UFC Fight Night 104 might not be the best card on paper, but it does look like a good event for betting. After conducting my research I do believe that there will be some good opportunities to make money.
UFC Fight Night 104 will also bring us one step closer to achieving our goals of making a profit in 10 consecutive MMA events. I am also aiming to not have a single losing month in a 12 month period. We’re currently well on our way to achieving both of these goals because we’ve now made a profit on the last 7 consecutive MMA events and we’ve also just capped off our 6th consecutive winning month.
Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because we’ll be adding more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the event.
[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips|[align-center]Chan%20Sung%20Jung%20vs%20Dennis%20Bermudez,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center;c#333333]Alexa%20Grasso%20vs%20Felice%20Herrig,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Abel%20Trujillo%20vs%20James%20Vick,[align-center;c#68a143;b]Betting%20Tip%20Available|[align-center]Ovince%20St%20Preux%20vs%20Volkan%20Oezdemir,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Anthony%20Hamilton%20vs%20Marcel%20Fortuna,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Angela%20Hill%20vs%20Jessica%20Andrade,[align-center;c#68a143;b]Betting%20Tip%20Available|[align-center]Adam%20Milstead%20vs%20Curtis%20Blaydes,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Michinori%20Tanaka%20vs%20Ricardo%20Ramos,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Chas%20Skelly%20vs%20Chris%20Gruetzemacher,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Bec%20Rawlings%20vs%20Tecia%20Torres,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Alex%20Morono%20vs%20Niko%20Price,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Daniel%20Jolly%20vs%20Khalil%20Rountree,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet[/vc_table]
Betting Tip 1: Jessica Andrade to beat Angela Hill
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Jessica Andrade didn’t look good when she first started competing in the UFC at Bantamweight, but she has looked incredible since she dropped down to the Strawweight division. Angela Hill is improving everytime we see her, but she still doesn’t have the skills required to beat a fighter of Andrade’s calibre. I expect Andrade to easily take Hill down and dominate her on the ground.
The odds on Andrade aren’t great but this bet should be an easy winner.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Angela Hill has very poor takedown defence and she struggles to get back to her feet when she does get taken down.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Jessica Andrade has powerful takedowns and she’s very strong from top position.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Angela Hill has bad cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Jessica Andrade hits very hard for a female fighter in the UFC’s Strawweight division.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Angela Hill does not have enough power in her strikes to back Andrade up. This is a problem because Andrade will want to walk her down, tie her up and go for a takedown. Hill doesn’t have the power in her strikes to stop this from happening. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Angela Hill has a very low level ground game. She doesn’t possess the skills to stop Andrade from dominating her on the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Female fighters tend to be more inconsistent.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]The majority of female MMA fights in the UFC tend to be close. [although I don’t think that this fight will be close at all][/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]Jessica Andrade to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]5 Units
[5% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.25 Moneyline = -400 Fractional = 1/4
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”80″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that Jessica Andrade has an 80% chance of beating Angela Hill based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”90″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”90″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that Jessica Andrade has a 90% chance of beating Angela Hill based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 2: James Vick to beat Abel Trujillo
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”]Abel Trujillo vs James Vick is a pick em fight with the odds roughly dead even. This is surprising because I see many reasons why Vick should be considered the favourite over Trujillo. One of the reasons why I think Vick should be favoured here is his size advantage. You only have to look at this picture from yesterday’s weigh ins to see that it’s going to be difficult for Trujillo to get inside and land anything significant.
I’m not saying that Vick is going to win easily, but at the current odds I do believe that there are more than enough reasons to take a chance on Vick.
Reasons for placing this bet...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]UFC Fight Night 104 is taking place in Houston, Texas. James Vick lives and trains in Texas which means that he’ll have home advantage on his side.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Texan judges are notoriously biased towards hometown fighters. If this fight goes the distance Vick will probably win by decision. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]James Vick is 6 inches taller than Abel Trujillo and will also have a 6 inch reach advantage. As you can see from the image above, it will be very difficult for Trujillo to get inside Vick’s Boxing range and land anything significant.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Vick does a good job of using his length to keep his opponent’s out of striking range. Trujillo doesn’t do a great job of closing the distance. He just rushes in swinging wild with his head down. This gives Vick an opportunity to pick him off and then circle out of danger when Trujillo comes in wrecklessly.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Abel Trujillo is a strong wrestler, but he does not have very strong top control. Vick doesn’t have very good takedown defence, but he is very active off his back. The new MMA judging criteria will favour Vick’s fighting style because Abel doesn’t do much from top position and the guard is now considered a 50 / 50 position if the fighter on top is not doing significant damage or improving his position.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]James Vick does a good job of using his length to scramble back to his feet when he does get taken down.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Abel Trujillo has very bad cardio. He gasses out in every fight. James Vick has excellent cardio and fights at a high pace. He is constantly pushing the action.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Abel Trujillo has a very low level ground came. Vick could cause him big problems on the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]James Vick lands a much higher volume of strikes per round than Trujillo.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]James Vick is very tough and has a lot of heart. We’ve seen him fight out of some very bad positions.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]We’ve seen Abel Trujillo quit or easily give up dominant positions in his past fights.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Abel Trujillo trains at the Blackzilians, an MMA gym which is currently in turmoil.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Risk Factors...
[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]James Vick has poor takedown defence and Abel Trujillo is a strong wrestler. This would normally be a concern, but Trujillo does not have the cardio to grind hard and use his wrestling for 3 rounds. Vick is very active off his back and has much higher level BJJ.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]James Vick is very long and lanky for a Lightweight which means that he does get rocked a lot because his striking defence isn’t great.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]James Vick’s abnormal length for the lightweight division does mean that he isn’t that strong or powerful. Abel Trujillo is the much more athletic fighter.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]Our Betting Tip
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]James Vick to win
Stake
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]3 Units
[3% of your bankroll]
Odds
[mpc_divider width=”30″ content_padding_divider=”true” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:20px;”]Decimal = 1.91 Moneyline = -110 Fractional = 91/100
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”52″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#ff9756||#ea5e50||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”52″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Implied Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]The bookies believe that James Vick has a 52% chance of beating Abel Trujillo based on their current odds.
[mpc_chart preset=”mpc_preset_20″ value=”70″ border_css=”border-radius:10px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-top:30px;margin-bottom:30px;” disable_title=”true” title_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ title_font_color=”#555555″ title_font_size=”0″ title_font_line_height=”0″ title_font_transform=”none” title_font_align=”center” disable_description=”true” description_font_preset=”mpc_preset_38″ description_font_color=”#333333″ description_font_size=”0″ description_font_line_height=”0″ description_font_transform=”none” description_font_align=”center” chart_width=”120″ chart_radius=”120″ chart_front_background_type=”gradient” chart_front_background_gradient=”#b0ff6b||#679f42||0;100||54||linear” chart_back_background_color=”#f7f7f7″ disable_icon=”true” icon=”eti eti_gift” icon_color=”#5b5b5b” icon_size=”40″ value_font_preset=”mpc_preset_15″ value_font_color=”#333333″ value_font_size=”36″ value_font_line_height=”1″ value_font_transform=”uppercase” value_text=”70″ value_unit=”%” inner_circle_radius=”60″ inner_circle_background_color=”#ffffff”][/mpc_chart]
Our Probability
[mpc_divider width=”30″ lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_divider=”true” padding_css=”padding-bottom:0px;”]We believe that James Vick has a 70% chance of beating Abel Trujillo based on our extensive research and analysis.
