I spent roughly 50 hours last week researching Bellator 194, ACB 80 and UFC Fight Night 126 and I didn’t find a single bet that I liked. This resulted in us passing on all the fights that took place last weekend, rather than rolling the dice and risk losing money. Sometimes the best bets are the ones that we do not place and passing on all fights turned out to be a great decision because most of my strong leans ended up losing.
UFC on FOX 28 looks like a much better event for betting, and within just a few hours of beginning my research, I was able to find a bet that I loved. Puczi had already locked in a bet on the same fighter, and he was kind enough to write the breakdown for this bet so that I could focus on researching the rest of the fights on the card.
After many months of reflecting on where we are at right now and where I want to be in the future, I have decided to increase the prices of Elite Memberships. I’ve written a post in the forum explaining the reasons why I have made this tough decision. You can read the post by clicking here. I feel like the new prices are very fair considering how much money you can make from the Live Tips and the additional income I will make from this website will ensure that I will be able to continue giving you guys Live Betting Tips every weekend for many years to come.
| Fight | Betting Tip | Pick |
| Jeremy Stephens vs Josh Emmett | 5 units on Jeremy Stephens to win at odds of 1.63 | -159 | 63/100 | Stephens to win |
| Jessica Andrade vs Tecia Torres | 5 units on Jessica Andrade to win at odds of 1.35 | -285 | 7/20 | Andrade to win |
| Ilir Latifi vs Ovince St Preux | No bet | St-Preux to win |
| Max Griffin vs Mike Perry | No bet | Perry to win |
| Brian Kelleher vs Renan Barao | No bet | Kelleher to win |
| Marion Reneau vs Sara McMann | No bet | McMann to win |
| Angela Hill vs Maryna Moroz | No bet | Hill to win |
| Alan Jouban vs Ben Saunders | No bet | Jouban to win |
| Marcin Prachnio vs Sam Alvey | No bet | Prachnio to win |
| Rani Yahya vs Russell Doane | No bet | Doane to win |
| Alex Perez vs Eric Shelton | No bet | Shelton to win |
| Albert Morales vs Manny Bermudez | No bet | Morales to win |
Jessica Andrade vs Tecia Torres Betting Tip and Prediction – Written by Puczi
Jessica Andrade is one of the true warriors in the sport. She is incredibly strong mentally. No matter what happens in a fight, she never quits.
Andrade fights at a tremendous pace, attacking her opponents with a barrage of punches, mixing heavy hooks with body shots and leg kicks. There is nobody that can stop her from coming forward in the Women’s Strawweight division. When Andrade fought Joanna Jędrzejczyk, the former champion landed plenty of punches and heavy leg kicks, and yet the Brasilian kept pushing the pace and kept coming forward. When Claudia Gadelha cut Andrade’s forehead, she still kept marching forward, throwing bombs.
Tecia Torres is a high-level striker with a Black Belt in both Karate and Tae Kwon Do, but she’s still nowhere close to Joanna’s level. Her kicks are fast and technical, but she lacks the power in her strikes to stop Andrade from coming forward. Tecia isn’t great when she is forced to fight moving backward, so Andrade should be able to close the distance and trap Torres against the cage like we have seen her do to many of her opponents in the past.
Both girls are good grapplers, but Andrade has a significant strength advantage, and she’s very heavy from top position. Torres is weak off her back and struggles to get back to her feet when her shoulders are put flat on the canvass. Andrade is strong enough to take Torres down, and if the fight goes to the ground, I believe Andrade can maintain long periods of top control and inflict significant damage.
Andrade also has really good fight IQ and she makes use of all of her weapons by challenging each of her opponent’s with a varied attack. When Andrade takes her opponent down, she loves to attack the body with punches and knees. She’s extremely aggressive in every position, but even if she gets caught by submission attempts, her physical strength lets her just escape out of danger.
Every fight carries risk, but when you bet on Jessica Andrade, you can be sure that she will always show up and perform to her full potential. She is the kind of fighter that you have to practically kill in order to stop. She is rock solid, and she should win this fight easily.
Reasons for betting on Jessica Andrade
Risk Factors with betting on Jessica Andrade
My Betting Tip
Jessica Andrade to win
Recommended Stake
5 Units
[5% of your bankroll]
Odds
Decimal = 1.35
Moneyline = -285
Fractional = 7/20
Implied Probability
The bookies believe that Jessica Andrade has a 74% chance of beating Tecia Torres based on their current odds.
Our Probability
We believe that Jessica Andrade has an 85% chance of beating Tecia Torres based on our extensive research and analysis.
Jeremy Stephens vs Josh Emmett Betting Tip and Prediction – Written by Puczi
Jeremy Stephens has always been known for his knockout power and iron chin, but recently he has added some new weapons to his arsenal which has resulted in his career trajectory curving upwards in a steep trend that has seen him headline two UFC events in the last two months.
One of the biggest improvements that Stephens has made is his cardio which enables him to fight at a very high pace and maintain an aggressive style of fighting until he breaks his opponent down. He has also added vicious body and leg kicks to his game, which chip away at the cardio and mobility of his opponent’s. Stephens used to have a predictable style of fighting where he would walk his opponent down, swing for the fences and try to land bombs. This meant that historically he would struggle against more technical opponents who could stay on the outside and pick him off as he moved forward. The new kicks that Stephens has built into his offense give him a much more unpredictable style of fighting that makes him much tougher to deal with, and it also makes him much more difficult to shut down.
Josh Emmett is very fast and very strong, but he fights in bursts to conserve energy. He cannot fight at a high pace for five rounds. He needs to take breaks to recover after moments of explosion. He tries to surprise his opponents with quick bursts. Emmett’s biggest strength is his speed, but his biggest weakness is his cardio. Emmett is an excellent fighter early on, but after a few minutes he slows down a lot. Stephens’ aggression, body, and leg kicks will play a big factor in this fight because the more he lands, the more he will zap the already questionable cardio that Emmett has.
Emmett might dance around his opponents in the first round, but this style of fighting takes up an enormous amount of energy. It’s even worse when you are fighting someone like Stephens who will walk you down and force you to engage for the entire duration of the fight. By midway, through the second round Emmett is usually much less mobile, which makes him much more predictable and his offense much less dangerous. Emmett has got impressive wrestling, but he doesn’t have the cardio to wrestle for three rounds. Imagine how badly he is going to struggle in a 5 round fight against someone like Stephens who will push a crazy pace for 25 minutes.
Emmett also stands heavy on his lead leg when he starts to get tired, which makes his lead leg extremely vulnerable to leg kicks. Stephens lands vicious low kicks, which he disguises well, making them difficult to see coming and therefore tricky to block. This will really shut down Emmett’s mobility.
Stephens is a true old-school guy, who always shows up and performs to his full potential. He also has an iron chin and cardio for days. Emmett can have a lot of success early in this fight, but he doesn’t have the cardio to keep up with the pace that Stephens will set. He can’t wrestle with Jeremy for five rounds, and he doesn’t have the power required to knock him out. Sooner or later, Stephens will break him and score a huge knockout, or a dominant decision win.
Reasons for betting on Jeremy Stephens
Risk Factors with betting on Jeremy Stephens
My Betting Tip
Jeremy Stephens to win
Recommended Stake
5 Units
[5% of your bankroll]
Odds
Decimal = 1.63
Moneyline = -159
Fractional = 63/100
Implied Probability
The bookies believe that Jeremy Stephens has a 61% chance of beating Josh Emmett based on their current odds.
Our Probability
We believe that Jeremy Stephens has an 85% chance of beating Josh Emmett based on our extensive research and analysis.


