VIP Betting Tips, Picks & Predictions for UFC 193 – Rousey vs Holm

I’d like to start by saying a big thankyou to all of our new VIP Members. We’ve had a lot of new people join us over the last couple of weeks and I’m really looking forward to getting to know you guys better in the forums and chat room. I really appreciate you putting your faith in this community and I’m looking forward to paying you back by helping you win a lot of money over the next few years.

I’d also like to take this opportunity to explain how our system works…

I always post an Early Bird Betting Tips article when I first start to research an MMA event. This article then gets updated with new betting tips as I research each of the fights. Posting my betting tips early enables you to place your bets early, which often means that you get much better value odds than if you were to wait and place your bets closer to the time of an event. Then, when I have finished researching an event, I post an article like this with a more detailed breakdown of the reasoning behind each of my betting tips. I will always send you a notification email when I post new betting tip articles on the website.

I first started to post my betting tips for this event on the 9th of October in an Early Bird article. Since then, the odds on almost all of my tips for this event have declined. This is a good sign, because it shows that we are strategically placing our bets early to get the maximum amount of value in the odds.

Thanks again for joining our community, I’m really looking forward to seeing you guys on the forums and chat room.

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Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva vs Mark Hunt Betting Tip Prediction

I believe that Bigfoot Silva will get knocked out in the first exchange of this fight. That may come as a shock to some people who have fond memories of the crazy back and forth war that took place the first time Hunt and Bigfoot fought, but a lot has changed since their last fight.

In the past, Bigfoot was a tough, durable Heavyweight who could take a lot of damage, but his chin has failed him since he stopped taking TRT [Testosterone Replacement Therapy] back in 2013. This has resulted in him suffering 3 brutal knockout losses in his last 5 fights. More worringly, Bigfoot has suffered an ungodly amount of head trauma over the last 2 years. During this period of time he has fought Soa Palelei, Mark Hunt, Cain Velasquez, Alistair Overeem, Andrei Arlovski and Frank Mir and win or lose he took significant damage against all of those guys. There’s only so much head trauma that the human brain can take and Bigfoot’s recent performances indicate that the damage he has taken throughout his career is finally starting to catch up with him.

We’ve seen a decline in almost every fighter who has stopped taking TRT, but Bigfoot’s decline has to be one of the worst. This is largely down to the fact that Bigfoot needs to take TRT because his body produces naturally low levels of Testosterone due to a medical condition he suffers from called Acromegaly. Acromegaly is a form of Gigantism and Bigfoot used TRT throughout his career to help his body produce the Testosterone he needed to compete against the best fighters in the world. When the use of TRT was banned back in the Summer of 2014, we suddenly saw a rapid decline in Bigfoot’s physical appearance and his performances inside the Octagon.

Testosterone is an essential hormone in the human body and having high levels is a big advantage for a fighter because it improves…

1. Your bone and muscle strength [this makes you more durable].
2. Your mood [this helps you keep a positive mindset and a strong mentality].
3. Your drive and motivation [this helps you stay focused and train hard].
4. Your circulation [this has an impact on your cardio because you can pump Oxygen around the body faster].
5. Your immune system [helps you stay healthy in the lead up to a fight].

Bigfoot has looked incredibly slow since he stopped using TRT and at times it looks like he’s fighting under water. His decline has been so fast and so sudden and he hasn’t shown any signs of improvement in the 3 fights since he stopped using the treatment.

Mark Hunt is coming into this fight in the best shape of his career. He has muscle definition for the first time ever and this is the first time in his 20 year long combat sports career that he doesn’t have to cut weight. Hunt blames his recent losses on having to cut 20 pounds on the day of the weigh ins and he says that working with a nutritionist for this fight has made him feel better than he ever has before. You only have to take a look at his pre fight interview below to see that Hunt appears to be in the best physical and mental shape of his career.

Mark Hunt is one of the hardest hitting and most durable fighters in the UFC. He has the power to knock any man out and he’s tough enough to hang in there with the best in the world. Hunt is almost impossible to finish and with home advantage on his side I don’t see any way in which he could lose this fight. Mark Hunt is too fast and his chin is too good to get caught by one of Bigfoot’s telegraphed punches. It’s not even like Hunt has to worry about being taken down anymore because Bigfoot doesn’t have the strength or athleticism to pull it off.

I expect Mark Hunt to win this fight with a devastating knockout. This bet should be an easy winner.

MY BETTING TIP: 10 Units [10% of your bankroll] on Mark Hunt to win at odds of 1.47 | -212 | 47/100

Robert Whittaker vs Uriah Hall Betting Tip Prediction

I feel bad for Robert Whittaker because he went from being matched up against Michael Bisping, to eventually facing Uriah Hall when Bisping dropped out of their fight due to injury. I actually bet 5 units on Robert Whittaker to beat Michael Bisping, so I was really disappointed when I saw that their fight was cancelled. I feel like Whittaker has caught a really rough deal here because this is a much more difficult fight for him. Uriah Hall has a lot of flaws in his game, but he’s a nightmare opponent for Whittaker and I expect Hall to win this fight easily.

Uriah Hall has been inconsistent since he signed for the UFC, but he only tends to struggle against guys who try to take him down or guys that don’t engage with him. People that fight aggressively against Hall normally end up getting knocked out, whilst guys that take a more tactical approach against him do a lot better.

