UFC Fight Night 88 is a difficult event to bet on because it features several fights that could go either way. There are quite a few underdogs on this card that I was tempted to bet on, but it’s important to remember that our success comes from picking our spots and keeping things tight.
The next 8 events look absolutely amazing for betting, so there’s no need to risk our future profits by betting on fighters who only hold marginal advantages over their opponents. Lets keep things tight and prepare ourselves to win big over the next few months…
Don’t forget to join us in the Live Betting Tips Chatroom during UFC Fight Night 88, to take advantage of our highly lucrative Live Betting Tips.
Betting Tip 1: Thomas Almeida to beat Cody Garbrandt
Thomas Almeida takes on Cody Garbrandt in the main event of UFC Fight Night 88 and we recommend betting on Thomas Almeida to win…
Reasons for placing this bet...
Our betting tip and prediction...
Cody Garbrandt and Thomas Almeida are two rising stars in the UFC’s Bantamweight division who both have a lot in common. For example… They’re both 24 years old, they’re both undefeated, they’re both primarily strikers, they both have knockout power and they both have wreckless fighting styles…
It can be difficult to predict who will win when two fighters appear to be so evenly matched, but there are subtle differences in the fighting styles of both guys that make this a very good matchup for Almeida…
Cody Garbrandt’s only advantage over Almeida is his wrestling, but I don’t expect him to use it in this fight because he doesn’t have strong top control and Almeida is very difficult to hold down. Almeida’s takedown defence is poor, but he is very good at creating scrambles and exploding back to his feet. This means that Garbrandt is going to have to use up a lot of energy if he wants to keep this fight on the ground so I expect the majority of this fight to stay standing…
Thomas Almeida has a significant advantage over Cody Garbrandt when it comes to striking because his technique is a lot tighter than Cody’s. Cody’s style of striking consists mainly of him throwing wide looping hooks, whilst wrecklessly lunging into his opponent’s range in a desperate attempt to try and close the distance. Almeida’s style of striking focuses more on throwing power strikes that come straight down the middle. This striking dynamic favours Almeida considerably, because Cody’s strikes have to travel a much longer distance before they hit their target. Cody’s strikes are also a lot more telegraphed and he has to use up a lot more energy to throw them.
Thomas Almeida will have a 5 inch reach advantage over Cody Garbrandt, which is absolutely massive in the Bantamweight division. Almeida’s 5 inch reach advantage is huge because his style enables him to land power strikes from positions where Cody cannot counter him.
Garbrandt’s short reach forces him to leap into his opponent’s range in order to close the distance. This has worked in his last few fights against low level guys like Augusto Mendes, Henry Briones and Marcus Brimage, but this wreckless style of striking puts him at extreme risk of being knocked out by a devastating counter striker like Almeida.
Almeida and Garbrandt are both wreckless fighters, but Almeida does a much better job of capitalizing on openings and making his opponent’s pay for their mistakes. Almeida also throws a much wider range of strikes. Garbrandt only throws punches, whilst Almeida throws punches, knees, kicks and elbows. It’s also worth noting that Almeida lands almost double the amount of strikes per minute than Garbrandt does. This makes it extremely unlikely that Garbrandt will be able to win rounds by outpointing Almeida.
Thomas Almeida should easily win this fight if he can just avoid getting knocked out…
Our Betting Tip
Thomas Almeida to win
[3.5% of your bankroll]
Decimal = 1.67
Moneyline = -149
Fractional = 67/100
The bookies believe that Thomas Almeida has a 60% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
We believe that Thomas Almeida has a 75% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Betting Tip 2: Jake Collier to beat Alberto Uda
Jake Collier takes on UFC debutant Alberto Uda at UFC Fight Night 88 and we recommend betting on Jake Collier to win…
Reasons for placing this bet...
Our betting tip and prediction...
Jake Collier has a lot of holes in his game, but I don’t believe that Alberto Uda has the weapons to expose them. Take a look at some of Uda’s recent fights and see for yourself. All of these fights have taken place in the last 2 years:
As you can see, Uda’s style of fighting is very flawed. He’s a BJJ fighter, but he really struggles to get fights to the ground. Most of his takedowns come from the clinch, but his trips are telegraphed and his body control is weak.
Uda’s takedown entries are also very telegraphed and he shoots in from too far out of his opponent’s range. He also shoots in too high on his opponent’s hips, which makes it easy for them to secure underhooks and defend his takedown attempts.
