VIP Betting Tips for UFC Fight Night 82 – Hendricks vs Thompson

First of all I’d like to start out by apologising for posting my finalized betting tips for UFC Fight Night 82 a lot later than usual. The new USADA drug testing has had a big impact on many fighters over the last few months, so I wanted to watch the weigh ins for this event before I felt comfortable finalizing our bets. What I saw at the weigh ins made me feel more confident in adding money to one of our Early Bird Betting Tips and it also made me feel confident in one of the other guys who I though could have been adversely effected by the new USADA regulations. We’re not doing anything fancy with our bets for this ev [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

Johny Hendricks vs Stephen Thompson Betting Tip Prediction

Click here to checkout our betting tip for the fight between Johny Hendricks and Stephen Thompson.
OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on this fight to last longer than 2.5 rounds at odds of 1.50 | -200 | 1/2 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

Ovince St-Preux vs Rafael Feijao Betting Tip Prediction

In recent weeks we’ve seen countless fighters look a shadow of their former selves and it’s clear that the new USADA drug testing programme is having a serious impact on some fighters. USADA is definitely making the sport of MMA more unpredictable, but we can minimize the impact on our betting performance by taking it into account when placing our bets. Rafael Feijao is a former Strikeforce Light Heavyweight Champion who used to be an explosive fighter, but all that changed back in 2012 when he tested positive for the banned substance Stanozolol. Since then, Feijao is 1-3 in the UFC and his performances seem to be getting worse with every fight. It’s pretty obvious that Feijao is going to be effected by the new USADA drug testing, because he’s been banned for taking PEDs in the past. His performances since his suspension have been very poor, which indicates to me that he is a fighter who need PEDs to be able to perform to his full potential. Feijao has looked really bad in his last few fights and at 35 years old he’s not going to be getting any better. Feijao is simple too slow, too predictable and too basic to cause Ovince St-Preux a problem. If this fight stays standing, I expect OSP to use his 7 inch reach advantage out of the Southpaw stance to stay out of Feijao’s range and blast him with his powerful strikes. Feijao is very bad defensively and he often gets caught flat footed with his back against the cage. This makes him a stationary target and it gives his opponent’s an opportunity to unload combinations on him whilst he makes little effort to circle out of danger. Ovince St-Preux does a great job of using his length and reach advantage to land powerful strikes from outside of his opponent’s range. This enables him to to land fight ending strikes from positions where he is not at risk of getting countered. Feijao’s style of striking is very sloppy and basic and predominantly consists of him leaping into his opponent’s range with sloppy, looping hooks that leave him wide open to getting countered. OSP knocked out Shogun and Patrick Cummins with big counters whilst moving backwards and I believe there’s a very good chance that he will finish Feijao in exactly the same way. Feijao’s only path to victory is a flash knockout, but Feijao doesn’t really have knockout power and OSP has only been knocked out once in 25 career fights. OSP also does a great job of using his length to stay out of his opponent’s range, which makes the chances of him getting knocked out very unlikely. If OSP is smart, he will use his wrestling and strong ground game to take Feijao down and grind him out. Feijao has shown through his career that his takedown defence is bad and OSP should easily be able to get this fight to the ground and secure a dominant top position. This should be an easy win for OSP.
OUR BETTING TIP: 3.5 Units [3.5% of your bankroll] on Ovince St-Preux to win at odds of 1.29 | -345 | 29/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

Josh Burkman vs KJ Noons Betting Tip Prediction

Josh Burkman has lost his last 3 fights, but he’s shown flashes of looking really good in each of those losses. I’m not usually a fan of betting on a fighter who is on a losing streak, but when you watch footage of both these guys it’s really hard to see any way in which Burkman could lose. KJ Noons is one of those guys who has never improved. He was a one dimensional Boxer back in 2006 and he’s still a one dimensional Boxer in 2016. His predictable fighting style has seen him put together an uninspiring pro MMA record of 13-8 and his style of fighting mainly consists of aimlessly chasing his opponent around the Octagon, whilst blocking punches with his face. KJ has no power, no takedown defense, no ground game and no diversity in his attack. If Burkman fights smart, this should be a very easy night for him. KJ is well known for being an exciting brawler, but this reputation comes from his days in Strikeforce, because he has looked really bad since moving over to the UFC. What’s even more worrying is how KJ’s striking has become more and more tentative over the last few years. This is a problem because he does not have power in his hands and he’s always relied on his volume and aggression to win fights. His output and aggression is simply not there anymore, which means we are left with a fighter that isn’t very good at anything. If you go back and watch some of his last few fights, you’ll see that he does a great job of cutting the angle and getting into position, but he just can’t pull the trigger. Noons has always struggled against counter fighters and Burkman will be a tricky opponent for him because Burkman is very comfortable at fighting on the outside and does a good job of landing big counters whilst moving backwards. The way these guys matchup from a striking dynamic should see Noons walking Burkman down, whilst getting caught with big counters from the outside. KJ is known for having a great chin, but he’s been in so many wars throughout his career that I think his new, tentative style of fighting is a direct result of all the head trauma that he has suffered throughout his career. KJ shows all the signs of a fighter who has too many rounds on the clock and his many wars with guys like Nick Diaz, Jorge Masvidal and Josh Thomson seem to be taking their toll. KJ Noons has a non existent ground game and very poor takedown defence. If Burkman fights smart, he will take Noons down and control him on the ground. Burkman has very good fight IQ, so I believe there’s a very good chance that he’ll turn this fight into a grindfest and use his grappling to guarantee a win. Josh Burkman is better than KJ Noons in every single area of MMA and this is his fight to lose. At the current odds, I feel like he’s a good bet.
OUR BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Josh Burkman to win at odds of 1.65 | -154 | 13/20 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

