Dislike / Like / Love Rating System
Gambling is a form of entertainment and there’s nothing wrong with this. There are some people who like to bet on every UFC fight to make watching fights more interesting. My Prop Bets are for these kinds of people. These are high risk bets and the majority of them will lose. They are not guaranteed to make a profit long term.
In this post I will try to find you a decent bet for almost every fight taking place on this card. I will rate them in 3 categories depending on how much value I feel there is on each bet:
Dislike: These are bets that I don’t feel have any value. I would not recommend tailing them.
Like: These are bets that I feel have a little bit of value.
Love: These are Prop Bets that I like a lot and I would actually consider placing them myself. It doesn’t mean that a high % of them will win, but it does mean that the risk to reward ratio is very good.
My Philosophy on Prop Bets
Prop Bets are attractive because the odds tend to be a lot better than just betting on a fighter to win or lose. Unfortunately, they are not a sustainable long term way to make money because the liquidity and max bet limits on them is very low.
The variance on Prop Bets is also extremely high. This means that a very large % of Prop Bets will lose. For this reason I prefer to embrace Prop Bets by only focusing on high risk / high reward bets. This means that I will often recommend locking in crazy bets that may not make that much sense on the surface, but remember that the majority of Prop Bets will lose anyway, so the goal should be to win big when you place them.
I also recommend sticking to level stakes for Prop Bets and avoid using Compound Interest. In order for Compound Interest to be effective, you need to maintain a high win rate and it is almost impossible to maintain a high win rate on Props for any lengthy period of time because there are so many variables in how a fight could play out. For this reason I recommend sticking to level stakes for these Props and keeping things small.
For example… If you want to bet $100 on Props for a card, bet $10 on each Prop and stick to that number. Do not using Compound Interest to grow this amount of money because long losing streaks will wipeout your gains and kill Compounded growth.
I can not stress enough that these are high risk bets with a very low win rate. The vast majority of them will lose. I do not know if they will make a long term profit. Please only tail them for fun.
I think it’s awesome to let us know what you think on the prop bets. It’s up to us if we chose to place the bets or not. But good to know how you think the fights will end or if they will finish early