UFC Fight Night 98 Betting Tips and Predictions

UFC Fight Night 98 takes place in Mexico City which means that the fighters competing on this event will have to deal with high altitude and extreme pollution.

The pollution and altitude of Mexico City causes fighters to gas out much faster normal and it also causes them to sweat a lot more right from the beginning of the fight. We need to take these abnormal factors into consideration when deciding on our bets for UFC Fight Night 98.

We typically see less finishes on UFC events at high altitude because fighters are often too tired to exert the level of energy needed to finish a fight. We also see a lot less submissions because it becomes very hard to lock in a submission when both fighters are super sweaty.

It’s also important to take into consideration the fact that the judges on Mexican UFC cards tend to be extremely biased towards Mexican fighters. This means that Mexican fighters competing on this event have extra value and you should not bet against them unless you feel confident that the guy you’re betting on can completely dominate their Mexican opponent.

I have taken all of these factors into consideration as part of my research for UFC Fight Night 98. You can take a look at my betting tips for this event below. Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because I may add more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the fights.

[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips|[align-center]Rafael%20Dos%20Anjos%20vs%20Tony%20Ferguson,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Diego%20Sanchez%20vs%20Marcin%20Held,[align-center;c#68a143;b]Betting%20Tip%20Available|[align-center]Charles%20Oliveira%20vs%20Ricardo%20Lamas,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Claudio%20Puelles%20vs%20Martin%20Bravo,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Beneil%20Dariush%20vs%20Rashid%20Magomedov,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Alexa%20Grasso%20vs%20Heather%20Clark,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20Bet|[align-center]Erik%20Perez%20vs%20Felipe%20Arantes,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Joe%20Soto%20vs%20Marco%20Beltran,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Erick%20Montano%20vs%20Max%20Griffin,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Douglas%20Silva%20De%20Andrade%20vs%20Henry%20Briones,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Alex%20Nicholson%20vs%20Sam%20Alvey,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Jason%20Novelli%20vs%20Marco%20Polo%20Reyes,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Chris%20Avila%20vs%20Enrique%20Barzola,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet[/vc_table]

Betting Tip 1: Diego Sanchez to beat Marcin Held

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This is one of those bets that is either going to make me look like a genius or a complete idiot because Diego Sanchez is either going to win, or he’s going to get dominated.

The truth is, there’s really no way to be sure how this fight is going to play out, but win or lose I believe that Diego Sanchez is a great bet when you take into consideration the current odds and everything at play in this matchup.

The odds on Diego Sanchez currently stand at around 3.30 | +230, which means that the bookies only believe that Diego has a 30% chance of winning this fight. This is absolute madness when you take everything into consideration. At absolute worst the probability should be closer to 50 / 50. Here are the reasons why I believe that Diego Sanchez is a great bet…

Reasons for placing this bet...

[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has never been submitted in 35 pro fights.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has strong wrestling and high level Brazilian Jiu Jitsu.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez trains at altitude and has experience fighting in Mexico.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has legendary cardio. He never gets tired.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Marcin Held is a one dimensional leg lock specialist who frequently gives up position whilst going for submissions.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Marcin Held is too accepting of bottom position. His constant hunt for leg locks means that his opponents get a lot of opportunities to take dominant top positions.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Marcin Held tends to wilt and go into a defensive shell if he can’t establish grappling dominance early on.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has been doing Yoga for over 14 years. This flexibility will make it even harder for Marcin Held to secure a leg lock submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has Mexican roots, which means that he will have home advantage for this fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]This fight is taking place at altitude. Marcin Held has never fought at altitude before. He is young, inexperienced and has an inefficient style of fighting. Diego Sanchez fights at a relentless pace. I don’t see Held being able to keep up with Diego for 3 rounds.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]The altitude will cause both fighters to become super sweaty very early on in the fight. This will make it easier for Diego Sanchez to slip out of leg lock attempts. The extreme sweatiness will make it very difficult for Marcin Held to secure a leg lock submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Marcin Held has absolutely no striking. He is a one dimensional leg lock specialist.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez has a ton of heart. It won’t be easy getting him to tap to a leg lock.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Diego Sanchez is strong from top position and has vicious ground and pound.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk Factors...

[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Marcin Held is a dangerous leg lock specialist.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Diego Sanchez is currently on a heavy decline.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Diego Sanchez sometimes fights too aggressively which could cause him to get taken down and caught in a submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Our Betting Tip

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Diego Sanchez to win

Stake

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3 Units

[3% of your bankroll]

Odds

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Decimal = 3.30 Moneyline = +230 Fractional = 23/10

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Implied Probability

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The bookies believe that Diego Sanchez has a 30% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.

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Our Probability

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We believe that Diego Sanchez has a 70% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.

UFC Fight Night 98 Picks

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Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.

[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips|[align-center]Rafael%20Dos%20Anjos%20vs%20Tony%20Ferguson,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Ferguson%20to%20win|[align-center]Diego%20Sanchez%20vs%20Marcin%20Held,[align-center;c#68a143;b]Sanchez%20to%20win|[align-center]Charles%20Oliveira%20vs%20Ricardo%20Lamas,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Lamas%20to%20win|[align-center]Claudio%20Puelles%20vs%20Martin%20Bravo,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Bravo%20to%20win|[align-center]Beneil%20Dariush%20vs%20Rashid%20Magomedov,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Dariush%20to%20win|[align-center]Alexa%20Grasso%20vs%20Heather%20Clark,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Grasso%20to%20win|[align-center]Erik%20Perez%20vs%20Felipe%20Arantes,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Perez%20to%20win|[align-center]Joe%20Soto%20vs%20Marco%20Beltran,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Soto%20to%20win|[align-center]Erick%20Montano%20vs%20Max%20Griffin,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Griffin%20to%20win|[align-center]Douglas%20Silva%20De%20Andrade%20vs%20Henry%20Briones,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Briones%20to%20win|[align-center]Alex%20Nicholson%20vs%20Sam%20Alvey,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Alvey%20to%20win|[align-center]Jason%20Novelli%20vs%20Marco%20Polo%20Reyes,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Reyes%20to%20win|[align-center]Chris%20Avila%20vs%20Enrique%20Barzola,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Barzola%20to%20win[/vc_table]

UFC Betting Tips