Football Betting Tips – Gameweek 3

Before starting this Football Betting Challenge, I had no idea how we were going to do. I made it clear in the Chat Room and also on Twitter that we would probably end up losing everything. Since then I’ve made around £4000 profit betting on the World Cup, and we’ve also made a profit on the first two weeks of the new domestic season. It’s still early days, but I am becoming increasingly confident that Football Betting is very easy to profit from compared to MMA.

The first two weeks of the domestic football season are proof that our principles can carry over into other Sports. In the first week, I felt like we wagered really good value bets, but barely anything went our way. Despite the disappointing set of results we still ended up banking a small profit. Then in the second week, we stuck to the same strategy and principles as we did in week 1 and ended up winning a very big profit.

It’s still early days but I feel like I may have inadvertently mastered a tough Sport to Livebet in MMA and now a sport like Football is much easier to make money on.

All of us are now confident that we can crush Live betting on UFC and make a lot of money, but when you stop and think about it what we do is difficult for many reasons; Most fights last a maximum of 15 minutes, and within that time the odds frequently change and get suspended. We also have to make decisions very quickly because if we don’t the fight can end in an instant. Now compare this to the Chelsea vs Arsenal game last weekend. Chelsea were in control for the vast majority of the game, but for over 20 minutes in the second half, their odds floated between 2.20 | 6/5 | +120 and 2.60 | 8/5 | +160. They odds hardly ever got suspended. This is a total luxury compared to MMA. I am still learning and still building my confidence in Live betting Football, but in time I am confident that we will absolutely crush it and make huge profits from these kinds of opportunities. This seems too good to be true, but like we’ve seen from Live betting on the UFC, it probably isn’t too good to be true because we’re already making huge amounts of money betting on the UFC and we’ve been making huge amounts of money for many years. These sports can be beaten, and I am confident that in time we will beat Football too…

Wolves vs Man City Betting Tip and Prediction

I’m not going to insult your intelligence by preaching to you the reasons why Man City should beat Wolves this weekend. Instead, let’s focus on the reasons why it’s unlikely that Wolves will be able to cause a major upset.

Man United’s loss to Brighton last weekend was the first big upset of the Premier League season, but it wasn’t that much of a surprise. Sure, United should have won, but many indicators suggested that Brighton could cause them problems. The first and most obvious being that Brighton beat United 1-0 in the league just three months ago.

Home advantage also played another huge part in United’s loss. If you are a football fan who attends games regularly, you will know how big of a deal the first home game of the season is. As fans, we look forward to going to the first home game for weeks leading up to the game. No matter which club you support, the atmosphere is often electric for the first home game of the season, and this often gives the home team players a massive boost in confidence and has a negative impact on the visiting team. A few years ago my hometown club was promoted to the Premier League for the first time in 50 years. We played Man City in the first home game of the season and beat them 3-2. That same season Man City went on to win the league, while we were relegated with one of the lowest number of points ever scored in the history of the Premier League. This game and many others serve as a reminder that anything can happen when home fans get behind their players and create an intimidating atmosphere for opposition teams.

Another factor that played a part in Brighton’s win over United was that they were fortunate to play them at a time where there appears to be a lot of issues behind the scenes. The drama between Jose Mourinho and Paul Pogba is now well publicised and with the European Transfer Window not closing until the end of August I wouldn’t be surprised if some of United’s top players were to leave between now and then.

All these factors created the perfect storm for Brighton to pick up valuable points against Man United, but can Wolves do the same against Man City? Well, it’s possible because anything can happen in Sports but based on how the season has gone so far I believe it’s very unlikely.

Man City have shown over the last few seasons that they are ruthlessly consistent and extremely difficult to contain. In the first two games of the Premier League season, Wolves have looked like a team who are more afraid of getting beat than a team that is trying to win. In their first game, they played Everton at home and seemed happy to settle for a point despite Everton having to play with 10 men for over 45 minutes. This was a game that Wolves should have won, but they were reluctant to commit men forward and go for the kill. It was a similar story in their last match against Leicester City where they lost 2-0. Leicester are extremely poor defensively, and yet Wolves failed to score in 90 minutes.

To get any points against a team like Man City you have to play like Huddersfield Town did last weekend and play to win. Yes, Huddersfield lost 6-1, but they took the game to City and tried to win. They paid the price and lost big, but if you try and contain City they’ll eventually break you down, and you’ll lose anyway. You can either go out swinging like Huddersfield and possibly catch City on a bad day and occasionally pick up points. Or you can sit in your own half, invite pressure and go out with a whimper like Arsenal did in the opening game of the season. When you play against Man City the chances are that you are going to lose, so you may as well go out swinging.

Based on the first two games of the season Wolves don’t look like a team who are willing to go out swinging. They have a strong Portuguese influence in the team, and their continental style of football is a style that City tends to thrive against. Wolves don’t strike me as the kind of side with the determination, urgency or aggression to go for the win and for that reason Man City should be able to pick up another 3 points this weekend.

