It felt great to be back in Las Vegas for last week’s UFC event at the Apex Center. The standard of judging throughout the card was excellent. There were a couple of late stoppages from the referees, but that didn’t impact our ability to make money.
We had a great night in Live Betting with everyone earning a solid profit. I also gave out an unofficial bet on a line that can only be bet on certain betting websites. Those of us that hit that ended up having a Monster night.
I am super excited about what we can achieve in Live Betting over the next couple of months because all UFC events in August and September are scheduled to be held in Las Vegas. Vegas has some of the best judges in the world, which sets us up to make some big money.
Prefight betting was a bit flat with Jennifer Maia coming through for us, but Vannata let us down to put us at a small overall loss on prefight bets. Check out the beginning of the Livestream below on the Haqparast vs. Munoz fight to get a more in-depth breakdown of how I felt about each of those bets:
|Fight||Betting Tip||Who I think will win||Who I think is the better bet|
|Alexey Oleinik vs Derrick Lewis||No bet||Lewis||Oleinik|
|Chris Weidman vs Omari Akhmedov||No bet||Weidman||Weidman|
|Darren Stewart vs Maki Pitolo||No bet||Stewart||Pitolo|
|Julija Stoliarenko vs Yana Kunitskaya||No bet||Kunitskaya||Kunitskaya|
|Beneil Dariush vs Scott Holtzman||Dariush||Holtzman|
|Joaquin Buckley vs Kevin Holland||No bet||Holland||Buckley|
|Laureano Staropoli vs Tim Means||No bet||Staropoli||Staropoli|
|Alex Munoz vs Nasrat Haqparast||3 units on Nasrat Haqparast to win at odds of 1.43 | -233 | 43/100||Haqparast||Haqparast|
|Andrew Sanchez vs Wellington Turman||No bet||Sanchez||Sanchez|
|Peter Barrett vs Youssef Zalal||No bet||Zalal||Barrett|
|Gavin Tucker vs Justin Jaynes||No bet||Tucker||Tucker|
|Ali Al Qaisi vs Irwin Rivera||No bet||Rivera||Rivera|
Alex Munoz vs Nasrat Haqparast Betting Tip and Prediction
Alex Munhoz has a really tough UFC debut ahead of him this weekend against Nasrat Haqparast.
For a full breakdown of the reasons why I believe Haqparast is a solid bet, I recommend checking out the Livestream research session below:
Usually, in one of these breakdowns, I’d discuss the strengths and weaknesses of both fighters and cover off the risk factors for the guy I recommend betting, but there’s not that much to talk about here. All I can say is that Haqparast is significantly better than Munoz everywhere, and something improbable would have to happen in order for Haqparast to lose this.
If the fight stays standing, Haqparast should be able to use his superior technique, footwork and striking defense to pick Munoz apart. Munoz is very much a single shot striker and doesn’t mix things up much. He also doesn’t appear to have much power in his hands. Munoz just doesn’t seem that dangerous standing, which is backed up by the fact that he’s gone the distance in his last 3 fights against guys who are at a much lower level than Haqparast.
Munoz’s single-shot style of striking shouldn’t cause Haqparast too much of a problem, because Haqparast utilizes the high Boxing guard and sees shots coming from a mile away. Both these guys are also Southpaws, which favors the more experienced striker in Haqparast.
Munoz also doesn’t have the best offensive wrestling or grappling control. Haqparast has decent takedown defense and a decent level ground game, so I don’t see Munoz causing him a problem in that department either.
Another reason why I like Haqparast to beat Munoz is that Munoz tends to slow down as the fight progresses. By the midway point of round 2, he starts to look flat, and he is pretty gassed in the 3rd round. In contrast, Haqparast has an amazing gas tank. He can fight at a very high pace for 3 rounds.
This is a great stylistic matchup for Haqparast because he’s better than Munoz everywhere. He should be able to use his superior technique to dominate the fight wherever it takes place. Something crazy would have to happen for Haqparast to lose this.
Reasons for betting on Nasrat Haqparast
Risk Factors with betting on Nasrat Haqparast
My Betting Tip
Nasrat Haqparast to win
[3% of your bankroll]
Decimal = 1.43
Moneyline = -233
Fractional = 43/100
The bookies believe that Nasrat Haqparast has a 70% chance of beating Alex Munoz based on their current odds.