UFC Fight Night 90 Betting Tips & Predictions – Dos Anjos vs Alvarez

In the last month we have seen a lot of odds movement in favour of the favourite on the day of a fight. As a result, we have been holding back on releasing our betting tips for UFC Fight Night 90 because we wanted to lock in bets on Joe Duffy and Vicente Luque at better odds than they have been all week. Unfortunately, the odds haven’t moved like they have in recent weeks and we can’t wait any longer. If the odds on either of these fighters improve to 1.33 | -303 then I recommend you lock in a 3 unit bet on each of them. However, don’t lock in your bet unless the odds improve to that point. There’s no value in playing them at the current odds. For that reason, we only have 2 betting tips for UFC Fight Night 90. Both bets are very solid and I expect to make an easy 6 units of profit tonight.

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Rafael Dos Anjos takes on Eddie Alvarez in the main event of UFC Fight Night 90 and we predict that Rafael Dos Anjos is going to win.

This should be an easy fight for Rafael Dos Anjos because Eddie Alvarez doesn’t have the skills to compete with him in any area of MMA. My only concern is that we haven’t seen Dos Anjos involved in a tough fight since the new USADA drug testing came into full effect. His fight against Donald Cerrone in January did take place after the USADA testing was brought in, but it was too short for us to determine whether or not he had been effected by the new drug testing programme. After spending a couple of hours researching this fight I can assure you that Rafael Dos Anjos should beat Eddie Alvarez easily if he can still perform like he did before USADA came into effect.

Rafael Dos Anjos is a great fighter because he is very skilled in every area of MMA and he mixes us his attacks in a way that makes him impossible to gameplan for. You never know whether RDA is going to stand and strike, take you down or try to grind on you against the cage. RDA’s well rounded style of fighting makes him a nightmare opponent because you’re constantly having to react to him instead of being able to impose your own gameplan.

Eddie Alvarez is primarily a Boxer who has a lot of weaknesses in his overall skillset. These weaknesses include the fact that he has poor striking defence, a very low level ground game game and the fact that he only throws punches. Alvarez’s recent performances have tricked people into thinking that he’s a strong wrestler, but his ability to take Melendez and Pettis down and control them on the ground said more about their weaknesses than Alvarez’s strengths as a grappler. I can assure you that Eddie Alvarez is not a strong wrestler and he doesn’t stand a chance against Rafael Dos Anjos if this fight goes to the ground.

Rafael Dos Anjos is a part of a rare breed of fighter who started off as a pure BJJ practioner and later added strong wrestling to his grappling skills that have now resulted in him evolving into a dangerous BJJ / Wrestling hybrid. RDA’s combination of high level BJJ, strong wrestling, excellent takedown defence and stifling top control make him a nightmare for anyone in the UFC’s Lightweight division because these grappling skills enable him to dictate where a fight takes place. If he wants to keep a fight standing, he can use his grappling in reverse to stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing. If he wants to take you down, he probably can and his top control and BJJ is so strong that there’s not much chance of you being able to scramble back to your feet. RDA’s ability to switch things up and dictate where a fight takes place makes him incredibly difficult to deal with and Eddie Alvarez doesn’t have the wrestling or BJJ to shut this threat down.

Rafael Dos Anjos should dominate this fight if it stays standing because Eddie Alvarez is a one dimensional Boxer, whilst Dos Anjos is a dangerous Muay Thai practitioner with fast hands, fight ending kicks and a fluid style of striking that comes out of the Southpaw stance. Alvarez’s style of striking is very basic and predictable and Dos Anjos should be able to pick him apart by throwing a much wider range of strikes. Alvarez is also very slow and he has poor striking defence which means he’s going to find it very difficult to defend himself against RDA’s diverse range of attacks. One of RDA’s biggest strengths is his ability to take the centre of the Octagon and apply constant pressure. This makes it incredibly difficult to back him up, which will make it hard for Alvarez to settle into the fight and find his range.

Eddie Alvarez has got his handsful with this fight and I don’t give him anything more than a punchers chance of beating Rafael Dos Anjos. RDA will dominate Eddie Alvarez if he can put in a performance similar to how he used to perform before the new USADA drug testing came into effect.

At the moment we are seeing the odds improve on RDA, so I recommend that you leave it as late as possible before locking in your bet on him to win. Right now you can bet on him to win at odds of 1.33 | -303, but I do expect this to continue to improve as we get closer to the time of the fight.