Bellator 180 is an amazing event that features several exciting fights including Chael Sonnen vs Wanderlai Silva and Fedor Emelianenko vs Matt Mitrione.
With such historical fights taking place it is very tempting to start placing bets, but it’s important to stay tight in these situations and only make smart decisions. We can try to hunt for value and justify bets on these kinds of fights, but the reality is that it’s impossible to predict the outcome because we don’t know which versions of each fighter is going to show up…
Sure… Chael Sonnen should easily be able to take Wanderlai Silva down and grind him out for 3 rounds, but Sonnen has shown in recent fights that he will quit very easily if you put him in a bad position. Wanderlai Silva is a Psychopathic madman who you practically have to kill in order to stop. I believe there will be a point in this fight where Wanderlai will test Chael’s heart and it will be interesting to see what happens when Wanderlai initiates that moment of chaos.
It is also impossible to predict the outcome of the fight between Fedor Emelianenko and Matt Mitrione…
No one can deny that Fedor looked terrible in his last fight against Fabio Maldonado, but Matt Mitrione hasn’t exactly looked great either. In his last fight against Oli Thompson he was running forward in straight lines and getting involved in wild exchanges. Prior to that he got dropped and almost KO’d by Carl Seumanutafa. We also can’t ignore the fact that Mitrione has absolutely no ground game. If Fedor fights smart and chooses to take this fight to the ground, there is absolutely no question that he will dominate Matt Mitrione.
My betting recommendation for Bellator 180 is to keep things tight and bet smart. Don’t put your money at any unnecessary risk by placing risky bets on fighter’s who may not show up and put in a good performance. Try to stick to betting on fighters who are young, talented and focused on progressing their careers.
My betting picks for Bellator 180 may not be that exciting, but when it’s all over I do expect them to bank a profit. Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because I may add more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the event.
Brent Primus vs Michael Chandler Betting Tip and Prediction
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Brent Primus vs Michael Chandler is a typical Bellator squash match. Primus doesn’t even have a puncher’s chance in this fight and his impressive undefeated record of 7-0 is a little misleading because he is not a high level fighter. Primus has no business being in the cage against a guy like Michael Chandler.
This is an extremely easy fight for Michael Chandler because he is significantly better than Primus in every single aspect of MMA. The only way we could lose this bet is if Chandler were to get injured or disqualified.
Reasons for betting on Michael Chandler to beat Brent Primus...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Michael Chandler is significantly better than Brent Primus in every single aspect of MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Michael Chandler is just a better version of Brent Primus. They’re both wrestle Boxers, but Chandler has better striking, better wrestling, he’s also faster and more powerful.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Brent Primus has sloppy striking and poor defence.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Brent Primus has ordinary wrestling, it won’t be enough to cause Chandler a problem.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Brent Primus has very bad fight IQ.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Michael Chandler has a lot of experience competing in 5 round fights in high pressure situations against very tough opponent’s.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Brent Primus does not have knockout power and he doesn’t pose much of a threat of a submission. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Michael Chandler is very tough and he has good cardio. He also fights at a very high pace.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Michael Chandler is very well rounded and he does a great job of mixing up his attacks. His transitions between striking and grappling are very smooth. This makes him unpredictable and difficult to gameplan for.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Brent Primus does not have the skills to make this fight competitive.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk factors with betting on Michael Chandler to win...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Anything can happen in MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Michael Chandler to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]10 Units
[10% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.14 Moneyline = -714 Fractional = 7/50
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Michael Chandler has an 88% chance of beating Brent Primus based on their current odds.
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Michael Chandler has a 95% chance of beating Brent Primus based on our extensive research and analysis.
Phil Davis vs Ryan Bader Betting Tip and Prediction
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Ryan Bader already beat Phil Davis when they fought back in 2015, so it’s a little surprising that Bader is the underdog going into this fight…
If you go back and watch their first fight you’ll see that the first two rounds were very close but during those first two rounds it was clear that Bader was chipping away at Davis and gradually inflicting more and more damage as the fight went on. By the third round this damage had caught up with Davis and it was starting to effect his performance. Bader started to take over and it was enough to help him pickup the decision win. This rematch is going to be 5 rounds for the Bellator Light Heavyweight title and I don’t personally believe that Phil Davis has shown us anything in his last few fights that could stop Bader from implementing the same gameplan.
Since their first fight Bader has made some big improvements to his striking whilst Phil Davis appears to have stagnated. For this reason I recommend betting on Ryan Bader to win…
My reasoning for betting on Bader is simple…
Phil Davis and Ryan Bader are two high level wrestlers, but we saw in their first fight that their wrestling will cancel each other out. This means that this fight will most likely be decided by striking and based on recent fights I believe that Bader has a very definite edge when it comes to striking.
This bet does carry a certain element of risk because this fight will probably be visually close and Bellator and the New York Athletic Commission judging is historically very bad. However… Based on all the information we have I can’t pass up on the opportunity to place a bet on Bader at underdog odds. If the judges are on point, I expect to win this bet easily.
Reasons for betting on Ryan Bader to beat Phil Davis...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ryan Bader has already beaten Phil Davis back in 2015.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ryan Bader has improved a lot since his first fight will Phil Davis. I don’t believe that Davis has improved that much at all.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]This fight will most likely be contested standing up and Ryan Bader is the better striker.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis has very low level Boxing and lacks KO power. He only has 3 wins by knockout or TKO in 20 pro fights.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ryan Bader has excellent takedown defence and scrambles.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ryan Bader has introduced stance switching and kicks since he last fought Phil Davis.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis doesn’t appear to have developed any new skills that could surprise Ryan Bader since their last fight. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis does not have a judge pleasing style of fighting unless he can get his opponent to the ground. He will not be able to take Bader down and for this reason it will be very difficult for Davis to win rounds against Bader.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis does not react well to pressure.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis lacks the power in his hands to control the range against Bader.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk factors with betting on Ryan Bader to win...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Bellator and New York State Athletic Commission judges are very, very bad. It’s unlikely that Ryan Bader will dominate this fight, but I do expect him to slightly edge the majority of the rounds. We are going to need to rely on good judging to win this bet.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Ryan Bader to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]3 Units
[3% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 2.20 Moneyline = +120 Fractional = 6/5
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Ryan Bader has a 45% chance of beating Phil Daviss based on their current odds.
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Ryan Bader has a 70% chance of beating Phil Davis based on our extensive research and analysis.


