This UFC Fight Night 91 betting guide gives you a full breakdown of all the factors you should take into consideration before placing your bets. It contains the latest UFC betting odds, implied probabilities for all the fighters and a number of X Factors that could effect the outcome of the fights…
UFC Fight Night 91 Betting Odds
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Here are the latest UFC Fight Night 91 Betting Odds…
UFC Fight Night 91 Implied Probabilities
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]The odds for all UFC events are determined by the probability of each fighter winning in the eyes of the Oddsmakers.
Using a simple equation we can convert the betting odds for UFC Fight Night 91 into the probabilities that the Oddsmakers have assigned to each fighter winning. This helps us to find value in the odds and place bets where we feel we have an edge on the Bookies…
When odds are converted into their probabilities, we call this the implied probability. You can find the implied probabilities for UFC Fight Night 91 below.
These are the percentage chance that the Bookies believe each fighter has of winning.
| John Lineker | 61% | Michael McDonald | 40% |
| Tony Ferguson | 85% | Landan Vannata | 14% |
| Josh Samman | 67% | Tim Boetsch | 34% |
| Alexey Oleinik | 65% | Daniel Omielanczuk | 36% |
| Kyle Noke | 61% | Keita Nakamura | 40% |
| Ben Nguyen | 53% | Louis Smolka | 47% |
| Lauren Murphy | 64% | Katlyn Chookagian | 37% |
| Sam Alvey | 71% | Eric Spicely | 30% |
| Christina Stanciu | 60% | Cortney Casey-Sanchez | 42% |
| Scott Holtzman | 75% | Cody Pfister | 27% |
| Matthew Lopez | 56% | Rani Yahya | 45% |
| Devin Clark | 69% | Alex Nicholson | 33% |
USADA Watch
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]USADA have had a big impact on the sport since their random drug testing came into full force earlier this year. Only 10 of the fighters competing at UFC Fight Night 91 have fought under the new USADA drug testing regulations. These fighters are Alex Nicholson, Scott Holtzman, Christina Stanciu, Sam Alvey, Lauren Murphy, Kyle Noke, Kieta Nakamura, Daniel Omielańczuk, Tim Boetsch, Michael McDonald and John Lineker.
Here are a few fighters who may be impacted by the USADA drug testing programme…
Injury Concerns
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Sam Alvey” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29153″ thumbnail_size=”239×179″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]Sam Alvey suffered a broken jaw in training in December of last year. A broken jaw is one of the most devastating injuries that a fighter can go through. Fighters who break their jaw are hardly ever the same again. It almost always effects their confidence, durability and they also tend to become more tentative.[/mpc_testimonial][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Alex Nicholson” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29159″ thumbnail_size=”239×328″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]Alex Nicholson first suffered a broken jaw whilst fighting on the regional MMA circuit back in 2015. Shortly after breaking his jaw, the UFC gave him a call and asked him if he wanted to make his debut against Misha Cirkunov back in February of this year. Nicholson accepted the fight before his broken jaw had time to heal properly, which resulted in him breaking it for a third time in his fight against Cirkunov. Nicholson is now stepping back into the Octagon just 5 months after breaking his jaw for a 3rd time, so it’s very unlikely that it has healed properly. There’s a very good chance that Nicholson will get knocked out in this fight.[/mpc_testimonial][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Oleksiy Oliynyk” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29161″ thumbnail_size=”239×179″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]Oleksiy Oliynyk has been away from the sport since November 2014 as a result of numerous knee injuries and surgeries. This is a sign of wear and tear. Oliynyk is now 39 years old and has had a total of 60 MMA fights.[/mpc_testimonial][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Michael McDonald” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29164″ thumbnail_size=”239×179″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]McDonald has had a long term battle with hand and wrist injuries which kept him out for over 2 years. These kind of injuries have a tendency to resurface.[/mpc_testimonial]Fighters Making Their Debut
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Devin Clark
Devin Clark is entering the UFC with a 6-0 record. Fighting out of Jackson-Wink MMA. He comes in to fight Alex Nicholson at Middleweight.
