Prop Bets for the TUF 21 Finale

Proposition bets are a great way to turn a little bit of money into a lot of money. I place a ton of small prop bets on every UFC event and most of the time they return a very nice profit. It’s difficult for me to include the results of my props in my overall record, because the limits that you can bet on props tend to be a lot lower than bets you can play straight up. This means that it would be unfair of me to recommend a 1 unit bet on a particular prop, because many Sportsbooks heavily limit the amount of money you can bet on a prop. For example; 5 Dimes have currently limited me to $50 per prop bet. This means it would be unfair of me to say “Bet 1 unit on a particular prop” when it’s possible that the maximum amount of money that most people can bet per prop is $50. $50 could be 5 units for one person, but not even 1 unit for someone else. This is the reason why I prefer to post my props and let you guys decide how much you want to bet on them. I personally recommend that you keep prop bet stakes low to avoid them having a significant impact on your bankroll if you have a bad event. You should try to keep your bets under 0.5 units if possible unless an outcome is very likely. I placed each of these bets at Paddy Power. test Many of these proposition bets can also be found on 5 Dimes. Here are my proposition bets for the TUF 21 Finale… [divider]

Darrell Montague vs Willie Gates

Willie Gates to win by KO at odds of 4.33 | +333 [1 units] Darrell Montague wins by decision at odds of 3.10 | +210 [1 unit]

Jerrod Sanders vs Russell Doane

Russell Doane wins by submission in round 1 at odds of 6.00 | +500 [1 unit] Fight does not go the distance at odds of 1.66 | -151 [3 units] Russell Doane wins by submission at odds of 3.50 | +250 [1 unit]

Caio Magalhaes vs Josh Samman

Fight does not go the distance at odds of 1.50 | -200 [5 units] Fight ends in round 1 at odds of 2.70 | +170 [1 unit] Fight ends in round 2 at odds of 3.75 | +275 [1 unit] Josh Samman wins by KO at odds of 3.75 | +275 [1 unit]

Angela Magana vs Michelle Waterson

Michelle Waterson to win in round 2 at odds of 6.00 | +500 [1 unit] Michelle Waterson to win in round 3 at odds of 10.00 | +1000 [1 unit]

Maximo Blanco vs Mike De La Torre

Mike De La Torre wins in round 3 at odds of 15.00 | +1400 [1 unit]

Cezar Ferreira vs Jorge Masvidal

Jorge Masvidal wins inside the distance at odds of 2.40 | +140 [1 unit] Jorge Masvidal wins in round 1 at odds of 4.33 | +333 [1 unit] Jorge Masvidal wins in round 2 at odds of 6.50 | +550 [1 unit]

Mike Graves vs Vicente Luque

Vicente Luque to win inside the distance at odds of 3.60 | +260 [1 unit] Fight does not go the distance at odds of 2.10 | +110 [1 unit]

Hayder Hassan vs Kamaru Usman

Hayder Hassan to win in round 1 by KO at odds of 17.00 | +1600 [1 unit] Kamaru Usman to win in round 2 by KO at odds of 17.00 | +1700 [1 unit] Kamaru Usman to win in round 3 by KO at odds of 23.00 | +2300 [1 unit] Fight ends in round 1 at odds of 6.00 | +500 [1 unit]

Jake Ellenberger vs Stephen Thompson

Steven Thompson to win in round 1 at odds of 5.00 | +400 [1 unit] Steven Thompson to win in round 2 at odds of 7.50 | +650 [1 unit] Steven Thompson to win in round 3 at odds of 12.00 | +1000 [1 unit] Stephen Thompson wins by KO at odds of 2.25 | +125 [2 units] Fight does not go the distance at odds of 1.53 | -188 [5 units] [box type=”warning” align=”aligncenter” class=”” width=””]The variance on prop bets is a lot higher than the variance on standard bets. As a result… I do not recommend that you work to the scale of 1 unit = 1% of your bankroll when placing props. Your prop bet stakes should not be big enough to put a significant dent in your bankroll, even if you were to lose every prop bet on a single event. I personally recommend that your unit size on props equals around 0.2% of your standard unit size for normal bets. The recommended unit sizes in this article are only to illustrate how much money you should stake in relation to the other prop bets. For example… I might bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO in round 4 at odds of 21.00 | +2000 [1 unit] To cover ourselves against potential losses, I might recommend another prop as an insurance bet such as… Anderson Silva to win by KO at odds of 2.20 | +120 [2 units] Notice how I’ve doubled the recommended amount you should bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO at anytime during the fight? This type of bet covers any potential losses on our more speculative bet on Anderson Silva to win by KO in round 4 and it also means we’ll end up with a guaranteed profit, if one of the bets hit. I hope this makes sense. If you have any questions, please don’t hesitate to contact me directly or hit me up on the forum… [/box] [divider] I placed each of these bets at Paddy Power. Many of these proposition bets can also be found on 5 Dimes.