UFC 208 – Holm vs De Randamie Betting Tips & Picks

We’ve now made a profit on the last 8 consecutive MMA events which has helped us put together a run that has seen us bank a profit every single month for the last 6 months. UFC 208 looks like a great event for betting, so I feel really confident that we can extend our winning run to 9 consecutive winning events and take one step closer to our target of going a whole year without having a single losing month.

Don’t forget that we will be giving out our highly lucrative Live Betting Tips in our Live Betting Tips chatroom during UFC 208. We’ve already made over 140 units of profit in the last 12 months, so don’t miss out on your opportunity to make some big money. Our Live Betting Tips are completely free and the fastest, safest and easiest way to make significant amounts of money betting on MMA.

Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because we’ll be adding more betting tips for UFC 208 as we get closer to the time of the event.

Dustin Poirier’s only weakness is that he tends to get sucked into brawls and wild exchanges. Sometimes he comes out on top of these exchanges like in his fights against Bobby Green and Joe Duffy and other times he ends up getting knocked out like he did against Michael Johnson and Conor McGregor.

If Poirier and Miller end up going to war, I feel extremely confident that Poirier will come out on top because he’s better than Miller in almost every single aspect of MMA and he’s also younger, faster, stronger and more powerful. It’s also worth noting that Jim Miller only has 2 wins by knockout or TKO in his entire 36 fight career.

If this fight stays standing I expect Poirier to walk Miller down and pick him apart with his more powerful, faster and diverse range of strikes. If it goes to the ground I expect Poirier to use his strong wrestling to dominate Miller from top position.

Jim Miller is tough, but I don’t think he has much more than a puncher’s chance of beating Dustin Poirier…

Nik Lentz used to be a strong pressure fighter with solid grappling skills and cardio for days. He used to fight at a high pace and he would never give his opponent’s a second to breathe, but times change. Nik Lentz is now just one of the many victims of the USADA drug testing programme in the UFC. The Nik Lentz that we see competing these days looks like a shadow of his former self. His performances are now defined by low level striking, sloppy grappling exchanges and poor cardio. Islam Makhachev should win this fight easily.

Roan Carneiro is a 38 year old Brazilian and old Brazilians haven’t been doing very good in the UFC since USADA drug testing came into effect.

Roan Carneiro has always struggled to hold down a career in the UFC and with Father Time and Mother Nature breathing down his neck I can’t help but feel that he is fighting on borrowed time.

At this stage in their careers, Ryan LaFlare is undoubtedly better than Roan Carneiro in every single aspect of MMA. This bet should be an easy winner…

Fighting in the UFC is a difficult task and making your debut when you’re full of nerves and anxiety is even more difficult. Now imagine how tough it must be to make your UFC debut on just a few days notice when you’ve had no time to prepare. That’s the challenge that Justin Willis is facing this weekend at UFC 208 when he makes his promotional debut on just 5 days notice against Marcin Tybura.

I was surprised when I saw the odds for this fight because I expected Tybura to be a much bigger favourite. Afterall, he’s a tough, well rounded fighter with great cardio for a Heavyweight and a decent chin to match…

Before researching this fight I had no idea who Justin Willis was, but I expected him to be pretty good based on the fact that Tybura wasn’t a huge favourite. To my surprise, after watching some of his past fights I discovered that he wasn’t good at all. I am guessing that the odds on Tybura are relatively good because it is not easy to find footage of Justin Willis’ past fights online. This means that the oddsmakers would have struggled to correctly set an accurate line on this fight because they couldn’t have evaluated how good Willis actually is by studying his past fights. Instead, they would have had to work out the betting line based on the MMA records of both fighters. MMA records don’t tell us anything about how two different fighters matchup, so there’s a good chance that the oddsmakers plucked the odds for this fight out of thin air. Luckily for us, I have a massive library of fights stored on a Hard Drive from various different MMA promotions. This enabled me to watch some of Justin Willis’ past fights that the oddsmakers probably did not have access to.

After researching Justin Willis I can tell you that he’s a big Heavyweight at around 265 pounds, but he’s not in good shape because he carries a lot of excess body fat. He is similar in build to Mark Hunt. He is primarily a grappler but his large build means that his offensive wrestling is very poor. Afterall, it’s not easy to shoot in deep on an opponent’s legs if you have to carry the weight of excess belly fat…

Willis has wild and wreckless striking, which he uses to freeze his opponents like a Rabbit caught in the headlights, so that he can rush into their range, push them against the cage and grind on them in the clinch. Willis’ early bum rush has worked almost every time against the low level of opponents that he has faced up until this point in his career, but I do not believe it will be effective against the majority of UFC level fighters.

