PAWEL PAWLAK vs SHELDON WESTCOTT
Last summer I bet on Sheldon Westcott to beat Elias Theodorou in the Ultimate Fighter Finale. Westcott ended up gassing out in the 1st round and badly underperforming. I very rarely bet on a fighter more than once who has previously let me down, but I’m going to make an exception for Sheldon Westcott, because I believe he’s an excellent fighter. I also believe that the UFC recognise he’s legit and that’s why his fight against Pawel Pawlak has made it onto the main card ahead of some more high profile fights. Westcott didn’t perform anywhere near his full potential against Elias Theodorou and I believe this was mainly down to the fact that the fight took place at Middleweight. Westcott relies on being able to overpower his opponent’s and he couldn’t do that against Theodorou because he was undersized. This fight is taking place at Welterweight, which is Westcott’s natural weight class and I expect to see a big improvement in his performance. If Westcott fights to his full potential, Pawlak will be lucky to make it out of the first round. If Westcott fights at only 50%, he should still have the skills to grind out a unanimous decision win. Pawel Pawlak has nothing for Westcott in this fight and I don’t believe he can make this fight close enough for home advantage to play a factor. Pawel Pawlak has low level striking with no knockout power. He also has poor takedown defence and a non existent ground game. Westcott should be able to take Pawlak down whenever he wants and destroy him on the ground. I really don’t see this fight being close. Westcott should dominate… [adrotate group=”123″]MY BETTING TIP: 3 Units [3% of your bankroll] on Sheldon Westcott to win at odds of 1.56 | -178 | 14/25
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MICKAEL LEBOUT vs SERGIO MORAES
I don’t place big bets very often, but when I do, they win. In fact, I haven’t lost a single bet since I set this website up where I’ve recommended betting more than 10% of your bankroll on a single fighter… I recommend you bet 10 units on Sergio Moraes to beat Mickael Lebout, because Lebout is way out of his depth and Moraes should easily destroy him. Moraes was initially scheduled to fight Peter Sobotta, but Sobotta got injured. Gasan Umalatov then stepped up as a replacement and also got injured. This means that Lebout is a short notice replacement for Sergio’s 2 injured opponents. Lebout is only fighting in the UFC because they were desperate for a short notice opponent for Sergio Moraes. I’m actually shocked that Moraes isn’t closer to a 1.10 | -1000 | 1/10 favourite, so whilst the odds of 1.30 | -333 | 3/10 may seem low, we’re still getting a good amount of value on this bet. Sergio Moraes is a high level Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Black Belt with very good striking. People give a lot of praise to guys like Demian Maia and Gilbert Burns for their grappling credentials, but it doesn’t get much better than Moraes. If this guy gets you on the ground, you’re in big trouble and it’s unlikely Lebout has had an opportunity to develop his BJJ to a level where he can survive on the ground against a guy like Moraes. Here are a couple of Lebout’s recent fights which highlight how basic his skills are… Mickael Lebout trains at a small gym in Paris and he’s probably never even trained with a fighter as skilled as Sergio Moraes. I expect Moraes to take Lebout down and sub him in the 1st round. Mickael Lebout isn’t UFC level and he’s going to struggle against a well rounded Brazilian murderer like Sergio Moraes… [adrotate group=”104″]MY BETTING TIP: 10 Units [10% of your bankroll] on Sergio Moraes to win at odds of 1.30 | -333 | 3/10
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i don’t see either of these fights on Unibet or Sportsbet. Am I blind or have they been removed?