ACB are holding a big event in Manchester on Saturday night with a stacked card that puts most Bellator and WSOF events to shame. The Russian MMA promotion have been making some big moves recently by signing ex UFC fighters Albert Tumenov, Takeya Mizugaki and Zach Makovsky.
Betsafe and Unibet are currently taking bets on the main event of ACB 54, whilst Ohmbet are taking bets on the entire main card.
Betting Tip 1: Luke Barnatt to beat Mamed Khalidov
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]For a long time Mamed Khalidov was considered to be the greatest Middleweight outside of the UFC, but something has happened to him in the last couple of years and he now looks like a shadow of his former self. Maybe the issue is related to his age or maybe he doesn’t have the will to fight anymore, but either way, you can’t play games in MMA. Khalidov showed up to his last fight against Aziz Karaoglu looking like he didn’t bother doing a single day of training and if he shows up like that against Luke Barnatt he’ll get dominated.
Take a look at some of Khalidov’s recent fights to see for yourself how much he has declined in the last couple of years:
As you can see, he looks weak, tentative and lost in the cage. Luke Barnatt isn’t a good fighter, but he is tough, well rounded and has good cardio and at this stage in Khalidov’s career, it’s probably all Barnatt needs to win.
This isn’t the type of bet that is going to be an easy winner, so don’t expect to sit back, relax and watch Barnatt dominate. Barnatt makes a lot of mistakes and he has some big weaknesses, but at least he’s motivated and trying to win. This will most likely be a scrappy, ugly fight, but when it’s all said and done I expect Barnatt to be the fighter that gets his hand raised. Win or lose, there’s a good amount of value on Barnatt here.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Mamed Khalidov looked absolutely terrible in his last fight. He looked like he didn’t train at all.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is much bigger than Mamed Khalidov.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Both fighters are on different career trajectories. Luke Barnatt is hoping to get back into the UFC with a win over Khalidov, whilst Khalidov doesn’t seem to want to fight anymore.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Mamed Khalidov is very tentative and inactive standing up.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Mamed Khalidov has poor fight IQ. He doesn’t make adjustments when he’s clearly losing a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Mamed Khalidov frequently goes for long shot submissions, which gives up top position on the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is very tough. He also has great cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is from the UK, so he’ll have home advantage on his side.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is 8 years younger than Mamed Khalidov. The younger fighter wins around 65% of the time when there is an 8 year age gap in a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Mamed Khalidov has weak wrestling. He struggles to take his opponent’s down and he also struggles to hold them down from top position.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is much more active than Khalidov standing up and on the ground. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Luke Barnatt is strong from top position and his long limbs enable him to land significant amounts of damage with ground and pound. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Mamed Khalidov is significantly better than Luke Barnatt everywhere IF he shows up and fights to his full potential.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Luke Barnatt has poor takedown defence.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Luke Barnatt has poor striking defence.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Luke Barnatt is very slow.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Luke Barnatt to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]2 Units
[2% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 2.55 Moneyline = +155 Fractional = 31/20
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Luke Barnatt has a 39% chance of beating Mamed Khalidov based on their current odds.
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Luke Barnatt has a 60% chance of beating Mamed Khalidov based on our extensive research and analysis.
