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Please join me during UFC on FOX 19 where I will be posting my Live Betting Tips to our VIP Members in our live betting tips chatroom.
Here are my betting tips, picks and predictions for UFC on FOX 19…
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Rose Namajunas vs Tecia Torres Betting Tip Prediction
In order to beat Rose Namajunas, you need to be able to take her down and control her on the ground or have enough power in your strikes to stop her from coming forward. This makes this a really difficult fight for Tecia Torres because Tecia doesn’t have the power in her strikes to slow Rose down or the grappling skills to control her on the ground. Rose and Tecia are both Black Belts in Taekwondo, but their styles of striking are very different. Rose has a very aggressive style of striking and she likes to come forward and control the pace of a fight. She also likes to throw a wide range of unorthodox power strikes and she’s always looking for the finish. Tecia Torres is different because her style of striking is a far more traditional point fighting style of Taekwondo. Tecia’s style involves staying on the outside and counter striking her opponent. This dynamic between the two fighters makes this a very good matchup for Namajunas, because it’s hard to win MMA fights when you’re counter striking from the outside. This is because MMA judges award points for aggression and Octagon control. This means that Namajunas has a significant advantage in this matchup because she does a great job of staying aggressive, coming forward and holding the centre of the Octagon. It’s going to be extremely hard for Tecia Torres to win this fight if it stays standing, because she lacks the power to hurt Rose with strikes and it’s going to be really difficult for her to win by decision when she’s fighting on the outside. Tecia Torres and Rose Namajunas actually fought once before back in 2013, but a lot has changed since then. Back then, Namajunas had no idea how to use her range and she hardly used any footwork at all. Out of the two girls, Namajunas has made massive improvements since that fight and she now does an excellent job of utilizing footwork and fighting long. Rose Namajunas will have a 5 inch reach advantage over Tecia Torres, which will make it extremely difficult for Tecia to get inside striking range and land anything significant. Namajunas does a really good job of controlling the range of a fight and her 5 inch reach advantage will make it even easier for her to keep Tecia on the end of her strikes. Tecia Torres has good submission defence and decent wrestling, but she’s not in the same league as Rose when it comes to grappling. Rose has the ability to submit her opponent’s from any position and her wrestling has improved a lot since her time on the Ultimate Fighter. If this fight goes to the ground, I expect Rose to put on a grappling clinic. She’s simply too long, too dangerous and too technical for Tecia to be able to hang with her. The only weakness we’ve seen from Rose in her entire time in the UFC was when she adrenaline dumped and gassed out in her UFC debut against Carla Esparza. I’m not at all concerned about this happening again in her fight against Tecia Torres because Tecia doesn’t fight at a pace high enough to push Rose to the point of gassing out. Rose has a significant advantage over Tecia on the ground, in the clinch and standing up. I expect her to put in another dominant performance and win this fight easily.OUR BETTING TIP: 3.5 Units [3.5% of your bankroll] on Rose Namajunas to win at odds of 1.57 | -175 | 57/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Beneil Dariush vs Michael Chiesa Betting Tip Prediction
Since the new USADA rules came into effect we are seeing more fighters get injured, more fighters get caught for using banned substances, more fighters gas out and more fights get cancelled than ever before… Michael Chiesa is a huge Lightweight who walks around at 190 pounds and this will be the first time he has fought without being able to use an IV to rehydrate. We’ve seen countless fighters gas out since the new USADA regulations came into effect and this is probably down to the fact that they are dehydrated from weight cutting. It can take several days to rehydrate the body naturally. There’s simply no way that Michael Chiesa will be able to cut from 190 pounds, down to 155 pounds and feel 100% just 24 hours later. Fighters like Michael Chiesa who cut a lot of weight need IVs to perform to their full potential and I believe he’ll look very different at Lightweight now that he is unable to use an IV to rehydrate his body. Michael Chiesa has gassed out in a few of his fights in the past and I believe there’s a very good chance that he’ll gas out against Dariush now that he is unable to use an IV. Beneil Dariush doesn’t have to cut that much weight. He’s only 5 ft 9 and and he always looks healthy at the weigh ins. Michael Chiesa will tower over him, but his body looks weak and frail. In the past, Chiesa’s size would have been a big advantage, because he could have used an IV to help his body rehydrate back to full strength after the weigh ins. If you saw Chiesa at the weigh ins, you will have noticed that his torso is very thin. There isn’t any protection around his bones and organs in the way of muscles or fat. Beneil Dariush is a Black Belt in Muay Thai under Rafael Cordeiro and his body and leg kicks are absolutely brutal. Chiesa’s weak frame will be wide open to these kicks and I believe Dariush’s ability to land devastating kicks to the body will speed up the process of Chiesa gassing