I’ve got 2 Premium Betting Tips for Bellator 132 and I feel very confident that we’re going to make a profit on this event. This is the first Bellator event in a long time that hasn’t been full up with squash matches and it looks like Scott Coker’s incluence has already dramatically improved their matchmaking.
Don’t forget to stop by the forum and let me know what you think of my betting tips for this event.
BUBBA JENKINS vs GEORGI KARAKHANYAN
This is a huge step up in competition for Bubba Jenkins and whilst I’m not completely sold on his potential to become a top level Featherweight, I do believe that he matches up well enough with Georgi Karakhanyan to win this fight.
I am a big fan of Karakhanyan, but a good friend of mine once told me never to bet against top level wrestlers when they’re fighting people with questionable takedown defence [Thanks to Will Martinez!]. This advice has helped me win a lot of money and it can be perfectly applied to win bets on fights like this.
On paper this might seem like a close fight, but when you drill down and look at the skills of both fighters, you’ll see that Jenkins has a fighting style that will be very tricky for Karakhanyan to handle.
Georgi Karakhanyan is a much better striker than Bubba Jenkins, but elite strikers become more tentative when they fight elite grapplers. This happens because they’re constantly in fear of being taken down. We saw this happen to Karakhanyan in his fight against Lance Palmer and I believe that there’s a very good chance that it will also happen against Jenkins. Karakhanyan’s striking looked great in the early stages of his fight against Palmer, but he soon went into a shell and starting fighting with caution as soon as Palmer started to threaten him with takedowns.
Georgi Karakhanyan is a decent grappler and he’s got a dangerous submission game, but he doesn’t have very good takedown defence and he’s not very good at getting back to his feet. This is a problem against a guy like Bubba Jenkins, because Bubba has great takedowns, superb top control and stellar submission defence. I really like the way that Bubba defends submissions, because he doesn’t hang around in a position long enough to get caught in anything and if he does get caught, he uses his powerful wrestling base to power out of the submission attempt.
Georgi Karakhanyan is the better striker, but Bubba has good enough striking to keep the stand up exchanges competitive and I have no doubt in my mind that he’ll be able to take Karakhanyan down. I believe that Karakhanyan has to win this fight by submission and I’m not convinced that he’s going to be able to do that. I understand that he caught Lance Palmer in a nasty submission within a split second, but he also spent the majority of that fight struggling off his back and Bubba is way more active and aggressive than Palmer on the ground.
I believe that Bubba Jenkins will beat Georgi Karakhanyan by controlling him on the ground for the majority of this fight.
MY BETTING TIP: 2 Units [2% of your bankroll] on Bubba Jenkins to win at odds of 1.80 | -125 | 4/5
FERNANDO GONZALEZ vs MARIUS ZAROMSKIS
Marius Zaromski to beat Fernando Gonzalez is one of my most confident bets of the weekend. Zaromski is simply better than Gonzalez in every single aspect of MMA.
Both these guys like to strike, but Zaromski is faster, more technical and he throws a much wider range of strikes. He should be able to win this fight by using his powerful kicks and combo’s to chip away at Gonzalez. You can see him using this gameplan to superb effect in his last fight against Vaughn Anderson…
Fernando Gonzalez likes to start strong, but he often fades in the 2nd and 3rd round. Zaromski is tough enough to weather the early storm and then capitalize on openings when Gonzalez starts to slow down later on in the fight. Zaromski has brutal leg kicks and a big speed advantage that will make it difficult for Gonzalez to compete the longer this fight goes on.
You can take a look at Gonzalez’s one dimensional striking style in his recent fight against Karl Amoussou…
Fernando Gonzalez is slow, he telegraphs his punches and he’s very one dimensional. He trains out of a small gym and he’s also suffered with cardio issues in the past. Marius Zaromski is good everywhere, he trains at AKA and he will win this fight as long as he doesn’t get knocked out.
MY BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Marius Zaromski to win at odds of 1.83 | -120 | 83/100