Frank Mir vs Mark Hunt Betting Tip Prediction
Click here to read our betting tip breakdown for the fight between Mark Hunt and Frank Mir.OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Mark Hunt to win at odds of 1.76 | -131 | 19/25 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Hector Lombard vs Neil Magny Betting Tip Prediction
Hector Lombard and Neil Magny are completely different in terms of fighting styles, but the one thing that they have in common is that they’re both very good defensively. Their solid defensive skills have meant that they’ve both been extremely difficult to finish throughout their careers. This is backed up by the fact that Hector Lombard has never been finished in 41 pro MMA fights. Magny’s record is also impressive having only been finished 3 times in 21 pro MMA fights. These statistics suggest that there is a very good chance that this fight will go the distance. As I started to research how both these guys matchup, I started to find more and more reasons why betting on this fight to last longer than 2.5 rounds was a good move… Neil Magny has only been finished 3 times in 21 pro MMA fights and each of those losses came via submission. Magny has never lost a fight by knockout or TKO outside of the Ultimate Fighter competition. Hector Lombard doesn’t really pose a threat of a submission. This is backed up by the fact that only 4 of his 34 career wins have come by way of submission. On the ground, Lombard favours a style of maintaining a dominant position over attacking with submissions, which means that Magny won’t have to work that hard to avoid being caught in a sub. Magny is good on the ground defensively, which means there’s almost no chance of Lombard catching him in a submission and since Magny has never been finished by knockout or TKO, you also have to assume that it’s unlikely that Lombard will be the first guy to hand him a knockout loss. I believe it’s unlikely that Lombard will win this fight by knockout because Magny uses good footwork to stay on the outside and circle away from danger. Magny also has a 9 inch reach advantage, which will make it hard for Lombard to close the distance and land power strikes. Lombard does have knockout power, but the 9 inch reach will help Magny to stay out of a range where Lombard can hurt him. It’s also unlikely that Lombard will win this fight by knockout because this is his first fight back in the UFC after being suspended for using Anabolic Steroids. Fighters who stop using steroids almost always look less powerful when they return to fighting, so I expect Lombard’s knockout power to be greatly diminished in this fight. All these factors point towards it being unlikely that Lombard will finish Magny inside the distance, but I also feel that it’s unlikely Magny will finish Lombard inside the distance. This is mainly because Magny doesn’t have finishing ability from any position. His strikes don’t have that much power on them and Lombard’s ground game is too high level for him to get caught in a submission. Hector Lombard is an extremely skilled fighter and he’s excellent defensively. He also doesn’t take many risks and he fights very safe. Lombard hasn’t been finished in his entire 41 fight career and even off the steroids I don’t see Magny as being dangerous enough to be the first guy to finish him inside the distance. All these factors point towards this fight going the distance, which makes a bet on this fight to last longer than 2.5 rounds a solid bet at decent odds.OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on this fight to last longer than 2.5 rounds at odds of 1.67 | -149 | 67/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Antonio Carlos Junior vs Dan Kelly Betting Tip Prediction
There’s an old saying that says if you keep applying for promotions, you’ll eventually end up in a job that you can’t do. I feel that this applies to Dan Kelly in this fight, because he’s won a few fights in the UFC against all the odds and after climbing up the ranks he now has to face a monster like Antonio Carlos Junior. Dan Kelly has put together an impressive 10-1 pro MMA record because he’s always had his Olympic level Judo to help make up for his weak wrestling and poor striking. Problem is… Kelly isn’t a strong grappler any more because he is now coming to the end of his career at 38 years old. Kelly’s high level Judo has worked well against the low standard of opponent that he has faced so far in his career, but it’s not going to help him against a young, strong, powerful opponent like Antonio Carlos Junior. Antonio Carlos Junior has almost every single advantage I look for when betting on a fighter. I’ll start off by explaining his physical advantages… Dan Kelly is now 38 years old, whilst Antonio Carlos Junior is just 25. This means that Antonio Carlos Junior is 13 years younger