEZ VS. PENN
Some odds available:
I already took Rivera. His takedown defence is outstanding, nobody put him on his back yet. Faber and Alcantara failed to take Jimmie down, so I believe the fight stays on the feet, where Rivera got significant advantage.
At first I wanted to bet Lauzon, but then I realised, that Held was dealing fine with Diego, who is better wrestler, than Joe, until he gassed out. Outside Mexico, Pole's cardio should be better, so I think over 2.5 could be right choice - althought not betting yet.
I like Moraga against Sergio Pettis, who's never impressed me, although Moraga will be coming in on 2 1/2 weeks notice.
Hey Puczi I bet already bet on Lauzon at pickem odds I think he is the more dangerous striker and hopefully not engage too much on the ground even though he likes to fight there
I think Rivera is the smart choice but @3.00 its tempting to bet Caraway, he is always underated, his not flashy but he seems to get the job done, he seems a bit out gunned most of the time which i think people underate him.
Agreed Lauzon is better striker.
I rate Caraway as a top 10 fighter, but i believe Rivera is a nightmare matchup for him. Jimmie's tdd should be enough to stuff everything and outclass mr Tate in striking exchanges. I'd cap that fight like 1.27 - 4.50.
I like moraga, rivera and lauzon too. Gonna bet moraga and rivera straight away, but would have liked better odds on lauzon, he can be flaky..
It's tough to see how Caraway could win this fight...
He's not going to outstrike Rivera and he doesn't have the power to KO him either.
Rivera's takedown defence is exceptional and when he does get taken down, his strong core and low base enable him to pop right back up like a spring.
I'm not too sure how Caraway could win this one... Maybe a bad judging decision is his only chance.
Woodsy's Over/Under Picks :
Lauzon vs Held + Moraga vs. Sergio : OVER 2.5 at about +145 (2.45) total.
*Hey Allsopp, it would be much easier to post images, not with a url, but like with the profile pics : much easier. I had to upload my pic to my website, then create and post a link, and it still didnt work.
Why Lauzon/Held over at -170? I tend to consider the under if Joe is fighting. Joe won exactly 1 dec ever and went the distance in only 6 out of 38 fights. Not touching any over at these odds in one of his fights.
[quote quote=31747]Why Lauzon/Held over at -170? I tend to consider the under if Joe is fighting. Joe won exactly 1 dec ever and went the distance in only 6 out of 38 fights. Not touching any over at these odds in one of his fights.
I just don't see either guy finishing the other, in this matchup.
I just researched Nina vs. Lyberger,
And both chicks are perseverant but Non-Finishers.
I would bet my Right Nut (/50 Units)
That it goes to a Decision.
The WINNER will be IMO TOO UNPREDICTABLE.
50 Units @ -280 (Win about 18 Units) : very confident bet.
More conservative version : 10 Units to Return 13.5
P.S. : Woodsy is BACK.
Lauzon wins by the Sword and goes out on his Shield.
I doubt either guy finishes the other.
OVER 2.5 : (-170)
25 units into 40 Units
Or 5 into 8.
Parlay both picks @ +116 (2.16)
14 to Return 30 Units
Or more reasonably 4 into 8.5.
P.S. : I'm so confident in these picks, that if they're not both right, I'll change my name to "Stupid Owl" til Feb 15th.
Love ya work Woodsy
[quote quote=31772]Love ya work Woodsy
Thanks Man :good: