Bellator 184 Betting Picks, Tips and Predictions

Bellator 184 gives us a good opportunity to make money because the odds on at least one of these fights is way off. This is a huge weekend for betting on MMA and I feel very confident that we can kick things off with a profit.

Please keep checking this article regularly for updates because I may add more betting tips as we get closer to the time of the fights.

[vc_table vc_table_theme=”classic”][align-center]Fights,[align-center;c#000000]Betting%20Tips,[align-center;c#000000]Pick|[align-center]Darrion%20Caldwell%20vs%20Eduardo%20Dantas,[align-center;c#679f42;b]Betting%20Tip%20Available,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Dantas%20to%20win|[align-center]Daniel%20Straus%20vs%20Emmanuel%20Sanchez,[align-center;c#2692ff;b]Still%20researching,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Still%20researching|[align-center]John%20Teixeira%20vs%20Pat%20Curran,[align-center;c#2692ff;b]Still%20researching,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Still%20researching|[align-center]Joe%20Taimanglo%20vs%20Leandro%20Higo,[align-center;c#ea5d50;b]No%20bet,[align-center;c#fdb72f;b]Higo%20to%20win[/vc_table]

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DO NOT PLACE BETS ON ALL OF OUR PICKS

In the table above we give our picks and predictions for every fight. This is to help you put together teams in Fantasy MMA or enter Pick’em competitions. Please do not bet on all of these picks. You should only bet on our official VIP Betting Tips that you can find further down this page.

These picks and predictions are based on which fighters we perceive to have the best betting value. This doesn’t necessarily mean we think the fighter we pick has any notable advantage over their opponent.

The results of these picks are not tracked. We share them with the community because some members use them to enter Fantasy MMA and Pick’em competitions.

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Darrion Caldwell vs Eduardo Dantas Betting Tip and Prediction

Nova Uniao fighters have had great success over the last decade by using their incredible takedown defense to turn strong wrestlers into panic wrestlers. Eduardo Dantas trains at Nova Uniao, and Darrion Caldwell is a one-dimensional Wrestler with low level striking and a low-level ground game. Eduardo Dantas is your typical Nova Uniao fighter because he has developed world-class takedown defense under the guidance of Andre Pederneiras. For that reason alone this is a bad matchup for Darrion Caldwell.

Darrion Caldwell is a former NCAA Div 1 Champion, but this level of wrestling is only useful when you can apply it to MMA effectively. If an NCAA Division 1 Championship meant that you were automatically going to be a gifted MMA fighter, then the UFC would be full of NCAA Division 1 Champions. As we know, this isn’t the case, and after watching Caldwell’s last 5 fights, I have observed the fact that he still needs to do a lot of work to apply his high-level wrestling to MMA.

If you go back and watch any of Caldwell’s fights you’ll notice that he suffers from a lot of the same problems that plague high level wrestlers when they first start competing in MMA. Some of these problems include shooting from way too far outside of his opponent’s range, not setting up his takedown attempts and having top control that is too loosey goosey, which gives his opponent’s space, time and a window to scramble back to their feet when he takes them down. This is something that many high-level wrestlers who come from a traditional wrestling background struggle with when they first start competing in MMA. We have even seen Olympic wrestlers like Daniel Cormier and Henry Cejudo struggle with this in the past. This is a significant factor to take into consideration because even if Caldwell were able to get Dantas down, it’s unlikely he’ll be able to keep the fight there because Dantas is like most Nova Uniao fighters. He is incredibly difficult to take down and even harder to keep down.

Darrion Caldwell also has a couple of other weaknesses that make this a good matchup for Eduardo Dantas. The first is his low-level ground game. If you go back and watch some of his recent fights, you’ll see that he shows a lack of experience by going for long shot submissions. He also has poor submission defense and puts himself in a lot of danger on the ground. Eduardo Dantas has high-level Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, and I would not be surprised if he were to submit Darrion Caldwell.

Caldwell also has really low level striking. He fights in bursts, and he’s very predictable. Dantas has a significant advantage standing up.

Based on past performances this is an excellent matchup for Eduardo Dantas. Skill for skill he can win this fight wherever it takes place. My only concern is that sometimes we see Dantas turn into a point fighter and for this reason, he does not do enough to win rounds beyond all reasonable doubt. Dantas is 8-1 in Bellator, so this weakness has not cost him yet, but Bellator judges are very unpredictable, so it’s always risky to bet on a guy who doesn’t do enough to put his stamp on rounds.

If you shop around, you can currently bet on Dantas to win at odds of around 2.00 | +100 | 1/1, which is excellent value when you take into consideration the advantages that he has in this matchup. It’s possible that Caldwell might sneak a split decision, but I promise you that this is his only real chance of winning which makes Dantas a great bet at the current odds. This bet does carry some risk, but the payoff is totally worth it.

I believe that Dantas is an excellent bet because Caldwell will not finish him, and he will not win this fight dominantly. In contrast, Dantas has the skills to finish Caldwell standing up or on the ground and he also has the skills to dominate this fight if he performs to his full potential. We cannot control how both fighters perform in the cage, but I can assure you that Dantas is a very good bet based on all the information that we have going into this matchup.

Reasons for betting on Eduardo Dantas to win...

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darrion Caldwell is an inexperienced MMA fighter who has not yet been able to convert his high level wrestling into a style that works well in MMA. At present he is very predictable and shoots for takedowns from way too far outside of his opponent’s range. He also leaves too much space and time when he takes his opponent’s down, which gives them an opportunity to scramble back to their feet.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darrion Caldwell has a low level ground game. His wrestling is strong but his positional awareness, submission defense and Brazilian Jiu Jitsu is not good. This puts him in a lot of danger when he is on the ground against skilled grapplers like Eduardo Dantas. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Eduardo Dantas trains at Nova Uniao which means he has the trademark, bulletproof Nova Uniao takedown defense.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darrion Caldwell has very low level striking. Eduardo Dantas has significantly better striking.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]You can very quickly turn Darrion Caldwell into a panic wrestler if you start to stuff his takedowns. You can see that he gets desperate and starts to shoot from further and further outside of his opponent’s range. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Eduardo Dantas has a wide base and he keeps his hands very low. This makes it incredibly difficult for his opponent’s to tie him up or take him down. He defends takedowns in a similar way to Stephen Thompson. He offers up his lead leg and protects himself from getting double legged by keeping a wide base. He then uses balance and athleticm to defend the single leg when his opponent shoots in.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Eduardo Dantas has the skills to win this fight wherever it takes place. He can knock Caldwell out, he can submit him or he can win every round with superior skill. Caldwell’s only chance of winning is somehow finding a way to control Dantas on the ground for 5 rounds, or hope that Dantas shows up passive and tentative. Both of these outcomes are much more unlikely than Dantas using his superior skills to win this fight.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Eduardo Dantas has 24 pro fights and he has competed in 5 round Championship matchups 6 times throughout his career. Caldwell only has 10 pro fights under his belt and he is still very green. He has never competed in a 5 round matchup. This is really clear when you watch footage on both guys. Dantas is much more refined and much more experienced and this will give him a huge advantage in his matchup. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-check” icon_color=”#679f42″]Darrion Caldwell has bad fight IQ and questionable cardio. [/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Risk factors with betting on Eduardo Dantas to win...

[ultimate_icon_list icon_size=”18″][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Darrion Caldwell is a former NCAA Div 1 Champion.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Sometimes Dantas fails to put his stamp on rounds which means fights end up being closer than they need to be.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Dantas does sometimes turn up and put in passive, tentative performances.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][ultimate_icon_list_item icon=”Defaults-exclamation-triangle warning” icon_color=”#ea5e50″]Bellator judges are very bad. If this fight goes the distance we cannot trust them to make the right decision.[/ultimate_icon_list_item][/ultimate_icon_list]

Our Betting Tip

Eduardo Dantas to win

Stake

3 Units

[3% of your bankroll]

Odds

Decimal = 2.00
Moneyline = +100
Fractional = 1/1

50%

Implied Probability

The bookies believe that Eduardo Dantas has a 50% chance of beating Darrion Caldwell based on their current odds.

70%

Our Probability

We believe that Eduardo Dantas has a 70% chance of beating Darrion Caldwell based on our extensive research and analysis.

I'm a Professional Gambler from the UK. I specialize in betting on MMA. I've got 1 kid, a Shih Tzu and I've been making money from gambling for around 8 years now.

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