Prop Bets for UFC 195 – Condit vs Lawler

Prop bets are a great way to turn a little bit of money into a lot of money. I place a ton of small prop bets on every UFC event and most of the time they return a very nice profit. It’s difficult for me to include the results of my props in my overall record, because the limits that you can bet on props tend to be a lot lower than bets you can play straight up. This means that it would be unfair of me to recommend a 1 unit bet on a particular prop, because many Sportsbooks heavily limit the amount of money you can bet on a prop. For example; 5 Dimes have currently limited me to $50 per prop bet. This means it would be unfair of me to say “Bet 1 unit on a particular prop” when it’s possible that the maximum amount of money that most people can bet per prop is $50. $50 could be 5 units for one person, but not even 1 unit for someone else. This is the reason why I prefer to post my props and let you guys decide how much you want to bet on them. I personally recommend that you keep prop bet stakes low to avoid them having a significant impact on your bankroll if you have a bad event. You should try to keep your bets under 0.3 units if possible unless an outcome is very likely. I placed each of these bets at Paddy Power. Many of these proposition bets can also be found on 5 Dimes. Here are my Prop Bets for UFC 195… [divider]
[box type=”error” align=”alignright” ]The swings and variance on Prop Bets is a lot higher than what you will experience on our standard betting tips. As a result, I only recommend betting on these Props for fun. Prop Bets should be placed for entertainment only and using stakes that are much lower than your standard unit size.[/box]

Carlos Condit vs Robbie Lawler

Carlos Condit to win by KO in round 3 at odds of 21.00 | +2000 [1 unit] Carlos Condit to win by KO in round 4 at odds of 26.00 | +2500 [1 unit] Carlos Condit to win by KO at odds of 4.50 | +350 [1 unit]

Andrei Arlovski vs Stipe Miocic

Stipe Miocic to win by decision at odds of 3.10 | +210 [1 unit]

Albert Tumenov vs Lorenz Larkin

Albert Tumenov to win by KO at odds of 2.00 | +100 [1 unit] Albert Tumenov to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 3.60 | +260 [1 unit] Albert Tumenov to win by KO in round 2 at odds of 5.00 | +400 [1 unit]

Diego Brandao vs Brian Ortega

Diego Brandao to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 7.00 | +600 [1 unit] Diego Brandao to win by KO at odds of 6.50 | +550 [1 unit] Brian Ortega to win by submission in round 3 at odds of 18.00 | +1700 [1 unit] Brian Ortega to win by submission at odds of 3.60 | +260 [1 unit]

Abel Trujillo vs Tony Sims

Fight ends in round 1 by KO at odds of 3.10 | +210 [1 unit]

Alex Morono vs Kyle Noke

Kyle Noke to win by decision at odds of 2.00 | +100 [1 unit]

Justine Kish vs Nina Ansaroff

Nina Ansaroff to win by decision at odds of 4.10 | +310 [1 unit]

Drew Dober vs Scott Holtzman

Drew Dober to win by decision at odds of 3.60 | +260 [1 unit]

Dustin Poirier vs Joe Duffy

Dustin Poirier to win by KO at odds of 8.50 | +750 [1 unit] Dustin Poirier to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 9.50 | +850 [1 unit]

Joe Soto vs Michinori Tanaka

Joe Soto to win by decision at odds of 3.30 | +230 [1 unit]

Edgar Garcia vs Sheldon Westcott

Sheldon Westcott to win by submission or decision at odds of 2.00 | +100 [1 unit] [box type=”warning” align=”aligncenter” class=”” width=””]The variance on prop bets is a lot higher than the variance on standard bets. As a result… I do not recommend that you work to the scale of 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll when placing props. Your prop bet stakes should not be big enough to put a significant dent in your bankroll, even if you were to lose every prop bet on a single event. I personally recommend that your unit size on props equals around 0.2% of your standard unit size for normal bets. The recommended unit sizes in this article are only to illustrate how much money you should stake in relation to the other prop bets. For example… I might bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO in round 4 at odds of 21.00 | +2000 [1 unit] To cover ourselves against potential losses, I might recommend another prop as an insurance bet such as… Anderson Silva to win by KO at odds of 2.20 | +120 [2 units] Notice how I’ve doubled the recommended amount you should bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO at anytime during the fight? This type of bet covers any potential losses on our more speculative bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO in round 4 and it also means we’ll end up with a guaranteed profit, if one of the bets hit. I hope this makes sense. If you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to contact me directly or hit me up on the forum… [/box] [divider] I placed each of these bets at Paddy Power. Many of these proposition bets can also be found on 5 Dimes.