We’ve made a profit in the last 7 UFC events and we’re looking to make it 8 in a row by banking another profit for UFC Fight Night 53.
We’ve got 4 really solid betting tips for this event and I’m very confident that we’re going to kick off October with another win.
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UFC Fight Night 54 takes place just a few hours after UFC Fight Night 53.
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ILIR LATIFI vs JAN BLACHOWICZ
Jan Blachowicz has been blessed by competing in the polish promotion, KSW for the majority of his career. As a result, his impressive MMA record of 17-3 is padded by wins over poor regional opposition. Ilir Latifi will be the toughest test of his career by far.
Blachowicz is a solid striker who looks to use his technique to pick apart his opponents. The problem with this strategy is that he lacks speed and he doesn’t throw a very high volume of strikes. Here are some clips of his fight against Houston Alexander from back in 2012. This fight was over 2 years ago, but Blachowicz is very inactive having only fought once since then…
You don’t have to watch those videos for very long to see that Blachowicz doesn’t offer much of a threat to Ilir Latifi. His slow, lethargic fighting style is reflected in Blachowicz’s MMA record, as his last 4 fights have all gone to a decision.
Jan Blachowicz is a tentative striker, who lacks finishing power. I can’t see him winning a decision in Stockholm against a hometown fighter and I really don’t think he’s capable of finishing Latifi either.
With home advantage on Latifi’s side, I really don’t see anyway that he can lose this fight.
OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on Ilir Latifi to win at odds of 1.42 | -238 | 21/50
The best odds on Ilir Latifi to win can be found at: [adrotate group=”80″]
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MAGNUS CEDENBLAD vs SCOTT ASKHAM
Scott Askham is a highly rated prospect from the United Kingdom who is currently undefeated at 12-0. He has a relentless, smothering fighting style, but his grappling game has several holes which I expect Magnus Cedenblad to exploit.
The first of these holes is his inability to prevent his opponent from securing underhooks whenever he enters a clinch. In his most recent fight against Max Nunes, he tried to control Nunes against the cage to grind out a win, but Nunes was easily able to recover underhooks throughout the fight. Magnus Cedenblad has excellent trips and takedowns from an underhook clinch position and Askham’s inability to defend this position, leaves him wide open to getting taken down by Cedenblad.
In that video, you will also notice how Askham repeatedly takes Nunes down in the second round, but shows poor top control and fails to keep him there. Cedenblad is strong and powerful and Askham will not be able to grind out a win by controlling him against the cage like he did with Nunes.
Askham has also shown a naivity in his ground game which makes it easy for opponents to pass his guard, scramble and reverse positions. You can see these weaknesses in the video below…
Magnus Cedenblad is a strong grappler who trains with Ilir Latifi and Alexander Gustafsson. He fights better guys than Scott Askham everyday in the gym. He should be able to use his superior grappling to take Askham down and control him there.
With home advantage on Cedenblad’s side and Octagon jitters bound to impact Askham’s performance, I feel a bet on Cedenblad is a really solid move at the relatively decent odds that you can bet him at.
OUR BETTING TIP: 10.00 Units on Magnus Cedenblad to win at odds of 1.71 | -140 | 71/100
The best odds on Magnus Cedenblad to win can be found at: [adrotate group=”104″]
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