out. Michael Chiesa is a grapple brawling style of fighter and he looks to create moments of chaos standing up which creates openings for him to tie his opponents up and drag them to the ground. This style of fighting can get Chiesa into a lot of trouble against a guy like Beneil Dariush… When we break a fight down we have to look at how both fighters will perform in the three areas that an MMA fight can take place [in the clinch, on the ground and striking]. First lets evaluate how both guys matchup when it comes to striking… Michael Chiesa’s biggest weakness is his striking. He has poor technique and poor striking defence. He also loads up on his strikes, which means that he uses up a lot of energy. Chiesa has been able to make up for his poor striking with heart, aggression and the fact that he has a long reach and fights out of the Southpaw stance. Most fighters struggle to deal with Southpaws, particularly Southpaws with a long reach, so Chiesa’s lack of technique has enabled him to stay competitive in stand up exchanges against far better strikers. Chiesa’s heart, aggression and toughness will mean he’s always going to be able to keep stand up fights competitive, but Beneil Dariush is a significantly better striker who possesses the technical skills to use Chiesa’s aggression against him. Dariush’s biggest weapon is his kicks. He is able to deliver devastating body and leg kicks, which are particularly dangerous against fighters with a weak frame like Chiesa. I believe that Dariush’s kicks will be a big factor in this fight. Another big factor to consider from a striking perspective is that Chiesa is used to having the advantage of being a Southpaw. That won’t help him against Dariush because Dariush is also a Southpaw. This striking dynamic actually becomes a significant advantage for the more technical striker in Dariush, because he’ll be far more equipped to make adjustments in the striking exchanges. To put it simply… A Black Belt in Muay Thai under Rafael Cordeiro who trains with World Class Southpaws like Lyoto Machida will be more comfortable fighting a fellow Southpaw than a guy like Michael Chiesa who trains with basic, orthodox stanced fighters like Sam Sicilia and Julianna Pena. Michael Chiesa likes to grind on his opponents in the clinch, but that won’t be easy to do against Dariush because Dariush is a Black Belt in Muay Thai and has a nasty Plum Clinch. The clinch is actually Chiesa’s strongest position, but it’s also one of the positions where Dariush is most comfortable and most dangerous. I just don’t see Chiesa’s grinding style of clinch fighting being effective against someone like Dariush who has such solid technical skills in the clinch position. Michael Chiesa’s poor striking technique means that he’s always looking for ways to take his opponent’s to the ground. Chiesa is a very strong grappler, so this would normally be a good plan, but Chiesa does not want to be on the ground with a guy like Beneil Dariush… Beneil Dariush is a super high level grappler and Chiesa doesn’t stand a chance against him on the ground. Dariush has actually entered 50 Brazilian Jiu Jitsu tournaments in the last 5 years and he’s finished in the top 3 in ALL OF THEM… So what makes Dariush so great on the ground? Let me explain… There’s an old joke between men and women that men can’t multi task and it’s true, most of us are terrible at it… Jiu Jitsu as a Martial Art involves moving in a set of sequences to try and advance your position or bait your opponent into making a mistake. Most people, including many Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Black Belts, move in a series of singular motions. They’ll either look to advance position, or they’ll go for a submission or they’ll try to create a scramble. That’s how most grapplers work and that’s how Michael Chiesa works. Beneil Dariush is different, because he can chain everything together and multi task. He can go for submissions, advance his position and create scrambles all at the same time. Beneil Dariush’s ability to multi-task and seamlessly integrate every element of grappling together makes him one of the best grapplers in the UFC. Chiesa might look like a strong grappler to the naked eye, but he’s not capable of dealing with what Dariush brings to the table on the ground. It’s possible that Michael Chiesa could grind out a win with sheer toughness and determination, but the fact is that he’s at a significant disadvantage wherever this fight takes place. Chiesa is bringing a knife to a gunfight and whilst it’s always possible that the guy with the knife can stab the guy with the gun before he gets a chance to pull the trigger, more often than not the guy with the knife gets shot in the face. Michael Chiesa is a good fighter, but Beneil Dariush is significantly better than him in every single aspect of MMA. I believe Dariush is a great bet in this fight.OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Beneil Dariush to win at odds of 1.64 | -159 | 16/25 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Court McGee vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Betting Tip Prediction
