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Hi Allsopp,

I am also a member of Furys fight picks and find the contrast in bets interesting, i love your super detailed breakdowns of the fights, i have followed your analysis of the Weidman/Gastelum comments in your chat room, and see you may have already come to the conclusion, that it is a 60/40 bet in favour of Weidman and you may indeed pass on this one, Luca Fury is however confident that Gastelum will win and that is his Final paid pick in this match up. He normally wagers around £15-£20K per bet so he must be reasonably confident, it would be interesting to know how you come to a 60/40 conclusion as like you i believe Weidman has not faded, in fact he was Winning the Mousasi fight until Dan Miragliotta made his mistake in calling Accidental Illegal knees’s from Mousasi therby stopping the fight. I think he would have gone on to win that fight but we will never really know. Certainly when you look up the official Judges score card it was Weidman 10-9 for round 1. he was dominating Romero until the knee and made a mistake with the wheel Kick in the Rockhold fight, would you let me know your thoughts if you have time. I did make a tidy profit from your live bets is UFC Glasgow on Calvillo, many thanks, kind regards, Tony.

Hi Allsopp,

I read your detailed review in the Forum, which answers all my questions, Good Luck this weekend to you and all your members, kind regards, Tony

Your SUMMARY:
Weidman mounted Belford, Mousasi with higher level than Gastelum on the ground and Weidman has decent ground and pound.

Weidman is a longer fighter making the Sub easier and is a Renzo Gracie Black Belt with NCAA DIV1 wrestling skills
Weidman has been supplementing his training at Serra Longo camp with John Danaher, these trainers must know he needs to work on his cardio with a 5 rounder as his next fight or look to finish the fight inside 2 rounds.

Weidman has 10-12 minutes to mount Gastelum who has low 63 percent TDD (average at best) and Gastelum has no ground game, Weidman must know he needs an early finish and must Sub or G&P, him.

Weidman still is the bigger fighter 6’2″ against 5’9″ boxer with no ground game.

Look at Gastelum record and look at the most talented fighter in his career that he actually beat, Jake Ellenberger ! ?

What are you waiting for ?

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