All 3 of my betting tips for WSOF 11 won, giving me a total win rate of 100% on the night. I felt this was a pretty square card overall, with each of the favourites having significant advantages over their opponents.
Despite the mismatches, there were still some decent odds up for grabs and we capitalized on the generous odds by making three solid betting predictions that earned us a total profit of 20.80 units.
Here’s how each of our betting tips for WSOF 11 played out…
CODY BOLLINGER vs PABLO ALFONSO
OUR BET: 10.00 Units on Cody Bollinger to win at odds of 1.63 | -158 | 63/100
OUR PROFIT / LOSS:6.30 Units Profit
Cody Bollinger is in a strange position. He’s far too good for the other Bantamweights in the World Series of Fighting, but he’s also unlikely to get signed by the UFC after failing to make weight on Season 18 of the Ultimate Fighter.
Bollinger cruised to victory against Pablo Alfonso, finishing him via Rear Naked Choke in the very first round. Cody Bollinger is now on a 3 fight winning streak and it’s tough to see where he goes from here…
GESIAS CAVALCANTE vs MELVIN GUILLARD
OUR BET: 10.00 Units on Melvin Guillard to win at odds of 1.70 | -142 | 7/10
OUR PROFIT / LOSS: 7.00 Units Profit
Melvin Guillard has been around for such a long time, that it’s easy to forget that he’s still only 31 years old. There’s still life left in Guillard and he showed in this fight that he still has what it takes to be explosive and exciting.
Right from the first second Guillard showed complete distain for Cavalcante’s striking and he looked to be back to his best.
There are a few interesting fights for Guillard in the World Series of Fighting, because he can now go on to face Nick Newell or even Justin Gaethje for a title shot.
This was a great bet at the incredible odds of 1.70 | -142 | 7/10 and after this performance it’s safe to say that the odds on Guillard to win will probably be much lower in his next fight.
2 FIGHT PARLAY
OUR BET: 10.00 Units on Jon Fitch and Justin Gaethje to win at odds of 1.75 | -133 | 3/4
OUR PROFIT / LOSS: 7.50 Units Profit
I felt like these were a couple of easy fights for Justin Gaethje and Jon Fitch and it turned out that I was right. Jon Fitch just has such a grinding, relentless pace and Dennis Hallman has shown cardio issues throughout his career. This was never going to end well for him…
I also don’t want to sound disrespectful, but the anatomy of Nick Newell meant that this was a pretty easy fight for Justin Gaethje. You see, Gaethje is a big puncher with knock out power in his right hand. Nick Newell doesn’t have a complete left arm and therefore he has nothing to block Gaethje’s powerful right hooks with. This was always going to be a short night for Newell. I feel bad for him, but this is exactly how I said this fight would end in my original betting tip.