If you plan to place some bets on UFC 205 you have come to the right place because I’ll have several rock solid betting tips for this event that are almost guaranteed to make money. We made a big profit last weekend and I am looking to follow up on this by banking another solid win on UFC 205.
Whilst most people will be placing their bets on the main event fight between Conor McGregor and Eddie Alvarez, we will instead focus our attention on the rest of the card where I see some great opportunities to make money.
Don’t forget to keep checking this article regularly for updates, because I will be adding more betting tips throughout the week as we get closer to the time of the fights.
I will also be offering my live betting tips for free during UFC 205 in our live betting tips chatroom. We made almost 15 units of profit last weekend in live betting and I am confident that we can bank another big win on Saturday night.
Our Forum and Chatroom will be buzzing all week with people discussing the fights, so why not sign up for a free account to give us your opinions on how you think UFC 205 is going to play out.
Betting Tip 1: Stephen Thompson to beat Tyron Woodley
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Tyron Woodley shocked the world when he beat Robbie Lawler and won the UFC Welterweight title. He only had a puncher’s chance in that fight and I feel like the same can be said about his chances of defending his title against Stephen Thompson on Saturday night at UFC 205.
It’s possible that Woodley could shock the world one more time and land a killer KO blow on Thompson, but lightning rarely strikes twice and if we’re being honest with ourselves we have to accept that it’s extremely unlikely that Woodley will be able to land anything significant on a striker of Thompson’s calibre.
This is a very easy matchup for Stephen Thompson because Woodley lacks the striking technique to compete with him standing up, he lacks the cardio to grind on him for 25 minutes and we have also seen in recent fights that Thompson has excellent takedown defence, which means that it’s going to be very difficult for Woodley to take him down and keep him down.
I personally feel like Thompson should be much closer to a 1.20 | -500 favourite, which makes him a great bet at the current odds.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson has super high level striking, which is backed up by an impressive undefeated Pro Kickboxing record of 57-0. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson has not been finished in over 70 Pro Kickboxing and MMA fights.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson has extremely good takedown defence which is backed up by the fact that he has defended 81% of all takedowns across 9 fights in the UFC. This is very impressive when you take into consideration the fact that he has fought strong wrestlers such as Johny Hendricks and Rory MacDonald.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson is like a spring. If he gets taken down, he does a great job of scrambling straight back up to his feet.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson is a master of distance control. He uses this skill to identify when his opponent is going to shoot in for a takedown. He then offers them his lead leg, whilst using his incredible balance to bounce backwards until his back is on the cage. From there he does a great job of creating a wide base and using the cage to stuff a takedown attempt. If he does get taken down from this position he does a great job of using the cage to work his way back up to his feet.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson fights with his hands low. This enables him to secure underhooks early when his opponent’s shoot in for takedowns. This makes it extremely difficult for Thompson’s opponent’s to take him down.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Stephen Thompson is a significantly better striker than Tyron Woodley.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Tyron Woodley will not be able to win a stand up fight against Stephen Thompson.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Tyron Woodley will not be able to take Thompson down and keep him down.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Tyron Woodley has poor cardio and low output. He will not be able to keep up with Thompson for 5 rounds.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Tyron Woodley is not a high pressure fighter. He likes to fight on the outside and pick his shots. This will give Thompson the time and space he needs to pick Woodley apart.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Tyron Woodley has KO power in his right hand.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Stephen Thompson to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]5 Units
[5% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.52 Moneyline = -192 Fractional = 13/25
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”66″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”66″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Stephen Thompson has a 66% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”90″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”90″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Stephen Thompson has a 90% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 2: Joanna Jedrzejczyk to beat Karolina Kowalkiewicz
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]I’m not going to sugar coat this betting tip because we all know that Joanna Jedrzejczyk is an absolute monster. I have a lot of respect for Karolina Kowalkiewicz because she’s tough and aggressive, but tough and aggressive isn’t going to cut it here. It is not going to be enough to beat Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Karolina might have a little success early on because she’s tough and scrappy, but in the end I believe Joanna will dominate her in every single aspect of MMA. I barely give Karolina any chance of winning this fight.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna Jedrzejczyk is a significantly better striker than Karolina Kowalkiewicz.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna and Karolina are both strikers and they both have excellent takedown defence. This means that this fight will be contested standing up. Joanna has significantly better striking, which means that she should dominate the stand up exchanges.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna is significantly faster and has much tighter striking technique.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Karolina Kowalkiewicz has very poor striking defence.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Karolina Kowalkiewicz striking technique is very basic. She just bites down on her mouthpiece and storms forward throwing the same 2-3 punch combos. This style will not be effective against a striker of Joanna’s calibre. She will get picked apart because she doesn’t vary her attacks enough.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Karolina is very predictable.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna fights at a very high pace and lands a high number of strikes per round. It will be very difficult for Karolina to outwork her over 5 rounds.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna is extremely tough and has cardio for days.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Joanna is now training at ATT, which is one of the best MMA gyms in the world.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Karolina is very tough and also strong in the clinch.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Joanna Jedrzejczyk to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]7.5 Units
[7.5% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.26 Moneyline = -384 Fractional = 13/50
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”80″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Joanna Jedrzejczyk has an 80% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”95″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”95″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Joanna Jedrzejczyk has a 95% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 3: Chris Weidman to beat Yoel Romero
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]It’s been a tough year for Chris Weidman. First he lost his Middleweight title to Luke Rockhold, then he got injured and had to have back surgery. While the rest of the Middleweight division has been clamouring for a shot at Michael Bisping, Weidman has been on the road to recovery and he will get his chance to enter the title discussion with a win over Yoel Romero on Saturday night.
