UFC Fight Night 127 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

Most of the fights taking place at UFC Fight Night 127 are bad for betting, but in my quest for gold, I have discovered one rock-solid bet at underdog odds that should win easily.

From a Live Betting perspective, UFC Fight Night London isn’t great because the majority of betting websites will only offer Live Betting on the main card. To my knowledge, you will only be able to Live Bet the eight prelim fights at Ohmbet.

This is bad news for most of us because Ohmbet only accept players from a small number of countries and their betting limits are very low. They don’t allow players from the UK, so I can’t personally bet there.

This means that the majority of us will only be able to Live Bet the 4 main card fights. The good news is that I do expect these matchups to be good for Live Betting because I believe all 4 fights have a good chance of going the distance. I also believe that all 4 fights will be competitive and we should see some momentum swings that we can capitalize on.

Because only a small number of Elite Members will be able to Live Bet at Ohmbet, I will not be doing fight commentary or Live Betting Tips until the main card.

As an alternative for those of you who can bet at Ohmbet, I will be posting a video on Youtube Friday Night or Saturday morning that will feature my Live Betting strategies for all eight prelims.

Fight	Betting Tip	Pick
Alexander Volkov vs Fabricio Werdum	No bet	Volkov to win
Jan Blachowicz vs Jimi Manuwa	No bet	Manuwa to win
Leon Edwards vs Peter Sobotta	No bet	Sobotta to win
Terrion Ware vs Tom Duquesnoy	No bet	Ware to win
Charles Byrd vs John Phillips	No bet	Byrd to win
Danny Roberts vs Oliver Enkamp	No bet	Roberts to win
Brad Scott vs Jack Marshman	No bet	Marshman to win
Danny Henry vs Hakeem Dawodu	No bet	Dawodu to win
Kajan Johnson vs Stevie Ray	No bet	Johnson to win
Magomed Ankalaev vs Paul Craig	4 unit, 2 leg parlay accumulator on Magomed Ankalaev and Nasrat Haqparast to win at odds of 2.03 \| +103 \| 103/100	Ankalaev and Haqparast to win
Nad Narimani vs Nasrat Haqparast		Ankalaev and Haqparast to win
Dmitry Sosnovskiy vs Mark Godbeer	No bet	Sosnovskiy to win

Magomed Ankalaev vs Paul Craig Betting Tip and Prediction

The UFC’s Light Heavyweight division is struggling for talent right now. Daniel Cormier, the Champion has beaten everyone worth fighting. He’s also turning 39 years old in a few days time, and aside from Jon Jones I don’t see anyone apart from Alexander Gustafsson even coming close to beating him.

This lack of credible contenders resulted in a low-level fighter like Volkan Oezdemir emerge out of nowhere and get a title shot within 12 months of making his unimpressive debut against Ovince St-Preux.

Magomed Ankalaev is making his UFC debut against Paul Craig at UFC Fight Night London and based on what I’ve seen in his recent fights I believe there’s a good chance that he is capable of hanging with the top 5 Light Heavyweights right now. This guy is legit. He could be the next big thing at 205.

Ankalaev is your typical Dagestani fighter. He has a beard. He has cardio for days. He has an iron chin, and he’s great at everything. If he shows up and performs anywhere near his full potential, Paul Craig will be lucky to make it out of the first round.

Ankalaev should run through Craig, and he can win this fight wherever it takes place. Standing up Craig is slow and lacks head movement, while Ankalaev has good footwork, good head movement, and sharp striking technique. On the ground, Ankalaev has a Combat Sambo background that puts his grappling ability in a different league to what Craig is capable of.

Ankalaev is a big favorite, but he should win this fight easily. If you feel uncomfortable betting on a big favorite, just take 20 minutes out of your day to watch some of his recent fights below:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4azcdARyNg&t=

Reasons for betting on Magomed Ankalaev

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Magomed Ankalaev is significantly better than Paul Craig in every single aspect of MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Paul Craig is very slow. He lacks head movement and footwork, which means that he is at constant risk of being knocked out.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Paul Craig has bad takedown defense and a low level ground game. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Paul Craig has bad fight IQ. He frequently gives up position to chase long shot submissions.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Magomed Ankalaev is very solid. He always does the correct thing in every position. He is extremely well rounded.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ankalaev is a strong wrestler with a high level ground game.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Ankalaev has great technical striking. He throws a diverse range of strikes and disguises everything with his speed and movement.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Magomed Ankalaev has a very good chin and he’s extremely tough.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Magomed Ankalaev has great cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Magomed Ankalaev is Russian.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk Factors with betting on Magomed Ankalaev

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]This is Magomed Ankalaev’s UFC debut.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Paul Craig has home advantage.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Nad Narimani vs Nasrat Haqparast Betting Tip and Prediction

le_me has been telling me for a long time that Nasrat Haqparast is a beast, but I didn’t see it for myself until his UFC debut against Marcin Held. Under the new scoring criteria, you could make a very strong case that Haqparast won that fight. The matchup was super competitive, and Haqparast looked great. This is extremely impressive considering he took the fight on short notice and Held is a nightmare opponent for most guys at 155.

Haqparast should beat Narimani easily. As I sit here, I am struggling to explain all the reasons why he is such a good bet because there are so many reasons, that I don’t know where to start. Rather than bore you with my ramblings, I will just list all the reasons why we are betting him below…

Reasons for betting on Nasrat Haqparast

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast is significantly better than Nad Narimani in every single aspect of MMA.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nad Narimani is small for the Lightweight division. He usually fights at Featherweight, but he is stepping up to compete at 155 against Haqparast. Haqparast will have a height and reach advantage over Narimani. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast trains at Kings MMA and Tristar with some of the best fighters and coaches in the world. Firas Zahabi and Rafael Cordeiro will both be in his corner this weekend at UFC Fight Night London. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast has excellent footwork, good head movement and technical striking.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast throws a diverse range of strikes and opens up his opponent’s defense with body and leg kicks.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast has excellent takedown defense and a solid ground game.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast is still only 22 years old and making massive improvements from fight to fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast has knockout power.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Nasrat Haqparast is very confident, loose and comfortable when he is fighting. This results in him having good cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk Factors with betting on Nasrat Haqparast

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Nasrat Haqparast is very young and inexperienced.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Nad Narimani has home advantage.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Nad Narimani is a gritty veteran. He’s reasonably good in all areas and tough enough to hang around and be competitive for 15 minutes.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

My Betting Tip

Ankalaev and Haqparast to win

Recommended Stake

4 Units

[4% of your bankroll]

Odds

Decimal = 2.03
Moneyline = +103
Fractional = 103/100

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Implied Probability

What is implied probability?

The bookies believe that Magomed Ankalaev and Nasrat Haqparast have a 49% chance of winning based on their current odds.

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Our Probability

How do you calculate your probabilities?

We believe that Magomed Ankalaev and Nasrat Haqparast have an 80% chance of winning based on our extensive research and analysis.