Football Betting Tips – Gameweek 1

Over the last 4 years, we have made hundreds of thousands of dollars Live Betting on the UFC. This money has enabled me to become a Professional Gambler, and I know that many of you reading this now earn more money from Gambling than you earn from your day job. I know of at least 3 people in our community who have been able to quit their jobs and Gamble full-time.

For the longest time now, everything has been sweet in our community, but nothing ever lasts forever, and now we face a genuine threat to our future. BT Sport recently lost the broadcasting rights to the UFC in the UK to a new company called Eleven Sports. This puts our future ability to earn money Live Betting on the UFC in jeopardy.

BT Sport will air their last UFC event on December 3rd and after this time there are no guarantees that betting websites will continue to offer Live Betting on the UFC. The current liquidity levels on UFC betting are very low compared to other sports, and if Eleven Sports fail to launch traditional TV channels on Sky and Virgin, there is a very real chance that betting websites could dramatically reduce max bet limits on the UFC or even pull the plug on Live Betting altogether.

The UFC has a strong finish to the year with big upcoming fights like Nate Diaz vs. Dustin Poirier and Conor McGregor vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov, but right now the TV ratings are at a 10 year low. If we are completely honest about these fights, it is highly likely that the UFC’s two big stars in Conor and Nate will lose to Khabib and Dustin. If this happens it would further hurt the UFC’s ability to draw big numbers in 2019. As the UFC’s popularity continues to decline year on year, betting limits are also decreasing, which could potentially make it much harder for us to make money in the future.

Right now I am hoping that Eleven Sports launch traditional TV channels on Sky and Virgin before the BT Sport deal runs out on December 3rd. If they do this, I believe it will be business as usual for us. Unfortunately, Eleven Sports have not yet said that they will be launching TV channels. All they have said is that they will be streaming sports through their web platform for a monthly subscription because they are aiming to be the Netflix of Sports. If this happens, then I feel like the liquidity in UFC betting, and our Live Betting options will take a severe hit.

When life punches you in the face, you have two options. You can turtle up, and take a beating, or you can punch it right back in its face. I don’t know what will happen after December 3rd, but I’m definitely not going to sit around for the next few months and do nothing. Right now there is a very real chance that this time next year I might end up working in an Office Job that I hate again. There’s also a very real chance that you guys will miss out on all that extra money we make from Live Betting on the UFC. This is not an option for me, and I am going to do whatever it takes to develop new skills that we can use to crush it in other sports.

When I first began betting on the UFC way back in 2008, I didn’t know anything about fighting. I had never even watched fighting. I had never taken a Boxing class or done any kind of Martial Art. I did, however, have 5 years of Online Poker experience where I would sit in front of a computer for 8 hours a day analyzing patterns, learning from my mistakes and grinding out profits. It didn’t take me long to start crushing it when I started to bet on the UFC, and I’ve never looked back.

I have been a Cardiff City season ticket holder since I was 4 years old and I’ve watched thousands of football matches since I was a child. I’ve also played football competitively my whole life. I feel this is significant because I will know much more about Football as I embark upon this Football Betting Journey than I knew about fighting when I embarked upon my MMA Betting journey 10 years ago.

I don’t know if we will be able to make money betting on Football, but with all my experience I feel incredibly confident that we can. From what I have seen so far Live Betting on Football feels much easier to beat than Live Betting on the UFC.

I have been giving this a lot of thought over the last couple of months, and I’ve come up with a theory…

I believe that all those years ago I inadvertently dived head first into Live Betting on a sport that was incredibly difficult to profit from. Afterall, in UFC Live Betting you have to make decisions very quickly and odds get suspended all the time. The odds are also relatively short, so you have to maintain a very high win rate to earn any kind of profit. Football is the complete opposite. Odds only tend to get suspended on Football after significant moments occur and you have much more time to make your decisions. The odds are also much better Live Betting on Football.

Just like a newbie hitting the gym for the first time and lifting weights that are too heavy for them, I feel I might have accidentally mastered one of the most challenging sports to Live Bet. Now, when I Live Bet other sports, it seems so easy in comparison to UFC.

These are exciting times with hundreds of millions of dollars worth of liquidity up for grabs on every Premier League and Champions League game. With multiple betting exchanges offering huge max bet limits on Football we will never have to worry about limitations if we can beat this game. If we can even come close to the success we have with UFC betting we can all become extremely wealthy.

With the uncertainty of December 3rd looming over us, let’s turn that negative into a positive and crush Football and MMA Betting. Please hit me up in the Chat Room and Forum to let me know what you think of this Challenge.

We are now just hours away from the first game in the new Premier League season, and I am feeling very optimistic. I invite you to join me on my journey. I will be sharing all of my traditional pregame bets and Live bets on this page.

I will continue to update you with more news regarding the Eleven Sports deal whenever new information gets released.

Manchester United vs Leicester City Betting Tip and Prediction

The World Cup has had a negative impact on many Premier League teams, but one of the biggest victims appears to be Manchester United. First team regulars like Pogba, Fellaini, Lukaku, Lingard, and Young only returned to training this week, which means that they won’t be fully fit for Friday’s game against Leicester City. Their squad has also been ransacked by injuries with Valencia, Herrera, Rojo, and Matic all being ruled out of their opening game due to various injuries. Bailly picked up a knock in their pre-season friendly against Bayern Munich, but he is expected to play.