UFC 205 is taking place in Chris Weidman’s hometown and I expect him to have a sizable home advantage because he is very popular in New York. Weidman was one of the fighter’s who helped campaign to get MMA legalized in New York and the hometown fans will be doing their best to push him onto victory.
Yoel Romero is also coming back into the UFC from some adversity after serving a suspension for taking a tainted supplement. USADA has now randomly drug tested Yoel Romero 15 times in the last year which makes him one of the most drug tested fighters in the UFC. Romero has maintained his innocence throughout the tainted supplement scandal, but there’s no smoke with out fire and USADA clearly smell a rat because they are constantly testing him. Romero has been tested so many times in the lead up to this fight that it would have been almost impossible for him to use any performance enhancing drugs. Romero’s cardio was very bad before the USADA drug testing came into full effect, so I expect to see a very different version of him at UFC 205. All things considered, this is a great time for Chris Weidman to fight Yoel Romero.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman is extremely tough and has cardio for days. He never gets tired.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman fights at a relentless pace and puts a lot of pressure on his opponent’s. This will cause Romero to gas out because he’ll have to constantly react to what Weidman is doing.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero has very bad cardio. He is dangerous in round 1, but after that he slows down a lot.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman has excellent body kicks. Landing these kicks will cause Romero to gas out faster than usual.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero is a Southpaw and Chris Weidman has a lot of experience fighting high level Southpaws, such as Anderson Silva, Lyoto Machida and Luke Rockhold.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman does a great job of taking the centre of the Octagon and holding it. This means that he will be scoring valuable points for Octagon control throughout the duration of the fight. It will be hard for Romero to beat Weidman in New York because Weidman will have home advantage and he’ll have the centre of the Octagon the whole fight. This means that he’ll most likely win a decision based on aggression and Octagon control unless Romero can finish him inside the distance. This is unlikely because Weidman is tough and has a great chin.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman is from New York, which means that he will have home advantage.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero likes to fight on the outside and Counter Strike. This means that he’ll easily give up the centre of the Octagon to Weidman, which is where Weidman feels the most comfortable.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman has a 5 inch reach advantage over Yoel Romero.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero is now 39 years old. Fighters start to rapidly decline when they reach the age of 33. This means that Romero is now well past his prime and he’ll be significantly declining from fight to fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Chris Weidman is 7 years younger than Yoel Romero. The younger fighter wins around 65% of the time when there is an age gap this big in a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero has been tested by USADA 15 times in the last year. He is also coming back from a 6 month suspension due to using a tainted supplement. Romero certainly looks like someone who may have been using Performance Enhancing Drugs. There’s no smoke without fire and USADA have been constantly testing him in the lead up to this fight. I expect to see a very different version of Romero at UFC 205. The new USADA drug testing and weight cutting rules are bound to have a negative impact on his performance.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Yoel Romero had bad cardio before USADA drug testing came into effect. It will not have got any better under the new weight cutting and drug testing rules.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Chris Weidman took a lot of damage in his last fight and he’s returning from surgery on his back injury.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Yoel Romero is a very strong wrestler. If Weidman gets hurt he will not be able to turn to his wrestling to try and recover.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Yoel Romero has unorthodox striking and knockout power.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]It’s very hard to take Romero down and keep him down.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Romero is a Southpaw.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Chris Weidman to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]3 Units
[3% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.59 Moneyline = -170 Fractional = 59/100
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”63″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”63″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Chris Weidman has a 63% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”70″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”70″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Chris Weidman has a 70% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 4: Donald Cerrone to beat Kelvin Gastelum
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Donald Cerrone has finally reached his potential at Welterweight and I expect him to make another big statement by putting in another dominant performance against Kelvin Gastelum.
The bookies believe that Cerrone should only be a moderate favourite over Gastelum, but I’d cap Cowboy far closer to 1.20 | -500, because he is significantly better than Gastelum in every single aspect of MMA.