Robert Whittaker is a berzerker in the Octagon. He likes to push the pace, fight aggressively and get in your face and this is unfortunately the worst type of tactic to employ against Uriah Hall. Whittaker doesn’t have the skills to use a more technical gameplan and his aggressive style of fighting has seen him rocked numerous times throughout his career. His inability to take a more calculated approach to his fights saw him get brutally knocked out against Stephen Thompson and I predict that the same thing will happen in this fight against Uriah Hall.

Uriah Hall might have a lot of flaws in his game, but his style of fighting is similar to guys like Lyoto Machida and Stephen Thompson, in that they like to react to what their opponent is doing. Their technical striking is so much better than the majority of their opponent’s, that they like to just sit back and capitalize on mistakes that their opponent is making. If their opponent’s don’t engage with them, the fight will be boring and their performance will look lack lustre. This is just their style and it’s just the way that they fight. Opponent’s that try to fight aggressively against them normally end up over commiting and getting knocked out.

Robert Whittaker is a great fighter with a bright future in the sport, but he’s still only 24 years old and his technical ability is just not there yet. Whittaker might be good offensively, but he has serious weaknesses defensively and he’s extremely easy to hit. He also uses poor striking technique, which means he loads up on punches and telegraphs certain strikes that he likes to throw. Whittaker’s inability to throw strikes with proper technique means that he slows down and becomes considerably less dangerous the longer a fight goes on.

Whittaker also makes the mistake of over commiting to strikes and moving forwards and backwards in straight lines as opposed to using effective footwork to circle out of danger. Whittaker’s striking technique is very basic, very predictable and he’s still very green. I like him a lot, but I can’t help but feel that he’s bringing a knife to a gunfight.

I have seen some people in the media point to Whittaker’s wrestling as a possible path to victory in this fight but I’m not buying that and I actually believe that Hall is the better grappler out of the two. I understand that Whittaker has shown some decent wrestling in a few of his previous fights, but Hall has been training with high level BJJ coaches at Tiger Schulman and Kings MMA and he’s also demonstrated strong wrestling in flashes during his fights against Kelvin Gastelum, Oluwale Bamgbose and Rafael Natal.

You also have to take into consideration the fact that Uriah Hall is much bigger than Robert Whittaker and holds a 6 inch reach advantage over him. Whittaker is a small Middleweight who previously fought at Welterweight, whilst Hall is a monster for the Middleweight division. I think Hall will have a huge physical advantage in this fight and Whittaker’s going to find it really difficult to get inside Hall’s 6 inch reach without taking significant damage.

Uriah Hall has been training at Kings MMA for this fight, which is absolutely one of the best gyms in the world for him to train at. Rafael Cordeiro has transformed the careers of guys like Beneil Dariush, Fabricio Werdum and Rafael Dos Anjos and helped one dimensional journeymen develop into some of the best fighters in the world. Rafael Cordeiro has the reputation of being one of the best MMA coaches of all time and I’m excited to see how Uriah Hall looks now that he’s training under him. If Cordeiro can help Hall unlock his full potential, I think we could be looking at a future contender in the Middleweight division.

If Robert Whittaker was as good defensively as he is offensively, I think the odds on this fight would make sense. Fortunately for us, I don’t believe that the Bookies or the betting public have done their homework on this fight, because no one seems to have identified that Robert Whittaker’s poor striking defence will leave him wide open to getting knocked out. I am excited for his future in the sport, but at 24 years old I feel that this matchup is too much, too soon. He needs to develop much better technique before he steps into the Octagon against a far superior striker like Uriah Hall.

Hall should be able to win this fight by staying on the outside and waiting for Whittaker to over commit or make a mistake. From there he should be able to pick him off or score a knock out win. I expect Hall to win this fight easily and add another clip to his highlight reel.

MY BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Uriah Hall to win at odds of 1.80 | -125 | 4/5

Dan Kelly vs Steve Montgomery Betting Tip Prediction

At 38 years old Dan Kelly looks like a fighter who is on the verge of retirement and his body looks like it is being held together by band aids. He has had a great career competing at the highest level of the sport, but he’s going to get brutally knocked out by almost any able bodied fighter in the UFC.

Steve Montgomery is nothing special, but he’s young, hungry and reasonably well rounded. He also hits very hard and he fights very long, which is a nightmare for a guy like Dan Kelly who struggles to enter his opponent’s range without taking damage…

Dan Kelly has some of the worst striking defence I’ve ever seen. He just ducks his his head down and hopes for the best when he enters his opponent’s striking range. This inability to get in and out of his opponent’s range without taking damage makes Kelly extremely vulnerable to the knockout. His knees are also too badly injured to use any kind of effective footwork and his slow reaction times make him a sitting duck to getting punched in the face.

Steve Montgomery has a 5 inch reach over Kelly and one of his most dangerous weapons is a powerful head kick. I don’t think there’s anything that Kelly can do to stop Montgomery from landing huge strikes on him and for that reason I believe Montgomery will score a knockout fairly early on in this fight.

Dan Kelly is a former Olympic Judoka, but he doesn’t have the athleticism to take his opponents down or keep them there. His knee is heavily strapped up from multiple surgeries and he just doesn’t have the explosiveness or strong base that he needs to shoot in on people or grapple with them in the clinch. Montgomery should easily be able to use his youth and physical advantages to keep this fight standing where he should be able to destroy Kelly in the striking exchanges.

I expect Steve Montgomery to win this fight easily by knockout. There’s just nothing that Kelly will be able to do to stop Montgomery from landing significant strikes on him.

MY BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Steve Montgomery to win at odds of 1.42 | -238 | 21/50

UFC 193 Picks