Jose Mourinho only has a skeleton squad to pick from this weekend, but Leicester have their own issues to deal with…

Leicester have done a good bit of business in the summer transfer window by managing to hold onto their star defender Maguire, but after playing such a big part of England’s World Cup campaign, he only returned to training this week. Maguire is still expected to play, and aside from some fitness concerns over Jamie Vardy, Leicester should be able to field a full strength team.

Man United did a great job of turning Old Trafford into a fortress last season which enabled them to put together one of the best defensive records in the league. Unfortunately, that defensive record is likely to take a hit in the first few gameweeks due to injuries and fitness concerns over key defensive players like Fellaini, Matic, Valencia, Pogba, and Rojo.

Leicester City had the 4th worst defensive record in the league last season with all 3 relegated clubs conceding fewer goals than them. Leicester haven’t done a great job of strengthening their defense in the latest transfer window and with Maguire lacking match fitness Man United should be able to score past them.

With Man United struggling with significant injury and fitness issues and Leicester being weak defensively I believe that there will be goals in this game. “Both teams to score” feels like a great value bet at the current odds.

Huddersfield Town vs Chelsea Betting Tip and Prediction

Chelsea looked really flat last weekend in their 2-0 defeat against Manchester City in the Community Shield, and a trip up north to sunny Huddersfield is unlikely to be the spark that ignites the fire in the Chelsea dressing room.

Like Man United, Chelsea have been hit hard by the fall out of the World Cup with the vast majority of their starting lineup having their fitness levels negatively impacted. Key players like Willian, Kante and Hazard only returned to training in the last 10 days so it will be a while before they are back to full strength.

Huddersfield don’t pose that much of an attacking threat to Chelsea because they were one of the lowest scoring teams in the Premier League last season. Only Swansea, who were relegated scored fewer goals and Huddersfield haven’t done too much to address this issue in the most recent transfer window. Huddersfield will be hoping that their strong home form will be enough to keep them up and that all begins with a tough test against Chelsea in the opening game.

There is no doubt that Chelsea have far superior quality to Huddersfield, but with a brand new Goalkeeper and two center backs that are prone to making mistakes, it’s possible that Huddersfield could nick a couple of goals against the run of play while the Chelsea defense is still trying to bed in. Huddersfield will be well up for this game, and there’s no better time to play Chelsea.

Whatever happens, we know that Huddersfield will show up ready for war tomorrow. The crowd will be behind them, and the players will be full of energy and enthusiasm. Chelsea, on the other hand, are coming into this game with a squad full of depleted players on the back of the World Cup campaign and several key signings that are yet to settle. This is the perfect storm for Huddersfield to make life difficult for them and nick a point.

Southampton vs Burnley Betting Tip and Prediction

Burnley and Southampton were two of the lowest scoring teams in the Premier League last season. Both sides scored virtually the same number of goals, but Burnley finished 7th and qualified for the Europa League, while Southampton finished in 16th and only just avoided relegation. The difference between both of these teams was their defense and Burnley ended last season’s campaign with a similar defensive record to Liverpool and Chelsea.

Burnley and Southampton have brought in a few new faces during the recent transfer market, but nobody that is likely to make huge improvements to either team. I expect to get more of what we saw from these two sides towards the end of last year and based on that alone I think Burnley are a decent bet here.

Sean Dyche teams always show up and put in a shift, so you can guarantee Burnley will go to Southampton, work very hard and do everything they can to come away with at least a point. Southampton, on the other hand, are much less consistent and conceded a ton of goals last season. The “Double Chance” on Burnley at almost even money feels like a great bet.

Bournemouth vs Cardiff City Betting Tip and Prediction

I am a lifelong Cardiff City fan and season ticket holder, so it hurts me to bet against them today, but they’re fielding a very weak team against Bournemouth…

As you can see, Cardiff are starting with a traditional Centre Back in midfield with Sol Bamba playing the role of holding midfielder. Bamba is a great center back but doesn’t have the passing or technical ability to play the midfield role. He also has a habit of giving the ball away in dangerous positions.

Cardiff are also opting to start with Mendez-Laing out wide over new boy Josh Murphy. I also feel this is a bad move because Mendez-Laing tends to go missing in games. In a game like this, you need everyone to turn up and play for the shirt and Mendez-Laing isn’t this kind of player.

Games are often won in midfield and Ralls, Bamba and Paterson is a very weak midfield trio for Cardiff. I believe Bournemouth will be able to dominate them in the middle of the park, pen them into their own box and put a lot of pressure on them.

Cardiff are a typical Neil Warnock team. They’re hard working and will fight tooth and nail to get points out of this game. Problem is. The team they are fielding today would have struggled in the Championship last season. Playing center backs in midfield at the highest level of the sport rarely works out well. I think Cardiff will get punished today for their lack of strength in depth and negative tactics.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Betting Tip and Prediction

Arsenal have been inconsistent in the past, but with quality all over the pitch, home advantage and a new manager you have to bet that they will show up today and make life difficult for Manchester City.

Arsenal and Man City are two teams that strongly believe in attack being the best form of defense, which has resulted in both teams scoring in 7 out of their last 9 encounters:

The odds are short on “Both teams to score” in this game, but both teams play with an attacking mindset.

Man City have only managed to keep a clean sheet away from home two times in the league since February, and two of those clean sheets came against weak teams in Stoke City and Southampton.

Today I believe we’ll see an exciting, open game and both teams should find the back of the net at least once.