than Kelly. The younger fighter wins around 70% of the time when there is an age gap this big in a fight and you’ve only got to look at both of these guys to see why… Dan Kelly’s body is battle worn and frail. He’s not muscular and both of his knees are strapped up after years of intense Judo competition. Antonio Carlos Junior is strong, muscular and absolutely huge. He is undoubtedly one of the biggest Middleweights in the UFC. He’s also fast, explosive and very powerful. Without knowing anything about the skills of both these guys, you can already see that Kelly has got his handsful in this fight. If this fight stays standing, I believe it’s only a matter of time before Antonio Carlos Junior wins by knockout. Kelly just doesn’t have the reaction times, speed or mobility to block strikes or circle out of danger. His striking defence is really bad and he’s too slow and too easy to hit. I don’t see what he can do to defend himself against Antonio Carlos Junior’s huge power strikes. Carlos Junior’s striking advantage will be even bigger in this fight because he has a 5 inch reach advantage over Kelly. This will make it even harder for Kelly to stay out of range. In order to survive, Dan Kelly is going to need to get this fight to the ground, but this strategy comes with a whole new set of problems because Antonio Carlos Junior is a super high level Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. Carlos Junior is also one of the few pure BJJ guys with really strong wrestling. This was demonstrated in his fight against Eddie Gordon, where he was able to outwrestle a strong American Wrestler. If this fight goes to the ground, I expect Antonio Carlos Junior to dominate. I’m not worried about Kelly scoring a takedown because Kelly has weak control from top position and Antonio Carlos Junior is very active off his back. He also does a great job of creating scrambles and transitioning from bottom position to leg locks. Dan Kelly’s legs are severely damaged after years of competing in high level Judo and I don’t think he can survive a young hungry bull like Antonio Carlos Junior trying to hyper extend his knee. It’s almost impossible to stop Antonio Carlos Junior from transitioning from bottom position to a leg lock, which means Kelly is in a world of trouble if this fight goes to the ground. I don’t feel great about betting on anyone at heavy favourite odds in the post USADA era of the UFC, but with or without steroids, Antonio Carlos Junior still holds just about every single advantage over Kelly that you could want in an MMA fight. This bet should be an easy winner.OUR BETTING TIP: 5 Units [5% of your bankroll] on Antonio Carlos Junior to win at odds of 1.21 | -476 | 21/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Jake Matthews vs Johnny Case Betting Tip Prediction
MMA is a unique sport because we sometimes see the popularity of a fighter influence the odds more than their skills in the Octagon. This keeps happening with Jake Matthews, as the oddsmakers keep setting him as the favourite, despite the fact that he has massive weaknesses in his overall skillset. I like Jake a lot, but it’s important to remember that he’s still only 21 years old, which means that he hasn’t had enough time to develop the skills required to back up his hype just yet. Over the last year we’ve seen young fighters like Paige VanZant and Sage Northcutt get hyped up and do relatively well against a low standard of opponent, but we’ve also seen them really struggle when they go up against an opponent who has superior technique. It’s not going to be nice to see a 21 year old Aussie get crushed in front of an Australian crowd, but I do think there’s a very good chance that Johnny Case absolutely destroys Jake Matthews in this fight. Jake just doesn’t have the technique to compete with a guy like Johnny Case in any area that this fight could take place. Jake’s primary weapon in the Octagon is his wrestling and there’s a very good reason for that… Wrestling is the only technique in MMA that you can have a decent amount of success with if you don’t have the best technique… A little bit of heart, aggression and cardio can go a long way in the Octagon, especially if you’re strong enough to take your opponent down and control them on the ground. Inexperienced and unskilled fighters like Jake Matthews often start out with a wrestling based style of fighting, because it’s an effective way to win fights and it also covers up the big holes that they have in other areas of their game. You’ll also notice that both Paige VanZant and Sage Northcutt employed a wrestling heavy style of fighting in the UFC because their skills in other areas were severely lacking. You’ll also notice that they were both beaten relatively easily when they faced a fighter with better grappling technique for the first time. I believe