Our UFC 201 betting guide gives you a full breakdown of all of the things you should be taking into consideration when placing your bets for this weekend’s upcoming fight card. It contains all of the latest UFC betting odds, implied probabilities for each fighter and several factors that can affect the outcome of this weekend’s fights…
UFC 201 Betting Odds
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Here are the latest UFC 201 Betting Odds…
UFC 201 Implied Probabilities
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Implied probability allows us to calculate the probabilities of each fighter winning based on the odds assigned to them by Odds makers. If the implied probability of a fighter winning is less than our probability based on our research, there is value in the odds.
Here are the percentage chances that the Bookies believe each fighter has of winning.
| Damien Brown | 53% | Cesar Arzamendia | 49% |
| Fredy Serrano | 56% | Ryan Benoit | 46% |
| Michael Graves | 67% | Bojan Velickovic | 36% |
| Wilson Reis | 75% | Hector Sandoval | 28% |
| Damian Grabowski | 52% | Anthony Hamilton | 50% |
| Jorge Masvidal | 67% | Ross Pearson | 35% |
| Nikita Krylov | 60% | Ed Herman | 43% |
| Justin Scoggins | 69% | Ian McCall | 32% |
| Erik Perez | 53% | Francisco Rivera | 49% |
| Matt Brown | 71% | Jake Ellenberger | 28% |
| Rose Namajunas | 69% | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 32% |
| Robbie Lawler | 67% | Tyron Woodley | 34% |
USADA Watch for UFC 201
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]USADA have had a big impact on the sport since their random drug testing came into full force earlier this year. Here is a list of fighters that we are yet to see fight under the new USADA drug testing: Cesar Arzamendia, Fredy Serrano, Hector Sandoval, Ian McCall, Erik Perez and Tyron Woodley.
Here are a few fighters who may be impacted by the USADA drug testing programme…
UFC 201 Injury Concerns
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Tyron Woodley” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29883″ thumbnail_size=”239×179″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;”]Tyron Woodley is coming back off an 18 month layoff after breaking his foot against Kelvin Gastelum. Woodley has only fought once in the last 2 years…[/mpc_testimonial][mpc_testimonial preset=”mpc_preset_18″ background_type=”gradient” background_gradient=”rgba(0,0,0,0)||rgba(0,0,0,0)||0;100||180||linear” author_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ author_font_color=”#0a0a0a” author_font_align=”left” author=”Justin Scoggins” url_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ url_font_color=”#f7f7f7″ url_font_size=”14″ hover_url_color=”#ffffff” url=”|||” testimonial_font_color=”#000000″ testimonial_font_size=”13″ testimonial_font_align=”left” thumbnail=”29884″ thumbnail_size=”239×179″ thumbnail_border_css=”border-width:0px;border-color:#ffffff;border-style:solid;border-radius:0px;” thumbnail_padding_divider=”true” thumbnail_padding_css=”padding-right:10px;padding-left:0px;” border_css=”border-radius:5px;” padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-top:20px;padding-bottom:20px;”]Justin Scoggins was forced to withdraw from a scheduled fight with Ben Nguyen back in April due to an undisclosed injury. We don’t know much about the injury that Scoggins sustained, other than the fact that it did not require surgery.[/mpc_testimonial]Ian McCall
Ian McCall has had a lot of problem with his health during his time in the UFC. He suffered from a blood infection in the build up to his fight with John Lineker and has recently been held back by neck, shoulder and arm injuries.
Injuries such as these will almost certainly affect his performance against Justin Scoggins at UFC 201.
Here is a video of Ian McCall discussing his injuries with Ariel Helwani…
Fighters making their debut at UFC 201
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Hector Sandoval
Hector Sandoval has a 12-2 record and is fighting out of Team Alpha Male in California. This bout was made official on the 18th of July, which means that he is coming in at short notice for this fight and will have only 12 days to prepare.
Check out Sandoval’s most recent performance against Eloy Garza from back in March…
Size Advantages
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Bojan Velickovic vs Michael Graves
Bojan Velickovic is moving down from middleweight for this fight. Velickovic will have a 5 inch reach advantage over Michael Graves.
Anthony Hamilton vs Damian Grabowski
Anthony Hamilton is the bigger fighter of the two. He regularly weighs in at the 265 pounds Heavyweight limit, whereas Grabowski weighed in at 235 lbs in February of this year. Hamilton will also have a 4 inch height advantage over Grabowski.
Jorge Masvidal vs Ross Pearson
Ross Pearson fought at lightweight against Will Brooks only 3 weeks ago and will be fighting Jorge Masvidal at Welterweight at UFC 201. 15 lbs is a big jump in weight. Masvidal is the bigger fighter and will have a 3 inch height and 5 inch reach advantage.
Jake Ellenberger vs Matt Brown
Matt Brown will have a 3 inch height and 4 inch reach advantage over Jake Ellenberger.
Age Concerns
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Freddy Serrano
Freddy Serrano competed in freestyle wrestling in the 2008 Olympics and is now 36 years old.
Ed Herman
Ed Herman has had a long career and has competed 19 times in the UFC since his debut in 2006. He is now 35 years old, which is generally when we see fighters begin to decline.
Matt Brown
Matt Brown has always been fairly active and is still fighting at a high level. But he is also 35 years old and may show signs of slowing down.
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