Diego Rivas vs Noad Lahat Betting Tip Prediction

I’ve upgraded this betting tip from a 5 unit bet to a 7.5 unit bet, because Diego Rivas has almost no chance of beating Noad Lahat. The only way that Diego Rivas stands a chance of winning this fight is if he has been training with Ivan Drago in a secret Russian Laboratory. If he shows up and fights anything like he has in his past few fights he will get absolutely destroyed by Lahat. Diego Rivas is a new breed of fighter that has only managed to get into the UFC after appearing on the Ultimate Fighter Latin America. This new type of fighter did not earn a place in the UFC based on his skill or ability. Instead, he earned his place in the Super Bowl of Mixed Martial arts because he’s from a country where the UFC are trying to grow their brand. What I’m trying to say is… Diego Rivas is nowhere near UFC level. Rivas is one of those guys that isn’t very good at anything. His body type is average for the weight class, his striking is not technical, he doesn’t have knockout power, he’s not a strong wrestler and he doesn’t pose any threat of a submission. Noad Lahat is the exact opposite, because he has strong wrestling, a Black Belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu, a Black Belt in Judo and he also has good technical Boxing. Noad Lahat can win this fight anyway he wants to. He can stand and strike with Rivas and box him up, he can take him down and beat him up from top position or he can use his high level BJJ to work for a sub. From what I have seen in Rivas’ past performances, there’s nothing he can do to stop Lahat from dominating this fight. The only minor concern I have about this bet is the fact that Rivas hasn’t fought in around 14 months. Within that time he has been training at Kings MMA, so it’s possible that he could have improved since his last fight. However… That’s why they call this gambling and we will never be able to place a bet without some element of risk. It is EXTREMELY unlikely that Rivas will have improved enough in just 14 months to be able to keep this fight competitive and I expect Lahat to dominate almost every second of this fight. I am VERY surprised that Lahat isn’t the biggest favourite on this card. I’d personally cap him in the 1.10 | -1000 to 1.15 | -700 range.
OUR BETTING TIP: 7.5 Units [7.5% of your bankroll] on Noad Lahat to win at odds of 1.33 | -303 | 33/100 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

Prop Bets for UFC Fight Night 82

All of these Prop Bets were placed at Paddy Power. You can place most of these bets at 5 Dimes if you cannot open an account with Paddy Power. The odds on Prop Bets vary a lot between different betting websites, so the odds published below may be very different to what you will find on your own betting website of choice. [box type=”error” align=”alignright” ]Some of my VIP members follow my betting tips to invest their money and make big profits. Other members follow my betting tips to make watching MMA more exciting. My Prop Bets are for my VIP Members who want to place bets on every fight, to make watching UFC events more fun. The variance on Prop Bets is very high and you should not bet on them if you are serious about making money. I can’t guarantee that you will make money from placing bets on all of my Prop Bets. Please only bet on these Prop Bets for fun and make sure you keep your bets small.[/box]

Johny Hendricks vs Stephen Thompson

Stephen Thompson to win by KO in round 4 at odds of 17.00 | +1600 Stephen Thompson to win by KO in round 5 at odds of 26.00 | +2500 Stephen Thompson to win by KO at odds of 4.50 | +350 Johny Hendricks to win by decision at odds of 2.25 | +125

Jared Rosholt vs Roy Nelson

Roy Nelson to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 2.70 | +170 Roy Nelson to win by KO in round 2 at odds of 5.00 | +400

Ovince St-Preux vs Rafael Feijao

Ovince St-Preux to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 2.60 | +160

Joseph Benavidez vs Zach Makovsky

Zach Makovsky to win by decision at odds of 6.50 | +550

Mike Pyle vs Sean Spencer

Sean Spencer to win by KO at odds of 3.75 | +275 Mike Pyle to win by decision at odds of 7.00 | +600

KJ Noons vs Josh Burkman

Josh Burkman to win inside the distance at odds of 2.50 | +150

Justin Scoggins vs Ray Borg

Ray Borg to win by decision at odds of 2.50 | +150 Justin Scoggins to win by decision at odds of 5.50 | +450

Diego Rivas vs Noad Lahat

Noad Lahat to win by KO at odds of 9.50 | +850 Noad Lahat to win by submission at odds of 2.40 | +140

Artem Lobov vs Alex White

Artem Lobov to win by KO at odds of 3.60 | +260 [divider style=”solid” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]

UFC Fight Night 82 Picks

[box type=”error” align=”alignright”]Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our VIP Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.[/box]

Johny Hendricks	vs	Stephen Thompson	Hendricks to win
Jared Rosholt	vs	Roy Nelson	Nelson to win
Ovince St Preux	vs	Rafael Cavalcante	St-Preux to win
Joseph Benavidez	vs	Zach Makovsky	Makovsky to win
Josh Burkman	vs	KJ Noons	Burkman to win
Damian Grabowski	vs	Derrick Lewis	Lewis to win
Mike Pyle	vs	Sean Spencer	Spencer to win
Alex Nicholson	vs	Misha Cirkunov	Cirkunov to win
Alex White	vs	Artem Lobov	Lobov to win
Justin Scoggins	vs	Ray Borg	Scoggins to win
Diego Rivas	vs	Noad Lahat	Lahat to win
Mickey Gall	vs	Mike Jackson	Jackson to win