Court McGee and Santiago Ponzinibbio are two incredibly tough warriors that are going to go to war at UFC on FOX 19. You practically have to kill these guys to finish them and this match up has got fight of the night written all over it… McGee and Ponzinibbio are both brawlers, but Ponzinibbio is more technical, more calculated and more powerful. Both guys like to drag their opponent’s into wars and create moments of chaos, but Ponzinibbio is a lot more effective during these moments of chaos. He has the chin, head movement and defence to stand in the pocket and land bombs, whilst evading knockout strikes from his opponent. He also has the discipline and awareness to control range even in moments of madness. He does this by applying constant pressure and by frequently moving in and out of his opponent’s range. He also peppers his opponent with a wide range of strikes from a wide variety of angles. This constant pressure and constant variety of attacks makes it difficult for his opponents to “get off”. Court McGee is a brawler, but he lacks knockout power, he’s not that fast and his technique is very scrappy. Ponzinibbio is different because he has KO power in every strike, he’s very fast and he also has excellent striking technique, reasonably strong wrestling and his BJJ is also very solid. Ponzinibbio now trains at American Top Team and prior to that he trained with the Nogueira brothers, so you know that he’s going to come into this fight with a good gameplan and a well rounded set of skills. There won’t be a single area of MMA where McGee can take this fight where Ponzinibbio won’t feel comfortable. Court McGee has an incredible amount of heart, but he also gives off subtle “tells” when he’s hurt. This is a big weakness, especially against someone like Ponzinibbio who does a great job of swarming his opponents when he senses they are hurt. Ponzinibbio never lets his opponent recover when he has them hurt and McGee makes it extremely obvious from his body language when he is hurt. I believe that this gives Ponzinibbio a big advantage in this fight and I also believe there’s a good chance that Ponzinibbio stops Court McGee with strikes. When McGee is losing the striking exchanges, he looks to try and take his opponent’s down or control them in the clinch. Ponzinibbio doesn’t have the best takedown defence, but he does do an excellent job of scrambling back to his feet when he does get taken down and his BJJ is very solid. I expect the majority of this fight to take place standing up, where Ponzinibbio has a significant advantage. I believe that Santiago Ponzinibbio will win this fight by pressuring McGee and landing the more significant strikes. I believe there’s a very good chance that Ponzinibbio will win this fight by knockout or TKO.OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Santiago Ponzinibbio to win at odds of 1.67 | -149 | 67/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Prop Bets for UFC on FOX 19 – Evans vs Teixeira
All of these Prop Bets were placed at Paddy Power. You can place most of these bets at 5 Dimes if you cannot open an account with Paddy Power. The odds on Prop Bets vary a lot between different betting websites, so the odds published below may be very different to what you will find on your own betting website of choice. [box type=”error” align=”alignright” ]Some of my VIP members follow my betting tips to invest their money and make big profits. Other members follow my betting tips to make watching MMA more exciting. My Prop Bets are for my VIP Members who want to place bets on every fight, to make watching UFC events more fun. The variance on Prop Bets is very high and you should not bet on them if you are serious about making money. I can’t guarantee that you will make money from placing bets on all of my Prop Bets. Please only bet on these Prop Bets for fun and make sure you keep your bets small.[/box]Glover Teixeira vs Rashad Evans
Glover Teixeira to win by decision at odds of 3.60 | +260Rose Namajunas vs Tecia Torres
Rose Namajunas to win by decision at odds of 2.80 | +180Cub Swanson vs Hacran Dias
Hacran Dias to win by decision at odds of 2.60 | +160 Cub Swanson to win by decision at odds of 3.10 | +210 Cub Swanson to win in round 3 at odds of 13.00 | +1200Beneil Dariush vs Michael Chiesa
Beneil Dariush to win by decision at odds of 2.50 | +150 Beneil Dariush to win by submission at odds of 4.33 | +333 Beneil Dariush to win in round 3 at odds of 14.00 | +1300Bethe Correia vs Raquel Pennington
Raquel Pennington to win by decision at odds of 2.80 | +180Court McGee vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Santiago Ponzinibbio to win by KO at odds of 3.75 | +275John Dodson vs Manny Gamburyan
Manny Gamburyan to win by decision at odds of 7.50| +650Michael Graves vs Randy Brown
Michael Graves to win by decision at odds of 3.00 | +200Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos vs Omari Akhmedov
Dos Santos to win by knockout at odds of 4.00 | +300 Dos Santos to win by KO in round 3 at odds of 18.00 | +1700 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]UFC on FOX 19 Picks
[box type=”error” align=”alignright”]Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our VIP Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.[/box]| Glover Teixeira | vs | Rashad Evans | Teixeira to win |
| Rose Namajunas | vs | Tecia Torres | Namajunas to win |
| Darrell Horcher | vs | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Nurmagomedov to win |
| Beneil Dariush | vs | Michael Chiesa | Dariush to win |
| Cub Swanson | vs | Hacran Dias | Swanson to win |
| John Dodson | vs | Manny Gamburyan | Dodson to win |
| Bethe Correia | vs | Raquel Pennington | Pennington to win |
| Court McGee | vs | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Ponzinibbio to win |
| Mike Graves | vs | Randy Brown | Graves to win |
| Cezar Ferreira | vs | Oluwale Bamgbose | Ferreira to win |
| Drew Dober | vs | Islam Makhachev | Makhachev to win |
| Elizeu Zaleski | vs | Omari Akhmedov | Zaleski to win |
legggoooo viptip 1!
I think Glover will dominate Rashad, who should have retired after loss to Bader.
Agree with puczi glover should win this