UFC Fight Night 118 Betting Tips, Picks and Predictions

First of all, I would like to start by apologizing to you for the website being in a chaotic state right now. Unfortunately, throughout the website, you will find broken links, pages looking disorganized and random content. This is all due to changes I have to make in order to launch some big improvements that I have planned over the next 12 months. Over the next few weeks, I will be working hard to fix all the issues and launch our first Live Q + As with Robin Black and Jon Anik.

At first glance, before completing my research, it looks like UFC Fight Night 118 looks like it could be a very good event for betting. Over the years we have performed very well on small regional UFC events in Europe and I feel confident that we can continue this trend by banking another profit on UFC Fight Night 118.

Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because I may add more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the fights.

[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips,[align-center;c#000000]Pick|[align-center]Darren%20Till%0Avs%20Donald%20Cerrone,[align-center;c#679f42;b]2%20units%20on%20Donald%0A%20Cerrone%20to%20win%20at%20odds%20of%201.70%20%7C%20-143%20%7C%207%2F10,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Cerrone%20to%20win|[align-center]Jodie%20Esquibel%20vs%20Karolina%20Kowalkiewicz,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Kowalkiewicz%20to%20win|[align-center]Devin%20Clark%20vs%20Jan%20Blachowicz,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Blachowicz%20to%20win|[align-center]Jonathan%20Wilson%20vs%20Oskar%20Piechota,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Wilson%20to%20win|[align-center]Marcin%20Held%20vs%20Nasrat%20Haqparast,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Held%20to%20win|[align-center]Brian%20Kelleher%20vs%20Damian%20Stasiak,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Stasiak%20to%20win|[align-center]Ramazan%20Emeev%20vs%20Sam%20Alvey,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Emeev%20to%20win|[align-center]Andre%20Fili%20vs%20Artem%20Lobov,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Fili%20to%20win|[align-center]Salim%20Touahri%20vs%20Warlley%20Alves,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Alves%20to%20win|[align-center]Felipe%20Arantes%20vs%20Josh%20Emmett,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Arantes%20to%20win|[align-center]Aspen%20Ladd%20vs%20Lina%20Lansberg,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Ladd%20to%20win[/vc_table]

Donald Cerrone vs Darren Till Betting Tip and Prediction

The fight between Donald Cerrone and Darren Till is an excellent opportunity for us to make money because I feel like I have a perfect read on both fighters. Over the last four years, I have bet on Donald Cerrone’s fights 13 times and gone 12-1 for a total profit of 38.14 units. I have also bet on Darren Till twice going 2-0 for 2.81 units, giving us a total combined profit of 40.95 units.

There will come a point in time very soon when Donald Cerrone will start to lose to young, hungry, up and coming fighters like Darren Till, but I don’t think that this day has come yet.

Till is an excellent fighter, but his style is only effective when his opponent allows him to control the pace of the fight. He is very good at being the hammer, but not so good at being the nail. At just 24 years old I do not doubt that Till is going to become a massive star in the UFC because he has all the tools required to be a future Champion, but right now his cardio and single shot style of fighting will prevent him from beating the best fighters in the world.

There is no denying that Darren Till has a legit chance of winning this fight because it is clear that Cerrone is on a decline. If you go back and watch his last few fights, you’ll see that he gets dropped a lot and he also gets hit way too much. This isn’t surprising because Cerrone is now 34 years old with over 40 pro fights. He has also taken a ton of damage throughout his career because he has consistently competed against the best fighters in the world since his early twenties.

There’s no doubt that Till and Cerrone are on opposite career trajectories, but Till has some significant holes that he needs to tighten up before he will be able to pick up wins against world class opponents like Donald Cerrone.

Darren Till is an excellent fighter. He has excellent takedown defense and superb technical striking, but he does not have the cardio to fight at a high pace for five rounds. If this were a 3 round fight I would seriously consider betting Till, but he always fades in the third round, and it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to finish Cerrone inside the distance.

I mentioned earlier that Cerrone gets dropped and rocked a lot, but his chin, defense, and technical ability are still in a different league to Till’s most recent opponents. If guys like Jessin Ayari, Bojan Velickovic, and Nicolas Dalby can go the distance with Till, there’s no reason why Cerrone cannot do the same. Cerrone recently held his own against dangerous opponent’s like Robbie Lawler, Matt Brown and Rick Story, so I feel that it’s unlikely that Till will finish him inside the distance.

Till’s fighting style also makes it unlikely that he’ll finish Cerrone inside the distance because Cerrone has historically struggled against pressure fighters, but Till is more of a technician who likes to pace himself and look for opportunities to counter.

Till is also a single shot fighter, who doesn’t throw combos. Cerrone has a good chin and a good poker face. Single strikes are probably not going to be enough to put him in any real danger unless Till manages to land something really big.

Darren Till is going to struggle against the top 10 guys in the UFC until he can improve his cardio and right now a 5 round matchup is a nightmare for him. Cerrone never gets tired, while Till tends to always gas out by the third round. Till needs to finish Cerrone within the first two rounds to stand any chance of winning this fight and I just do not see it happening. For that reason, I believe Cerrone is a solid bet at the current odds.

Reasons for betting on Donald Cerrone to beat Darren Till

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till has questionable cardio. He usually gasses out in the third round of his fights. Donald Cerrone has excellent cardio and can compete at a very high pace for the entire duration of a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till fights in a stance that is very heavy on his lead leg. This opens him up to Cerrone’s nasty leg kicks. Till doesn’t bother to block leg kicks and Cerrone has the power and technique to inflict significant damage with these attacks.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till is aware of his cardio issues, so he paces himself in order to be able to compete for 15 minutes.  This means he looks to control the pace of a fight by building a solid defensive base and punishing his opponent’s with vicious counters when they attack. If his opponent is not dissuaded by these counters and can put him on the back foot, he inevitably starts to struggle. Donald Cerrone fights at a high pace and he’s very active. I do not believe that Till will be able to keep up with the pace that Cerrone sets.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till is a single shot fighter. He doesn’t throw many combos. This style of striking is unlikely to cause Cerrone too many problems.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till throws a low volume of strikes per round. It will not be difficult for Cerrone to outstrike him.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Cerrone is more active and aggressive.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darren Till becomes very hittable and he starts to take a lot of damage when he starts to become tired.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk Factors with betting on Donald Cerrone

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Darren Till is a Southpaw.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Donald Cerrone’s striking defense isn’t great. He is a lot easier to hit than he used to be.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Donald Cerrone is a very slow starter. It often takes him a round to get going. For this reason, he should be a good Live Betting opportunity because there’s a good chance that Darren Till will win round 1 and look great whilst Cerrone tries to find his range and settle into a rhythm.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Darren Till is 10 years younger than Donald Cerrone. Historically, the younger fighter wins around 68% of the time when there is a 10 year age gap in a fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Darren Till is an excellent fighter. He has superb technical striking, solid takedown defense and a decent ground game. He is also making big improvements from fight to fight. He is definitely capable of beating Donald Cerrone if he has found a way to improve his cardio.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

My Betting Tip

Donald Cerrone to win

Recommended Stake

2 Units

[2% of your bankroll]

Odds

Decimal = 1.70
Moneyline = -143
Fractional = 7/10

59%

Implied Probability

The bookies believe that Donald Cerrone has a 59% chance of beating Darren Till based on their current odds.

65%

Our Probability

We believe that Donald Cerrone has a 65% chance of beating Darren Till based on our extensive research and analysis.

I'm a Professional Gambler from the UK. I specialize in betting on MMA. I've got 1 kid, a Shih Tzu and I've been making money from gambling for around 8 years now.

Leave a Reply