Bellator 163 Betting Picks, Predictions and Tips

Bellator 163 is a really good event for betting because there are at least a couple of solid opportunities to make money. I actually think that this event could be better for betting than UFC Fight Night 98 which takes place on Saturday night.

We are still researching Bellator 163 so please keep checking this article regularly for updates because we may add more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the event. You can keep track of what betting tips we have available by checking the table below.

[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips|[align-center]Liam%20McGeary%20vs%20Phil%20Davis,[align-center;c#68a143;b]Betting%20Tip%20Available|[align-center]Brennan%20Ward%20vs%20Saad%20Awad,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Marloes%20Coenen%20vs%20Talita%20Nogueira,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Derek%20Anderson%20vs%20Paul%20Daley,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20bet|[align-center]Javy%20Ayala%20vs%20Sergei%20Kharitonov,[align-center;c#ea5e50;b]No%20Bet[/vc_table]

Betting Tip 1: Phil Davis to beat Liam McGeary

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Liam McGeary is a very easy opponent for Phil Davis because he cannot defend takedowns and he makes no effort to get back to his feet when he does get taken down. Davis has built a career in MMA using his strong NCAA Div 1 level wrestling to take his opponents down and control them from dominant positions. Davis is a smart grappler because he always favours position over submission and he never puts himself in any danger on the ground.

It’s a well known fact that Phil Davis has low level striking, but it really shouldn’t matter in this fight because McGeary has no takedown defence and he’s more than happy to fight off his back. If Emanuel Newton can take McGeary down and dominate him from top position, we have to assume that a wrestler of Davis’ calibre will be able to do the same. You can take a look at all the reasons why we believe Phil Davis to beat Liam McGeary is a great bet in our list below.

Reasons for placing this bet...

[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#679f42″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Liam McGeary has extremely poor takedown defence and he does not attempt to scramble back to his feet once he gets taken down. He is far too happy to fight off his back.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis is an extremely strong wrestler who competed at NCAA Div 1 level. He should easily be able to take McGeary down and dominate him from top position.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]McGeary is active off his back, but he doesn’t have a fast, explosive guard. Most of McGeary’s submission attempts are telegraphed. Davis is very strong and smart from top position, he should be able to maintain control from side position or take the back with very little risk of being caught in a submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis has poor offensive striking, but his defence is excellent. McGeary’s strikes tend to be cumbersome and telegraphed. Davis should easily be able to avoid getting knocked out.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis has never been finished in 20 pro fights. This is extremely impressive when you take into consideration the fact that he has fought Lyoto Machida and Glover Teixeira in Brazil. He has also fought dangerous finishers such as Anthony Johnson and Alexander Gustafsson.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Liam McGeary has a BJJ base and his most dangerous threat is his submission game. Davis has proven that he can hang with elite grapplers because he has fought the likes of Vinny Magalhaes and has not been submitted.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]McGeary is very accepting of being on the bottom. Phil Davis should easily be able to dominate the fight from top position.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Phil Davis is a very safe fighter. He doesn’t put himself in any danger standing up or on the ground.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Liam McGeary frequently gives up favourable positions going for long shot submissions. This means that he regularly ends up in bad positions. This particular weakness will cost him against a strong technical wrestler like Phil Davis.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk Factors...

[mpc_divider align=”left” lines_color=”#ea5e50″ lines_weight=”5″ padding_css=”padding:0px;” margin_divider=”true” margin_css=”margin-bottom:20px;”][ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Phil Davis has very poor striking.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Phil Davis fights very passively if he does not see an opening for the takedown.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Liam McGeary is very active off his back. He is always hunting for submission.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Our Betting Tip

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Phil Davis to win

Stake

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5 Units

[5% of your bankroll]

Odds

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Decimal = 1.43 Moneyline = -234 Fractional = 43/100

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Implied Probability

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The bookies believe that Phil Davis has a 70% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.

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Our Probability

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We believe that Phil Davis has an 80% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.

Bellator Betting Picks