Betting Tips For UFC 169 – Renan Barao v Urijah Faber

Urijah Faber is one of the most popular fighters in the UFC and his recent string of impressive performances have generated a lot of hype for the Californian Kid. This has resulted in 50% of all the bets placed on this fight, going on a Faber win. This is an insane statistic because Faber only has a very small chance of winning this fight.

To give you a better understanding of why you should be placing your bets on Renan Barao, we’re going to break down every element of this fight, so that you can feel more confident betting on Barao to win, at the relatively small odds of 1.36 [-275 | 4/11]…

TIME TO PREPARE

Urijah Faber is taking this fight on short notice, having recently fought on December 14th. Immediately after that fight he took a two week holiday to Mexico, which means that he has had less than a month to prepare for one of the biggest fights of his career.

Training for MMA is extremely intensive and puts a lot of pressure on the human body. The older a fighter gets, the more difficult it is to train, because it takes their bodies longer to recover from fatigue and minor injuries that are sustained during an MMA training camp. An athlete’s body starts to rapidly decline when they reach the age of 30 and at 34 years old, Faber is fighting on borrowed time.

Urijah Faber hasn’t had anywhere near the amount of time he needs to train for this fight, whereas Barao has had the luxury of a 4 month training camp.

AGE IS A BIG FACTOR IN MMA

Renan Barao is 26 years old and Urijah Faber is 34. This means that there is a huge age gap of 8 years between them. When there is a significant age gap of 8 years, the younger fighter will win around 70% of the time and this statistic doesn’t take into account all the extra advantages that Barao has over Faber.

We accept that Faber has looked incredible in recent fights, but you can’t defy mother nature forever. At 34 years old Faber’s body is starting to rapidly decline and Barao is only getting better.

“IF FABER CAN GET THIS FIGHT TO THE GROUND HE CAN WIN”

A lot people betting on Faber to win this fight will have justified their decision, in the hope that he will be able to get this fight to the ground. Unfortunately we have bad news for them. Renan Barao has the best takedown defence in the UFC. He has defended 98% of takedowns in the UFC and on the 1 occasion that he was taken down, he immediately got straight back to his feet.

Even if Faber could get Barao down, Barao has a clear advantage in the grappling, as he is a Brazilian Ju Jitsu black belt and actually has a better takedown success rate than Faber.

OUR PREDICTION FOR THIS FIGHT…


When Barao fought Faber 18 months ago, he was completely dominant and never looked like losing the fight. He’s also young, talented and explosive and he will have improved a lot in the last 18 months.

Renan Barao is on a 30 fight winning streak and is one of the best pound for pound fighters in the world. He has an advantage in every area this fight takes place and he will beat Faber again on Saturday night.

Be sure to place your bets with [adrotate group=”16″], as they have the best value odds for this fight.

OUR BET: 20.00 UNITS ON RENAN BARAO TO WIN AT 1.36 | -275 | 4/11[divider]

BEST ODDS AVAILABLE FOR THIS UFC FIGHT…

The best odds for this fight can be found at [adrotate group=”16″].
 

Decimal
Fractional
American
Renan Barao To Win
1.36
4/11
-275
Urijah Faber To Win
3.25
9/4
+225

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MORE UFC BETTING TIPS FOR UFC 169…

Renan Barao v Urijah Faber

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Abel Trujillo v Jamie Varner

 

I'm a Professional Gambler from the UK. I specialize in betting on MMA. I've got 1 kid, a Shih Tzu and I've been making money from gambling for around 8 years now.