Jake Collier is a big, strong fighter and a former State Wrestling Champion. He’s strong in the clinch and he has good enough takedown defence to stuff the type of takedowns that Uda likes to use. Collier also does a great job of working for underhooks in the clinch and keeping his back off the cage. Uda is only dangerous when he can take his opponent down and Collier certainly has the skills to keep this fight standing.
Collier and Uda both have poor striking technique, but Collier hits a hell of a lot harder and he’s game as hell. When you watch Uda fight, it’s clear that he doesn’t want to stand and strike because he’s always either trying to pin his opponent against the cage or stay all the way out of striking range. This is a sign of a fighter who can be broken, because he doesn’t want to mix it up.
Jake Collier has a wrestling base, but he also likes to stand and bang and he hits very hard. Collier and Uda both have bad striking technique, but Collier actively tries to use his wrestling in reverse to keep fights standing. Collier has KO power and he’s definitely the more comfortable fighter standing up.
Alberto Uda is making his UFC debut against Jake Collier who is an aggressive young fighter with the skills to shut down Uda’s most dangerous weapons. It’s really hard making your UFC debut and Uda doesn’t appear to have a Plan B if you shutdown his takedown attempts.
I predict that Jake Collier is going to win this fight by using his wrestling in reverse to stay out of the clinch and keep this fight standing. Both guys have sloppy striking technique, but in a straight up firefight I’d pick Collier to win all day long. Collier is young, hungry and physically strong and Uda is a weak, one dimensional BJJ practitioner. This bet isn’t completely rock solid because Collier does have holes in his game, but at underdog odds I think he’s a great bet.
Our Betting Tip
Jake Collier to win
[3% of your bankroll]
Decimal = 2.20
Moneyline = +120
Fractional = 6/5
The bookies believe that Jake Collier has a 45% chance of winning this fight based on their current odds.
We believe that Jake Collier has a 70% chance of winning this fight based on our extensive research and analysis.
Prop Bets for UFC Fight Night 88 - Almeida vs Garbrandt
[box type=”error” align=”alignright” ]Some of my VIP members follow my betting tips to invest their money and make big profits. Other members follow my betting tips to make watching MMA more exciting. My Prop Bets are for my VIP Members who want to place bets on every fight, to make watching UFC events more fun. The variance on Prop Bets is very high and you should not bet on them if you are serious about making money. I can’t guarantee that you will make money from placing bets on all of my Prop Bets. Please only bet on these Prop Bets for fun and make sure you keep your bets small.[/box]
Cody Garbrandt vs Thomas Almeida
Thomas Almeida to win by KO at odds of 2.10 | +110
Jeremy Stephens vs Renan Barao
Jeremy Stephens to win by KO in round 3 at odds of 18.00 | +1700
Josh Burkman vs Paul Felder
Paul Felder to win by KO in round 3 at odds of 19.00 | +1800
Abel Trujillo vs Jordan Rinaldi
Jordan Rinaldi to win in round 3 at odds of 18.00 | +1700
Jordan Rinaldi to win by submission at odds of 9.50 | +850
Alberto Uda vs Jake Collier
Jake Collier to win by KO at odds of 6.00 | +500
Jake Collier to win by KO in round 1 at odds of 11.00 | +1000
Erik Koch vs Shane Campbell
Erik Koch to win by KO at odds of 7.50 | +650
Erik Koch to win in round 3 at odds of 18.00 | +1700
UFC Fight Night 88 Picks
[box type=”error” align=”alignright”]Please do not bet on all of these picks. Please only place bets on our recommended betting tips. We only post these Picks because we fully research every fight and a lot of our VIP Members want to know who we think will win some of the fights that we don’t recommend betting on.[/box]
|Cody Garbrandt||vs||Thomas Almeida||Almeida to win|
|Jeremy Stephens||vs||Renan Barao||Stephens to win|
|Rick Story||vs||Tarec Saffiedine||Saffiedine to win|
|Chris Camozzi||vs||Vitor Miranda||Camozzi to win|
|Josh Burkman||vs||Paul Felder||Felder to win|
|Jorge Masvidal||vs||Lorenz Larkin||Masvidal to win|
|Alberto Uda||vs||Jake Collier||Collier to win|
|Jessica Eye||vs||Sara McMann||McMann to win|
|Abel Trujillo||vs||Jordan Rinaldi||Trujillo to win|
|Aljamain Sterling||vs||Bryan Caraway||Sterling to win|
|Erik Koch||vs||Shane Campbell||Koch to win|
|Adam Milstead||vs||Chris De La Rocha||Milstead to win|