Liverpool vs Brighton Betting Tip and Prediction

Last weekend home advantage worked in Brighton’s favour and enabled them to pick up a big three points against Man United. Now they travel to Anfield, which is one of the toughest places to go in the country.

Liverpool have wasted money on average players and underachieved for decades, but finally, the stars are aligning and they look like the real deal. They have an enormous amount of quality all over the pitch with one of the most dangerous attacking lines in the world and a hard-working defence and midfield that enables Mane, Firmino, Shaqiri and Salah to play with freedom.

Brighton are decent at home, but their away form is poor. Liverpool are very consistent at home and very difficult to beat. There’s not too much more we can say about this game. Liverpool should win easily, and a two-leg parlay accumulator with Man City should be an easy winner for a reasonably good payout.

Huddersfield Town vs Cardiff City Betting Tip and Prediction

Cardiff City have been unlucky in their first two games of the season. They outplayed Bournemouth for 45 minutes in their opening game and ended up losing 2-0, and then they dominated Newcastle for 90 minutes and failed to find the back of the net.

On a shoestring budget, Neil Warnock has brought in players that make Cardiff a team that are capable of picking up points against anyone in the league. They have a top quality Goalkeeper, who has already saved two penalties and kept one clean sheet this season. They also have a rock-solid defence that is just as good as any backline outside the top 4 clubs in the Premiership. Warnock has also put together a midfield and attacking unit that strikes the perfect balance between raw speed and dogged toughness.

There were much better teams than Cardiff in the Championship last season, but Cardiff got promoted, and they didn’t. This is because Cardiff are a fit team with an extremely high work rate. Players like Joe Ralls and Harry After sit in midfield and allow the lightning-fast wide men to get forward and play with freedom. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Junior Hoilett and Josh Murphy are so fast and skilful that all teams in the league will need to look over their shoulder when pushing forward for fear of being countered.

Huddersfield are similar to Cardiff in many ways because they’ve also got a great work ethic which should lead to an open game.

Huddersfield have conceded 9 goals in just 2 games so far this season which looks bad on paper, but we can’t judge them too harshly because they were playing against Chelsea and Man City. Had Cardiff played those teams they probably would have conceded close to 9 goals also.

I think the Double Chance bet on Cardiff to win or draw at Huddersfield is excellent value because going to places like Huddersfield and picking up points is what Cardiff do best. They’ve got a rock-solid defence which tends to frustrate home teams and quiet the home supporters, with the creativity going forward to nick a goal or two against the run of play. Huddersfield will be low on confidence after losing their first two home games of the reason by a wide margin, while Cardiff will be full of confidence after putting in a strong performance in their last game against Newcastle that saw the home crowd really give them a lift and show their appreciation at the end of the 90 minutes.

Cardiff were excellent all over the pitch in their last game against Newcastle, which was impressive because their two key midfielders in Harry After and Victor Camarasa were making their debuts. Cardiff will be stronger and better prepared for their next game against Huddersfield, and I believe there’s a good chance they’ll pick up their first win of the season. The double chance on Cardiff to win or draw is a great value bet.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea Betting Tip and Prediction

For me, Chelsea are the Dark Horses this season. Everyone is talking about Liverpool and Man City battling it out for the title, but Chelsea have also looked very good. Right now the only thing holding them back is their defence. Chelsea have looked very weak at the back, but it’s still early days. Their new Goalkeeper, Kepa has only played once, and their new Manager is still settling in. Chelsea’s manager put together a rock solid defence at Napoli, so I am confident that Chelsea’s defence will look much stronger within the next couple of months.

Newcastle are a decent team, but they struggle to score goals. They only scored one goal against a depleted Spurs team in their opening game of the season and then got dominated by newly promoted Cardiff for 90 minutes. Newcastle are strong in midfield and good defensively, but at the moment they look flat up front, and I’m not sure if their new signing Solomon Rondon is going to be enough to change that. He certainly didn’t do enough to help West Brom stay up last season.

Chelsea absolutely annihilated Arsenal in their last game, but Arsenal scored twice against the run of play and ended up making the game much closer than it should have been. Goals change games and when a team concedes two goals against the run of play we would often see a momentum swing in favour of the team that scored the goals. Chelsea did not allow this to happen. This is extremely impressive and a sign of a team that is determined to win, with an excellent spirit in the dressing room.

There were no flat periods of play for Chelsea in their last game. They put it on Arsenal for 90 minutes and never lost their intensity. It shows a tremendous amount of character when you concede two goals against the run of play and do not let your head go down. For me, this is a sign that the Chelsea manager is the real deal. He’s got an excellent squad of players, he’s got everyone giving 110%, and he’s got a good amount of strength in depth to make changes when he needs to.