Take a look at one of Devin’s most recent fights below:
Matthew Lopez
Matthew Lopez is also an undefeated fighter, with a record of 8-0. He is a product of Mark Munoz’s Reign Training Centre. Lopez has picked up a few 1st Round finishes on the regional scene and now steps up to fight Rani Yahya.
Find out more about Matthew Lopez in this video…
Eric Spicely
Eric Spicely fights out of Tim Burrill’s BJJ and enters the UFC with an 8-0 record. He most recently appeared on the Ultimate Fighter, where he was beaten by the eventual winner, Andrew Sanchez. He will be stepping in to fight Sam Alvey.
This is how Spicely’s final fight played out on the Ultimate Fighter…
Katlyn Chookagian
Katlyn Chookagian is fighting out of Allstar BJJ and has a 7-0 record. She is a career Flyweight, having made her Bantamweight debut in her last fight; she will be coming in to fight a fully-fledged Bantamweight in Lauren Murphy.
Checkout some highlights from one of Katlyn’s most recent fights…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qN6Ga5L1meA
Landon Vannata
Landon Vannata is fighting out of Jackson-Wink MMA and has a record of 8-0. It’s a big step up in competition for Vannata coming in to fight Tony Ferguson in his UFC debut.
Checkout one of Vannata’s most recent fights…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuZs9OE7gKo
Fighters With Home Advantage
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Devin Clark
As well as making his UFC debut, Devin Clark will also be under pressure to perform in front of his home town fans.
Ben Nguyen
Now fighting out of Brisbane, Australia, Nguyen was born in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. He will have the positive energy from the fans in the arena, who will likely be very hostile towards Smolka.
Short Notice Fighters
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Landon Vannata” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29172″ thumbnail_size=”239×243″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]Landon Vannata has come into the UFC on short notice to replace the injured Michael Chiesa. The fight was made official on the 28th of June. Vannata will have just over 2 weeks to have prepared for this fight. Vannata had a bout cancelled in March of this year because he failed to make weight, which does not bode well for him. He last fought in April and there is no sign that he was scheduled for another bout, so will likely have questionable cardio going into this fight.[/mpc_testimonial]Size Advantages
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Alex Nicholson vs Devin Clark
Alex Nicholson is the bigger than Devin Clark. He will have a 4 inch height and a 4 inch reach advantage.
Cortney Casey-Sanchez vs Christina Stanciu
We have seen repeatedly the effect size can have in Women’s MMA. Casey will have a 4 inch height and 3 inch reach over Stanciu in this fight.
Ben Nguyen vs Louis Smolka
Louis Smolka is humongous for a Flyweight at 5 ft 9. He will have a 5 inch height and also a 3 inch reach advantage over Ben Nguyen.
Daniel Omielanczuk vs Oleksiy Oliynyk
There is only a 2 inch height advantage in favour of Oliynyk, but he has a significant 6 inch reach advantage.
Josh Samman vs Tim Boetsch
Josh Samman will have a 3 inch height and 5 inch reach advantage over Tim Boetsch in this fight.
Landon Vannata vs Tony Ferguson
Tony Ferguson will have the physical advantage in this fight. He is 3 inches taller and holds a 4 inch reach advantage over Vannata.
John Lineker vs Michael McDonald
Michael McDonald holds a 6 inch height and 3 inch reach advantage over Lineker.
Age Concerns
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Kyle Noke
Kyle Noke is now 36 years old, having fought 10 UFC fights since his time on the Ultimate Fighter in 2010.
Oleksiy Olitnyk
Oleksiy Oliynyk is making his return to the Octagon at the age of 39, having been inactive since November 2014. Even in the higher weight classes, time eventually catches up with everyone. Oliynyk may not be the same fighter that we saw 2 years ago.
Tim Boestch
The 35 year old seems to be on a real steep decline, having been stopped in 4 of his last 5 fights. He has continued to fight at a high level, but a TKO loss to Ed Herman in his most recent bout is not a good sign.
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This is some real good info. Thanks for the research.