This is a nightmare matchup for Justin Willis because Marcin Tybura has excellent cardio for a Heavyweight and a good enough chin to survive the early onslaught. I predict that Willis will go balls to the wall to try and finish this fight early and if he doesn’t, he’ll fade fast.

Marcin Tybura is your typical Polish fighter. He’s well rounded, he’s tough as hell, he’s almost impossible to knock out and he has great cardio. I believe he’ll weather Justin Willis’ early storm and cruise to an easy win in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

The one thing that Holly Holm and Germaine De Randamie have in common is that they were both successful strikers before coming into the UFC. Before joining the promotion Holly Holm was considered to be an elite Boxer, whilst Germaine De Randamie is considered to be the greatest female Muay Thai fighter of all time.

With the high level striking pedigree of both ladies, you would expect this fight to be an extremely competitive stand up contest, but after researching both fighters I feel confident in saying that Germaine De Randamie should dominate this fight. The fact is that Holly Holm’s Boxing has not transferred into MMA as well as De Randamie’s Muay Thai. This is backed up by the fact that Holly Holm has only landed 32% of the strikes she has thrown in the UFC. This is a terrible statistic for someone who is predominantly a striker.

We’ve also seen Holly Holm struggle to deal with a Muay Thai practioner in her last fight against Valentina Shevchenko. De Randamie has been flying under the radar for most of her MMA career, but trust me when I tell you that she is a much better striker than Shevchenko. In fact, their skills are not even comparable. De Randamie’s Muay Thai is in a completely different league. We also have to take strength from the fact that Shevchenko is very small for a Bantamweight at just 5 ft 5. Holly Holm had a big size advantage over Shevchenko and still struggled to land anything significant. Germaine De Randamie is a bigger, faster, stronger, more technically skilled fighter than Shevchenko, which makes this a very difficult matchup for Holm. Holm struggled against Shevchenko, so it’s logical to assume that she’ll find it even more difficult to deal with De Randamie.

When you watch Germaine De Randamie strike, it’s very obvious that she’s at a much higher level than any other female we’ve ever seen compete in MMA. That includes Cyborg and it includes other high level strikers such as Joanna Jędrzejczyk. De Randamie is one of those special fighters that might only come around once every 10 – 20 years.

Everything about Germaine’s striking is different. She’s faster, more powerful and more technical than any other female I’ve seen fight in MMA. When she lands a clean strike, her opponent’s have a look of panic in their eyes like they’ve never been hit that hard by a woman before. The only other female fighter in MMA history who has been able to give their opponent’s that look in their eyes is Cyborg.

The only threat to De Randamie is if Holly Holm can take her down and control her on the ground. People have cited this as a legitimate concern for betting on De Randamie, but it’s important to recognise that it won’t be easy for Holm to implement a grappling heavy gameplan, because she has never used wrestling in a competitive environment before. It’s also worth noting that her ground game looked extremely low level when she fought Miesha Tate last year.

We also have to take into consideration the fact that Germaine De Randamie has been training in MMA a lot longer than Holly Holm has. Holm showed against Miesha Tate that her ground game is weak, so it’s possible that De Randamie could actually be the more skilled grappler.

I believe that Cyborg is the worst matchup imaginable for Holly Holm at 145 pounds, but Germaine De Randamie is a close second. I expect De Randamie to put on a striking clinic and dominate this fight.

Glover Teixeira has put in some great performances throughout his career, but his last two fights have ended very quickly. This makes it tough for us to gauge where he’s at right now in a post USADA UFC.

What we do know is that he was brutally knocked out just 5 months ago against Anthony Johnson. We also know that he’s 37 years old, which means he’s well past his prime and likely to be on a steep decline.

The last time we got a good look at Glover was in his fight against Patrick Cummins just over a year ago. Glover ran through Cummins with a TKO win in the 2nd round, but there were signs in that performance that Glover might not be the same guy that went the distance with Jon Jones back in 2014. If you go back and watch Glover’s fight with Cummins you’ll see that Glover looked very slow and sloppy and his striking defence was very poor. Cummins managed to tag Glover several times, but he didn’t have the skills or the cardio to make Glover pay for his poor defence.

Jared Cannonier has crisp technical striking and serious KO power. He is also explosive and athletic for a big guy. Cannonier has a great chance of winning this fight if he can keep it standing.

Glover’s offensive wrestling has never been that great and I believe he’ll struggle to take down his younger, more athletic opponent.

This bet is risky because Glover is tough, but at the current odds I believe there’s a good amount of value in betting on Cannonier to win.