I’ve got 2 solid Premium Betting Tips for UFC 182 that should help us kick off 2015 with a profit. After fully researching this event, I didn’t find any good bets on the Prelims, but I did find some good value bets in the fights between Donald Cerrone and Myles Jury, as well as the fight between Brad Tavares and Nate Marquardt.
Don’t forget that I have changed the way we use betting units, so that our unit sizes more closely resemble the way in which betting units are used throughout the world of Sports betting. This means that 1 unit will now represent 1% of your bankroll and whilst the numbers we work with may seem lower than usual, the financial losses and gains will remain the same. You can use the new betting calculator on the sidebar of this website to work out how much money you should place on your bets and please don’t hesitate to contact me via the
forum if you need any help.
In 2015 I’m going to work really hard to help you win a lot more money than you did in 2014 and I’m also going to find ways to add more value to your
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DONALD CERRONE vs MYLES JURY
I predict that Donald Cerrone will win this fight, because I don’t see how Myles Jury can beat him. If we look at this fight with a completely balanced view, we have to recognise that Jury isn’t going to knock Cerrone out, he isn’t going to submit him and he isn’t going to be able to control him on the ground. Jury is a decent counter striker, but so is Cerrone and Jury isn’t going to be able to get in and out without Cowboy doing significant damage. You will probably remember Jury’s fight against Diego Sanchez as being a technical masterclass with Jury staying on the outside and picking Diego apart. This is partly true, but Diego still managed to rock Jury a couple of times and he was frequently able to cut off angles. If Diego was able to cut angles and land some big shots, then I’m pretty sure Cerrone can do the same and I don’t believe that Jury’s elusive fighting style will be a problem for Cowboy.
This fight will probably consist of Myles Jury staying on the outside whilst Cerrone walks him down and cuts off angles. Cowboy will fight more aggressively, he will land the more significant strikes and he will do more damage. It’s also worth noting that Cerrone lands a higher volume of striker per minute, so it’s unlikely that Jury will be able to outpoint Cerrone and win a decision.
Myles Jury has a couple of decent wins against a declining Diego Sanchez and a 36 year old Takanori Gomi, but this is Donald Cerrone we’re talking about here. The Nevada State Athletic Commission favours striking and damage, over point scoring and control and Myles Jury won’t be able to run away for 15 minutes and score a decision win in Las Vegas.
Donald Cerrone is currently on a 5 fight winning streak and I expect him to beat Myles Jury and take one step closer towards a title shot…
OUR BETTING TIP: 5.00 Units [5% of your bankroll] on Donald Cerrone to win at odds of 1.54 | -185 | 27/50
The best odds on Donald Cerrone to win can be found at: [adrotate group=”78″]
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BRAD TAVARES vs NATE MARQUARDT
It’s not very often that you will see me betting on a 35 year old to beat a 27 year old, but I’ll make an exception on this occasion. Yes, I know that that I’ve just written a 1000 word betting tip explaining the reasons why youth will be a significant advantage for Jon Jones, but Brad Tavares has failed to make the step up against top level opponents and Nate Marquardt is still dangerous in every single aspect of MMA.
If you go back and look at Brad Tavares’ MMA record, you’ll notice that he’s never beaten a top fighter. In fact, his biggest win was against Lorenz Larkin and I can’t help but feel that Larkin underperformed in that fight and gifted Tavares the win.
I know Marquardt is 35 years old and I also realise that he’s suffered a couple of really bad knock out losses in his last few fights, but I still like him here.
If you take the time to study Brad Tavares and Nate Marquardt, you’ll notice that Tavares doesn’t have a single advantage over Marquardt, other than his age. Marquardt is quite simply a better striker, a better grappler and he’s also got the ability to finish fights, something that Tavares has lacked throughout his career.
If this fight stays standing, I believe Marquardt has the significant advantage, because he has the skills to outstrike Tavares and he also has the ability to finish the fight with a knockout. If this fight goes to the ground, Tavares could be in big trouble, because Marquardt has strong wrestling and really good Jiu Jitsu.
Brad Tavares likes to win fights with clinch work and control, but that won’t work against Marquardt, because Nate has really strong clinchwork and grappling.
I don’t see a clear path to victory for Brad Tavares and that’s why I’m betting on Nate Marquardt to win this fight. Nate might have lost his way a little in recent years and some may argue that he is rapidly declining, but I still believe that a declining Nate Marquardt still has the skills required to beat a journeyman MMA fighter like Brad Tavares.
OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Nate Marquardt to win at odds of 1.74 | -135 | 37/50
The best odds on Nate Marquardt to win can be found at: [adrotate group=”76″]
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