there’s a good chance that we will see the same thing happen to Jake Matthews in this fight because Johnny Case has strong wrestling and very high level Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. Jake Matthews is strong, athletic and powerful, but his wrestling technique is not good. This means that he will be able to use his athleticism to overpower and control weak wrestlers like some of his previous opponents such as Akbarh Arreola and Vagner Rocha, but he’ll find it much more difficult to use his athleticism against better technical grapplers such as Olivier Aubin-Mercier, who absolutely dominated Matthews on the Ultimate Fighter. Johnny Case is primarily a striker, but he started out as a wrestler and comes from a strong wrestling background. Johnny Case has really good takedown defence and strong wrestling, but I’m not 100% sure whether he’ll be able to stuff Jake’s takedowns and keep this fight standing. And to be honest with you… I don’t really care if Jake does take him down because Johnny Case has very high level Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and his ground game and grappling skills are on a completely different level to Jake’s. Jake does not want to be on the ground with a guy like Johnny Case, but I guarantee that his lack of experience and lack of a “Plan B” fighting style will force him to go for takedowns. If this fight does go to the ground, I believe Jake is going to be in big trouble, because he doesn’t have the technique to compete with a guy like Johnny Case on the ground. Jake’s takedowns are powerful, but once he gets into top position, he doesn’t have the technique or knowledge to do anything other than rain down ground and pound. He doesn’t know how to advance his position and his offensive and defensive Jiu Jitsu isn’t great. Johnny Case has very high level Jiu Jitsu and I expect him to put on a grappling clinic if this fight goes to the ground. Superior technique almost always beats strength and power and Jake’s slight advantage in power will be completely negated by Case’s massive advantage when it comes to skill and technique. Jake Matthews doesn’t stand a chance if this fight stays standing. His striking technique is simply too basic to cause Case a problem… Johnny Case is one of those guys that reminds you why they put the word “Art” in Martial Arts. His fighting style and technique is simply beautiful to watch. Case is several levels above Matthews when it comes to striking and I believe there’s a very good chance that he wins this fight by knockout. One of the things that makes Case so dangerous, is his ability to switch stances and instantly fire off a power strike. Not many guys can do this and we don’t even see super high level strikers like Stephen Thompson uncork strikes within a split second of switching stances. Case’s ability to switch stance and almost instantly fire off a power strike from his new position makes him an extremely dangerous striker, because he can catch his opponent with power strikes from angles that they never even thought were possible. Most switch stance fighters switch up their stance to confuse their opponent, but their opponent still has time to acknowledge the stance switch and make adjustments. Case’s stance switching is different because he is so fast, that you need to be totally focused 100% of the time to keep up with him and Matthews doesn’t have the level of experience where he’s going to be able to spot Case setting him up. Case switches stances so quickly and so frequently, that it’s almost like he’s a Magician trying to draw someone’s attention away from how he is conducting one of his tricks. Magicians do this with slight of hand movements, props and eye contact, whilst Case chooses to divert his opponent’s attention with stance switches and feints. Iron sharpens Iron and Johnny Case trains at Power MMA with talented fighters such as Michael Chandler, Myles Jury and Ryan Bader. Jake Matthews on the other hand is training with a low standard of training partner in a small gym in Australia. Both these guys are young fighters, but Case is going to be developing at a much faster rate than Matthews, because he has surrounded himself with world class coaches and world class training partners. Johnny Case is the new breed of Mixed Martial Artist who is great at everything and has no weaknesses in his game… And he’s still only 26 years old. I expect Case to develop into a top 10 UFC fighter within the next 2 years and I believe there’s a very good chance that his campaign to the top begins at UFC Fight Night 85 with a breakout performance against Jake Matthews. It’s tough to predict how Case will win this fight because he has so many advantages in every area, but at the current odds he’s a great bet and I believe there’s a very good chance that he will dominate this fight.OUR BETTING TIP: 3.5 Units [3.5% of your bankroll] on Johnny Case to win at odds of 2.10 | +110 | 11/10 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Alan Jouban vs Brendan O’Reilly Betting Tip Prediction
