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Reach, macgregor has a 4 inch reach advantage and uses unorthodox striking and was undefeated before facing siver on 2 weeks notice and dropping 30 lbs to make weight. Rosa looked great in his fight and possibly could have won if not for octogon jitters, weight cut, and being outclassed in the power and experience arena. Why rosa is an important fight is his fighting style its very similar to mcgregor, and what I noticed is he attacked siver early to get the finish early as that is rosa mo. However he got hit by siver once and changed his strategy for the duration of the fight. I see mcgregor notice sivers power in the first and then recalibrate to adjust to get mid to late stoppage in the 3rd. As for reach, see the rosa fight, rosa had a 7 inch reach advantage and was a powerful unorthodox striker. Siver can negate that while fresh. McGregor has a 4 inch reach advantage and is a powerful striker. Siver has never been tkod in the 1st as a featherweight, only in the 3rd by cub swanson another powerful striker. Siver and mcgregor has one other factor, the trash talk. Siver seems very German russian about the whole thing, im not even sure he understands english well. McGregor was doing in ring trash talk to porier before he clipped him, although a small factor any advantage helps. Porier also had a bs 4 week camp. Siver has had 16 weeks of prep.This review doesnt jibe well with me, no offense, but you didn’t give any analysis as to why siver would all of a sudden wilt to mcgregor in less than 7 min. Too fast too rangey etc too powerful you could have said that about rosa, wiman, and swanson siver lasted way beyond 1.5 rounds. Give us meat, on the bones. This sounds more like what conner is putting out there with out any math done, as youve done on other picks.

By that I mean your analysis on other picks is more technical than this I it sounds like siver loses due to magic.

Hey man,

Hope you’re having a good day.

I’m really sorry that this pick wasn’t more specific.

I went back and watched some of Rosa’s fights and he’s good but he’s no where near top 10 level.

I believe the closeness of his fight with Siver was more down to the fact that Siver is rapidly declining at the age of 36, since he has stopped using TRT.

I actually believe that Sean Soriano will beat Rosa at UFC Fight Night 59 and Soriano is 0-2 in the UFC.

Poirier, Brandao and Brimage are all tough and they’re all young guys, but McGregor still managed to finish them all in the 1st round with his speed and power. Siver is 36 and he’s stopped using TRT, which means his cardio and ability to absorb damage will have declined significantly since his fight with Swanson.

Siver has been a striker his whole career and yet he chose to take Rosa down and control him on the ground. I believe that this is a clear sign that he is starting to lose his speed and reflexes and he’s trying to make adjustments to compensate for that.

Conor gets in and out so fast and he lands with such speed and accuracy. If he can finish Poirier inside a couple of minutes I really don’t see how Siver will be able to last much longer.

Like you said, Siver has never been finished in the 1st round, but we’ve seen how other fighters of a similar age have looked since they came off TRT. Bigfoot, Marquardt, Overeem, Henderson etc. They’ve all lost their speed and durability.

This bet is pre-empting that the same thing will happen to Siver and I Believe that his reluctance to stand and trade with Rosa is a clear indication that Conor will be able to blast him.

I’m really sorry I didn’t write all that in the original tip. Thanks for letting me know mate. I will definitely be more detailed in future!

If your assessment is based on trt. Read this
http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2014/4/7/5589926/dennis-siver-admits-to-using-hcg-drops-prior-to-ufc-168

Hcg drops v trt , this might help clarify things

Thanks for the reply and assessment, means alot. Give me a shout out, after siver survives round 1. Dr. Medici.

Thanks alot mate, I really appreciate the feedback!

I will definitely be thinking of you if Siver comes out and starts to give Conor problems!!!

Good luck mate 🙂

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