[adrotate group=”25″]The Ultimate Fighter Finale in China is headlined by a Welterweight match up between Dong Hyun Kim and John Hathaway. Dong Hyun Kim is a big favourite in this fight and should have no problems beating the Brit. He has shown throughout his career that he is an excellent grappler and also demonstrated a good chin and knock out power in his last fight against Erick Silva.
Hathaway hasn’t fought for 18 months and ring rust is a very real issue that normally causes problems for fighters returning from long lay-offs. Returning to fight in the UFC after 18 months is hard enough, but it’s even harder fighting against someone like Dong Hyun Kim, who is extremely strong and fights with a relentless, grinding style.
At this point in this article, you’re probably expecting me to summarise the reasons why you should place your bets on Dong Hyun Kim to win, but I’m actually going to do the opposite because betting on Kim is very risky…
No one can deny that the South Korean has a big advantage over Hathaway, but there are just too many factors, that could lead to the Brit causing an upset on Saturday night.
The first of these factors is Hathaway’s impressive MMA record of 17 wins and only 1 loss. The Brit holds notable wins over extremely tough fighters like Diego Sanchez and Rick Story and the only blip on his record is a unanimous decision loss to Mike Pyle. This record shows that Hathaway is a winner. It’s always dangerous betting against guys like this, because their record is a sign that they know how to dig deep and grind out a win, even when the odds are stacked against them.
The second factor which raises alarm bells is that Hathaway hasn’t fought for 18 months. Whilst I accept that this is normally a disadvantage, it also leaves a question mark over how Hathaway is going to perform on Saturday night. History would tell us that he will show up with ring rust and under perform, but there’s always the chance that he might have improved a lot since the last time we saw him. He also has decent take down defence and if he can stuff Kim’s takedowns, it might be a difficult night for the Korean.
Our third factor brings us onto the reason why we’re writing this article in the first place. The MMA records of Dong Hyun Kim and John Hathaway show that these fighters love fighting to decisions. John Hathaway’s last 7 fights have all ended via decision and 7 out of Kim’s last 8 wins have also come by way of decision. That means that there is an extremely high chance that this fight will last longer than 4.5 rounds and that means that we’ve got ourselves a great bet for this fight.
The best value odds on this fight to last longer than 4.5 rounds can be found at [adrotate group=”26″]. Be sure to stop by our brand new MMA Betting Forum to let us know what you think of this betting tip!
OUR BET: 10.00 UNITS ON THE FIGHT TO LAST LONGER THAN 4.5 ROUNDS AT 1.62 | -161 | 31/50
[divider]
BEST ODDS AVAILABLE FOR THIS UFC FIGHT…
The best odds for this fight can be found at [adrotate group=”26″].
[divider]
MORE UFC BETTING TIPS FOR TUF FINALE CHINA…
Dong Hyun Kim vs John Hathaway
Matt Mitrione vs Shawn Jordan
Over / Under Prop Bets for TUF Finale China