Alan Jouban vs Brendan O’Reilly is one of the biggest mismatches I’ve seen in the UFC in the last 2-3 years. There’s just no way that these two guys should be fighting each other. It’s really unusual that the UFC would throw a home country fighter to the Wolves in front of his own fans, but that is exactly what they are doing here to Brendan O’Reilly. O’Reilly doesn’t stand a chance against Jouban. It’s borderline irresponsible matchmaking. I can only guess that the UFC are trying to trim down their roster of fighters who only got into the UFC because they appeared on the Ultimate Fighter. By making these low level guys fight absolute monsters, they can add a couple of losses to their record and get rid of them quickly. If this fight stays standing, Brendan O’Reilly is going to get hurt badly for as long as he can keep fighting before his brain shuts off due to the amount damage he will sustain at the hands of Alan Jouban. There’s simply no way he can outstrike Jouban and almost no way he can knock him out. I don’t even give O’Reilly a puncher’s chance in this fight. Jouban also lands more than double the amount of strikes per minute, so it’s not even like O’Reilly has a chance of outworking Jouban or making the rounds look competitive. Brendan O’Reilly has really basic striking, no knockout power and he’s very predictable. Alan Jouban has super high level striking and he can KO you dead with every limb on his body. He has been known to knock people out with fists, kicks and elbows from every position. Your not safe standing, on the ground or in the clinch against against Alan Jouban. Jouban’s level of striking is so far above Brendan’s that there won’t be a single second of this fight that will be competitive while these guys are standing. Jouban also has a 4 inch reach advantage and fights out of the Southpaw stance, which makes this fight even more difficult for an inexperienced striker like Brendan O’Reilly. On the ground it’s the same story. The only difference is that O’Reilly will be at risk of getting choked out, having his arms broken or having his knee ligaments torn apart. O’Reilly can’t survive on the ground with Jouban, he just doesn’t have the skills. Alan Jouban is a very high level Brazilian Jiu Jitsu practioner with a Brown Belt under Eddie Bravo at 10th Planet Jiu Jitsu. A Brown Belt under Eddie Bravo is a very high level of BJJ and a much higher level than Black Belts that come from most other BJJ coaches. Brendan O’Reilly will not be ready for the level of grappling he will experience if this fight goes to the ground. Jouban’s BJJ is in a different league and O’Reilly will be at constant risk of getting submitted if this fight ends up on the ground. O’Reilly’s style of fighting is to try and pin his opponent’s against the cage and control them in the clinch to try and grind out a decision win… Problem is… He doesn’t have the cardio to keep up this relentless, grinding style of fighting for 3 rounds and an even bigger problem is that Alan Jouban is absolutely NASTY in the clinch position. Jouban is excellent in the Muay Thai clinch. His elbows are vicious, his knees are bone crushing and he’s also great at disengaging and landing big strikes on his exit. Jouban hurts people really bad from the clinch position, which means that Brendan O’Reilly is absolutely screwed because this is the only position where he’s capable of being competitive with almost any fighter in the UFC. I expect Brendan O’Reilly to look like a helpless child in this fight. He doesn’t stand a chance against Alan Jouban. This bet should win easily.OUR BETTING TIP: 10 Units [10% of your bankroll] on Alan Jouban to win at odds of 1.22 | -454 | 11/50 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Dan Hooker vs Mark Eddiva Betting Tip Prediction
Dan Hooker has moved from New Zealand to the United States to train at Team Elevation in Colorado, which is a great move for a young fighter. Over the last few months we’ve seen several fighters show significant improvements training at this camp, so I am really looking forward to seeing the improvements that Hooker has made. Daniel Hooker isn’t great in any particular area, but he’s very tough, very well rounded and fights at a relentless pace. He’s also huge for a Featherweight and will have a 7 inch reach advantage over Eddiva. This will help Hooker stay out of a range where Eddiva can hurt him with his powerful kicks. Eddiva’s kicks are excellent, but his Boxing and punching technique is not good at all. This will make it easy for Hooker to use his reach to pick Eddiva apart with his jab. Hooker also fights out of the Southpaw stance, which