UFC Betting Tips For UFC Fight Night 33 – Barry v Palelei Allsopp Uncategorized December 5, 2013 Soa Palelei has only fought once in the UFC against Nikita Krylov and this fight against the veteran Pat Barry is a massive step up in competition for him. Palelei is currently on a 9 fight winning streak, winning all 9 of those fights via knock out or TKO. The last guy to beat him was Daniel Cormier back in 2010. Pat Barry is also known for being involved in fights with knock outs, so it’s a pretty safe bet that someone is going to sleep in this fight! Pat Barry’s record in the UFC is 4 wins and 6 losses, only one of those fights has gone to a decision and Pat Barry’s last 4 fights have ended by either knock out or TKO. We used almost every aspect of our MMA Betting System to make this prediction, including our theories on implied odds and home advantage. If you haven’t read our system yet, then you might want to now, so that our verdict makes more sense. [divider]OUR VERDICT… This fight would normally be a 50 / 50 coin toss on who would win, but we’re backing Soa Palelei in this fight based on a few key factors that you can learn more about in our MMA Betting System. The first factor in favour of Palelei winning this fight is home advantage and in countries like Australia home advantage is HUGE. The main reason why home advantage will be such a big factor in this fight, is the sheer distance that people have to travel in order to get there. Just last week Pat Barry commented in the MMA Hour that he absolutely hates fighting in Australia because it’s too hot and it takes too long to get there. That’s not the kind of thing you want to hear from a fighter who is about to step into the Octagon against someone like Palelei, who has devastating knock out power and 20,000 home fans supporting him. The second factor is confidence and it ties in closely with home advantage. Palelei is currently riding a 9 fight winning streak and he’s won all of those fights by knock out or TKO. It’s pretty safe to say that the Aussie fighter will feel pretty confident about his chances of knocking out Barry, considering Barry has shown a vulnerability to getting knocked out in his recent fights. Another reason why we should be backing Palelei to win this fight is because the odds give us the equity to do so. In a straight up 50 / 50 style match up, you should always back the fighter with odds greater than evens [2.00]. This is because both fighters should really have odds of 2.00 in a 50 / 50 coin toss match up. By taking the best odds available on Palelei, which is in this case is 2.25, the online betting websites are actually giving us better odds than what the probabilities would indicate. This kind of bet means there is equity in the odds and we should be taking advantage of them. It’s also worth placing a bet on this fight to last less than 1.5 rounds, because there is an extremely high chance of this fight ending quickly and violently with a knock out. SOA PALELEI TO WIN & THE FIGHT TO LAST LESS THAN 1.5 ROUNDS[divider] THE BEST ODDS AVAILABLE FOR THIS FIGHT… Decimal Fractional American Pat Barry 1.73 8/11 -137 Soa Palelei 2.25 5/4 125 [divider] UFC BETTING TIPS FOR UFC FIGHT NIGHT 33… Mark Hunt v Antonio Silva Mauricio Shogun Rua v James Te Huna Anthony Perosh v Ryan Bader Pat Barry v Soa Palelei Nam Phan v Takeya Mizugaki - 0 Share on Facebook Share on X