While most UFC bettors focus on moneylines, round totals, or fight spreads, a sharp and growing market is Strike and Takedown Handicap Betting.
Instead of betting on who wins the fight, you’re betting on who will land more significant strikes or takedowns — adjusted by a handicap set by the bookmaker.
This market opens up new ways to find value, especially in stylistic matchups where:
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One fighter has huge volume advantages.
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One fighter is a dominant grappler facing a striker with poor takedown defence.
📊 How Strike/Takedown Handicaps Work
The bookmaker sets a handicap line, just like a points spread in football or basketball.
Example for Significant Strikes Handicap:
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Fighter A -20.5 Significant Strikes
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Fighter B +20.5 Significant Strikes
This means:
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If you back Fighter A, they must land at least 21 more significant strikes than Fighter B for your bet to win.
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If you back Fighter B, they can lose the strike count by up to 20 strikes — or win it outright — and your bet still wins.
Same idea for Takedown Handicaps:
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Fighter A -2.5 Takedowns
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Fighter B +2.5 Takedowns
If you back Fighter A, they must land at least 3 more takedowns than Fighter B.
📣 Final Word
Strike and Takedown Handicap Betting is a goldmine for sharp bettors who study styles carefully.
It’s perfect for:
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High-volume matchups
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Grappler-dominant fights
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Exploiting stylistic mismatches the oddsmakers underrate
Just remember — it’s not about who wins the fight, it’s about who wins the stat battle convincingly enough to cover the spread.
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