will make his strikes more dangerous and Eddiva’s strikes less dangerous. Mark Eddiva is a better technical striker than Hooker, but he has bad cardio and slows down considerably by the midway point of the second round in all of his fights. Daniel Hooker trains at altitude and has cardio for days. He also fights at an extremely high pace and I don’t see Eddiva being able to match him. Hooker also does a good job of grinding on his opponent’s with cage control and takedowns and I don’t see Eddiva’s cardio holding up in this type of fight. Daniel Hooker will have home advantage on his side and I don’t believe Eddiva has the ability to finish him inside the distance. This means that Eddiva is going to have to win this fight by decision in order to beat Hooker and I just don’t see it happening because Eddiva will not be able to match Hooker’s volume. Even if this fight ends up being close, there’s hardly any chance that Eddiva will win this fight by decision, because Hooker will have home advantage on his side. I don’t expect Hooker to dominate Mark Eddiva, but I do expect him to win with the relentless pace that he sets. Hooker’s strength and cardio is good enough to keep shooting in on Eddiva for 15 minutes, but I don’t think Eddiva will have the cardio or strength to stuff Hooker’s advances for more than 6-7 minutes. For this reason I believe Hooker is a very good bet in this fight because I believe he will comfortably win the 2nd and 3rd rounds to take a 29-28 unanimous decision at worst.OUR BETTING TIP: 2 Units [2% of your bankroll] on Dan Hooker to win at odds of 1.50 | -200 | 1/2 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Prop Bets for UFC Fight Night 85 – Hunt vs Mir
All of these Prop Bets were placed at Paddy Power. You can place most of these bets at 5 Dimes if you cannot open an account with Paddy Power. The odds on Prop Bets vary a lot between different betting websites, so the odds published below may be very different to what you will find on your own betting website of choice. [box type=”error” align=”alignright” ]Some of my VIP members follow my betting tips to invest their money and make big profits. Other members follow my betting tips to make watching MMA more exciting. My Prop Bets are for my VIP Members who want to place bets on every fight, to make watching UFC events more fun. The variance on Prop Bets is very high and you should not bet on them if you are serious about making money. I can’t guarantee that you will make money from placing bets on all of my Prop Bets. Please only bet on these Prop Bets for fun and make sure you keep your bets small.[/box]Frank Mir vs Mark Hunt
Mark Hunt to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 3.30 | +230 Mark Hunt to win by KO in round 2 at odds of 5.00 | +400 Frank Mir to win by submission at odds of 4.20 | +320Hector Lombard vs Neil Magny
Hector Lombard to win by decision at odds of 4.20 | +320 Neil Magny to win in round 3 at odds of 14.00 | +1300 Neil Magny to win by decision at odds of 2.50 | +250Jake Matthews vs Johnny Case
Johnny Case to win by KO at odds of 6.00 | +500Antonio Carlos Junior vs Dan Kelly
Antonio Carlos Junior to win in round 1 at odds of 2.00 | +100 Antonio Carlos Junior to win in round 2 at odds of 5.00 | +400James Te Huna vs Steve Bosse
James Te Huna to win by decision at odds of 7.50 | +650 Steve Bosse to win by KO at odds of 4.33 | +333 Fight ends in round 1 at odds of 2.00 | +100Bec Rawlings vs Seo Hee Ham
Bec Rawlings to win by decision at odds of 3.10 | +210Alan Jouban vs Brendan O’Reilly
Alan Jouban to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 2.29 | +129 Alan Jouban to win by KO in round 2 at odds of 6.50 | +550Dan Hooker vs Mark Eddiva
Dan Hooker to win by decision at odds of 3.00 | +200 Dan Hooker to win in round 3 at odds of 10.00 | +900Alan Patrick vs Damien Brown
Alan Patrick to win by submission at odds of 10.00 | +900 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]UFC Fight Night 85 Picks
[box type=”error” align=”alignright”]Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our VIP Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.[/box]| Frank Mir | vs | Mark Hunt | Hunt to win |
| Hector Lombard | vs | Neil Magny | Lombard to win |
| Jake Matthews | vs | Johnny Case | Case to win |
| Antonio Carlos Junior | vs | Dan Kelly | Carlos Junior to win |
| James Te Huna | vs | Steve Bosse | Te Huna to win |
| Bec Rawlings | vs | Seo Hee Ham | Rawlings to win |
| Alan Jouban | vs | Brendan O’Reilly | Jouban to win |
| Daniel Hooker | vs | Mark Eddiva | Hooker to win |
| Richard Walsh | vs | Viscardi Andrade | Walsh to win |
| Chad Laprise | vs | Ross Pearson | Laprise to win |
| Leslie Smith | vs | Rin Nakai | Smith to win |
| Alan Patrick | vs | Damien Brown | Patrick to win |
betsafe has 1.tip @1.75
I like the first tip!
Hunt
Magny
Bec