Kelvin Gastelum does not have a single path to victory in this fight. Cerrone is a stronger wrestler, he’s better in the clinch, his striking is much better and his BJJ is in a different league. This is a very easy fight for Donald Cerrone.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone is a significantly better striker than Kelvin Gastelum.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone lands more strikes per minute and throws a much wider range of strikes than Gastelum.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Kelvin Gastelum likes to grind on his opponent’s in the clinch, but this is one of Cerrone’s strongest areas. Cerrone lands vicious knees and cutting elbows from this position. Gastelum does not have an answer for Cerrone’s clinch game.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone is a much stronger wrestler than Kelvin Gastelum. If he wants to turn this into a grappling match and control Gastelum on the ground he can. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Kelvin Gastelum has very , very bad takedown defence. Cerrone has been fighting very strategically at Welterweight, by hitting reactive takedowns on all of his recent opponent’s. If Cerrone wants to take Gastelum down, Gastelum will not be able to stop him.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone has a super high level ground game. Kelvin Gastelum will be completely out of his depth if this fight goes to the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Kelvin Gastelum does not finish his opponent’s. He does not have knockout power and his submission game is weak.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone has started to fight smart and tactically. In the past he was prone to starting slow and fighting passively, but he seems to have got everything together at Welterweight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone is significantly better than Kelvin Gastelum in every single aspect of MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Donald Cerrone has a size advantage over Kelvin Gastelum. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Donald Cerrone has been known to under perform under the bright lights of big events.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Kelvin Gastelum is a Southpaw.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Donald Cerrone to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]5 Units
[5% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.67 Moneyline = -149 Fractional = 67/100
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”60″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”60″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Donald Cerrone has a 60% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”90″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”90″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Donald Cerrone has a 90% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 5: Vicente Luque to beat Belal Muhammad
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Vicente Luque and Belal Muhammad are two young, up and coming fighters in the UFC’s Welterweight division, but Luque is undoubtedly the much more skilled fighter. This will be a tough fight, but at underdog odds we have to take a shot on Luque here…
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Vicente Luque is significantly better than Belal Muhammad in every single aspect of MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Vicente Luque has great technical striking, a good chin and good defence. Muhammad likes to walk forward and stalk his opponents. This will give Luque the opportunity to uncork his dynamic combos and wide range of strikes.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Belal Muhammad has poor striking defence and Luque has KO power.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Vicente Luque throws a much wider range of strikes than Belal Muhammad.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Vicente Luque lands more strikes per minute than Belal Muhammad.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Belal Muhammad only has low level striking, so he likes to mix things up and take his opponents to the ground. Problem is, he is not a skilled grappler. If this fight goes to the ground he’ll be second best to Vicente Luque, who has several wins by submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Belal Muhammad likes to fight on the ground, but he is only a Blue Belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. Vicente Luque is a Brown Belt.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Vicente Luque is taking this fight on just 3 weeks notice. Hopefully this won’t make a difference. Luque said in an interview yesterday that he has been training for a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Belal Muhammad is extremely tough. He constantly pushes the pace and comes forward.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Belal Muhammad has a great chin and a lot of heart.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Belal Muhammad is a high pressure fighter with excellent cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Vicente Luque to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]2 Units
[2% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 2.20 Moneyline = +120 Fractional = 6/5
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”45″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”45″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Vicente Luque has a 45% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”60″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”60″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Vicente Luque has a 60% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 6: Miesha Tate to beat Raquel Pennington
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Miesha Tate was Raquel Pennington’s coach on season 18 of the Ultimate Fighter. Tate was a significantly better fighter than Pennington when she coached her on the show and after researching this fight in great detail I assure you that she is still a significantly better fighter now…
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Miesha Tate is a very strong wrestler. She has excellent reactive takedowns that come fast and hard with no warning.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Miesha Tate’s ground game is at an extremely high level. She is very strong from top position and dangerous on the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Miesha Tate’s striking has improved a lot. She no longer gets sucked into wreckless exchanges. Now she either stays all the way in, or all the way out of her opponent’s range. She looks for opportunities to either counter or shoot for a takedown.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Raquel Pennington has very poor fight IQ. She consistently makes bad decisions and she always seems to be involved in close fights.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Raquel Pennington is a single shot fighter. She doesn’t throw combos and she is not particularly fast. Her basic striking technique shouldn’t cause Tate a problem.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Raquel Pennington is primarily a Boxer, but she always tries to tie her opponents up and fight them in the clinch against the cage. This is a bad idea against Miesha Tate because Miesha is a strong grappler and strong in the clinch. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Raquel Pennington initiates the clinch with her opponent’s a lot, but she is far too happy fighting with her back against the cage. She spends too much time in this losing position and she also spends too much time defending takedowns.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Raquel Pennington and Miesha Tate are low level strikers, but Tate is a far superior grappler. That will be the difference in this fight…[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Miesha Tate has low level striking. She struggles to put her stamp on rounds if she cannot get her opponent to the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Miesha Tate is coming back off a devastating KO loss to Amanda Nunes.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Miesha Tate has been known to fight passively in the past.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Raquel Pennington is very tough and she always comes forward.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Miesha Tate to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]3.5 Units
[3.5% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.61 Moneyline = -164 Fractional = 61/100
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”62″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”62″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Miesha Tate has a 62% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”80″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Miesha Tate has an 80% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
UFC 205 Picks
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.