Chelsea appears to be a team going from strength to strength. In my opinion, they have the best midfield in the league, and their work rate and intensity will cause teams big problems this season. Newcastle are second best everywhere, and from what I’ve seen they don’t have enough goals in them to cause an upset. Chelsea should win this.

Arsenal vs West Ham Betting Tip and Prediction

Arsenal and West Ham are two clubs in very similar positions; They’re both extremely dangerous going forward, but they both have big issues in defence and midfield.

West Ham had one of the worst defensive records in the Premier League last season, and their manager doesn’t appear to have done too much to tighten it up. They’ve already conceded 6 goals in their first two games of the season, and their midfield doesn’t seem capable of holding onto the ball for long enough to take the pressure off their defence.

Arsenal looked very, very poor in their first two games against Chelsea and Man City, but they have so much firepower up front that they should be able to find the back of the net at least once in this game.

West Ham have gaping holes in their defence, but they’re very dangerous in attack and should be able to score against Arsenal at least once. Arsenal’s defensive issues predominantly stem from injuries to their first choice left and right backs as well as Koscielny not yet being fit to start. Sokratis is also a new signing at centre back from Borussia Dortmund who does not yet appear to have gelled with the rest of the backline.

Arsenal and West Ham both play with an open style of football that should result in us seeing a good few goals in this game. I’d be surprised if either defence were able to stop the opposition attackers from scoring at least once. The bet on both teams to score in this match is good value.

As well as betting on both teams to score, I also feel like the Double Chance on West Ham to win or draw at odds of around 3.20 | 11/5 | +220 is a good bet. Based on the opening two games of the season we know that this is likely to be an open game. We also know that Arsenal look disjointed and disinterested at times. They have too many players who are not playing for the shirt. Yes, across the entire squad of players they are better than West Ham, but they don’t have the same passion and fire.

West Ham have looked weak defensively in their opening two games, but they still play to win. All their players put a shift in, and they work very hard. These are the kinds of teams that a side like Arsenal will struggle against. West Ham can out hustle them and get points from this game by being more aggressive, more committed and outworking them. Even when West Ham were losing 4-0 to Liverpool in the opening game, their players still worked very hard.

Arsenal will most likely be playing in front of around 50,000 fans at the Emirates on Saturday who will be angry and frustrated at how their team have performed in their opening two games. There was a lot of optimism surrounding Arsenal before the season started with the hope that their new manager and new players would put them one step closer to winning the Premier League, but based on recent performances they appear to have gone backwards. This is the kind of dynamic that will work against the home team. Home advantage is great in football when players are committed to the club, and the fans get behind them, but it can work against you when home fans get frustrated, critical and vocal when they are not happy with the way their team are playing. If Arsenal don’t get off to a strong start this weekend, things could get really ugly at the Emirates. The Arsenal fans will almost certainly turn on their own players, and this will work in West Ham’s favour.

Man United vs Spurs Betting Tip and Prediction

<“https://mmabettingtips.com/user/andrew”>Andrew perfectly summed up how I feel about these Double Chance bets in the Football Betting Chat yesterday. In football there are three ways that a match can end; Either team could win, or it could end in a draw. This means that before we apply any logic or analysis, the probability of each outcome is 33%.

The Double Chance bets cover 66% of the possible outcomes in a Football match. These are attractive bets because Premier League games are often competitive with all twenty teams possessing the ability to hold any other side in the league to at least a draw. For this reason, the Double Chance bets are often excellent value.

Man United have big issues at the moment because they still have key players who are out injured. They also have several players still lacking match fitness after the World Cup and their new, big money signings have not yet settled in. Strong rumours have also circulated that Jose Mourinho has lost control over some players in the team. Man United’s lacklustre performances against Leicester and Brighton certainly suggest that getting anything from this game against Spurs will be very difficult.

Spurs also had a flat start to the season with a poor performance away to Newcastle, but this is not surprising considering how many of the Spurs players went deep in the World Cup. It wasn’t until the second half of the Fulham game where Spurs started to show flashes of being back to full strength.

With the Spurs players having an extra week to shake off their World Cup hangovers, I think they will be too much for United to handle. United were rock solid at the back last season, but injuries to Young and Valencia have come at a bad time when new defensive-minded midfielders, Fred and Pereira are still settling into Mourinho’s system. This short-term period of chaos has resulted in Man United being much less organised defensively than they were last season.

Spurs are extremely dangerous going forward and they create more chances on goal than almost any other team in the Premier League. They have a lot of firepower all over the pitch, and they are playing United at just the right time.

Spurs will work extremely hard to get at least a point tonight, and I don’t think Man United will be able to put together the kind of performance they’re going to need to win this game. I believe Man United will struggle to stop Spurs from scoring. The Double Chance on Spurs to draw or win is a great bet.